Number 8

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

314times drawn · chance expected 309 +0.33σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 58% for any number

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

42longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long

8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 314 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, +0.33σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 314 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest142 · chance 133.8
2nd smallest125 · chance 133.8
3rd smallest40 · chance 41.5
4th smallest7 · chance 4.6
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 33.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 4 15 11 30 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-10	9	1st	8 12 13 18 30
2016-11-01	7	2nd	7 8 9 10 19
2016-10-25	3	2nd	7 8 16 18 36
2016-10-22	8	2nd	1 8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-05-05	8	3rd	3 4 8 11 15
2016-04-27	4	1st	8 9 11 17 30
2016-04-23	8	1st	8 13 15 28 34
2016-04-15	17	2nd	5 8 23 25 30
2016-03-29	3	2nd	2 8 9 19 30
2016-03-26	4	1st	8 14 21 23 28
2016-03-22	15	1st	8 15 18 25 31
2016-03-07	12	1st	8 12 23 34 36
2016-02-24	6	3rd	2 4 8 28 35
2016-02-18	7	2nd	3 8 9 23 24
2016-02-11	3	1st	8 13 28 36 37
2016-02-08	1	2nd	3 8 11 24 34
2016-02-07	18	2nd	1 8 9 18 31
2016-01-20	16	2nd	1 8 15 19 33
2016-01-04	4	2nd	6 8 18 32 37
2015-12-31	14	1st	8 9 15 24 30
2015-12-17	10	1st	8 18 22 29 35
2015-12-07	6	1st	8 12 19 28 33
2015-12-01	9	2nd	7 8 20 23 38
2015-11-22	11	2nd	5 8 30 34 39
2015-11-11	6	4th	3 5 6 8 38
2015-11-05	15	2nd	2 8 11 19 35
2015-10-21	11	1st	8 12 17 24 29
2015-10-10	5	1st	8 10 33 35 39
2015-10-05	3	1st	8 14 36 38 39
2015-10-02	7	1st	8 12 16 20 37
2015-09-25	2	2nd	7 8 10 30 35
2015-09-23	23	2nd	4 8 18 26 30
2015-08-31	1	2nd	3 8 10 14 29
2015-08-30	27	2nd	4 8 11 19 27
2015-08-03	11	1st	8 15 18 30 35
2015-07-23	8	1st	8 14 20 24 26
2015-07-15	4	2nd	3 8 11 27 31
2015-07-11	3	1st	8 18 31 33 38
2015-07-08	30	3rd	1 7 8 29 32
2015-06-08	13	1st	8 13 19 21 31
2015-05-26	1	3rd	1 3 8 18 28
2015-05-25	4	2nd	3 8 11 24 38
2015-05-21	1	1st	8 11 15 21 28
2015-05-20	2	2nd	2 8 15 20 34
2015-05-18	9	2nd	1 8 21 22 24
2015-05-09	9	1st	8 13 16 33 38
2015-04-29	33	1st	8 9 19 20 38
2015-03-27	8	1st	8 16 18 27 34
2015-03-19	1	1st	8 12 14 15 34
2015-03-18	9	1st	8 15 16 20 24
2015-03-09	2	1st	8 18 22 32 35
2015-03-07	1	1st	8 15 18 34 36
2015-03-06	1	1st	8 11 15 17 28
2015-03-05	2	2nd	4 8 9 12 17
2015-03-03	3	2nd	4 8 14 20 21
2015-02-28	5	2nd	2 8 21 29 30
2015-02-23	30	1st	8 13 15 24 26
2015-01-24	3	1st	8 9 14 15 27
2015-01-21	18	1st	8 15 26 30 33
2015-01-03	2	1st	8 9 17 26 29
2015-01-01	8	2nd	3 8 21 27 33
2014-12-24	6	2nd	2 8 13 18 28
2014-12-18	9	2nd	3 8 20 22 25
2014-12-09	2	2nd	7 8 15 16 36
2014-12-07	2	2nd	2 8 15 23 34
2014-12-05	2	1st	8 11 27 32 39
2014-12-03	6	2nd	2 8 12 30 33
2014-11-27	1	1st	8 9 24 32 37
2014-11-26	11	2nd	5 8 9 21 33
2014-11-15	1	2nd	5 8 17 19 27
2014-11-14	4	3rd	2 6 8 25 26
2014-11-10	7	1st	8 11 13 15 30
2014-11-03	5	3rd	1 5 8 21 35
2014-10-29	2	2nd	4 8 18 29 30
2014-10-27	3	2nd	5 8 9 16 27
2014-10-24	3	2nd	6 8 17 19 24
2014-10-21	2	2nd	7 8 10 31 33
2014-10-19	4	1st	8 16 22 28 31
2014-10-15	5	3rd	3 7 8 20 27
2014-10-10	5	1st	8 11 12 16 24
2014-10-05	4	1st	8 15 22 33 39
2014-10-01	15	2nd	4 8 27 28 35
2014-09-16	4	1st	8 15 19 20 32
2014-09-12	9	2nd	2 8 11 13 35
2014-09-03	7	1st	8 25 27 38 39
2014-08-27	19	2nd	6 8 21 32 38
2014-08-08	6	3rd	5 7 8 24 33
2014-08-02	4	3rd	4 7 8 20 26
2014-07-29	3	2nd	3 8 14 22 30
2014-07-26	13	2nd	4 8 14 28 38
2014-07-13	1	3rd	2 5 8 15 25
2014-07-12	12	2nd	7 8 22 24 39
2014-06-29	5	1st	8 22 31 38 39
2014-06-24	18	2nd	1 8 18 24 27
2014-06-06	7	2nd	1 8 17 30 35
2014-05-30	11	3rd	2 3 8 16 36
2014-05-19	2	1st	8 20 31 36 39
2014-05-17	9	2nd	2 8 16 27 33
2014-05-08	1	1st	8 10 12 22 39
2014-05-07	12	3rd	1 5 8 16 37
2014-04-25	9	1st	8 9 11 13 31
2014-04-16	3	1st	8 10 16 26 32
2014-04-13	4	3rd	3 4 8 17 22
2014-04-09	12	1st	8 13 14 24 28
2014-03-28	1	2nd	4 8 15 16 26
2014-03-27	7	1st	8 13 16 17 36
2014-03-20	4	3rd	4 6 8 12 17
2014-03-16	11	2nd	7 8 17 18 28
2014-03-05	11	2nd	1 8 14 20 33
2014-02-22	9	1st	8 17 27 28 39
2014-02-13	13	4th	2 3 5 8 27
2014-01-31	5	1st	8 35 36 37 38
2014-01-26	3	3rd	3 5 8 10 24
2014-01-23	14	3rd	1 4 8 11 12
2014-01-09	8	3rd	4 6 8 22 34
2014-01-01	8	1st	8 16 23 26 31
2013-12-24	3	2nd	2 8 9 13 20
2013-12-21	1	1st	8 9 13 34 38
2013-12-20	16	2nd	4 8 24 25 32
2013-12-04	1	3rd	5 7 8 12 23
2013-12-03	1	2nd	6 8 9 12 18
2013-12-02	6	2nd	3 8 10 11 14
2013-11-26	7	2nd	4 8 22 28 37
2013-11-19	9	1st	8 9 23 25 32
2013-11-10	24	2nd	4 8 21 26 33
2013-10-17	6	1st	8 15 16 27 28
2013-10-11	20	1st	8 11 16 25 31
2013-09-21	9	2nd	5 8 32 36 38
2013-09-12	1	3rd	1 4 8 27 31
2013-09-11	3	1st	8 11 29 36 37
2013-09-08	12	2nd	7 8 19 20 29
2013-08-27	1	1st	8 20 21 22 38
2013-08-26	4	1st	8 25 29 31 39
2013-08-22	5	2nd	5 8 17 31 32
2013-08-17	5	2nd	5 8 12 30 34
2013-08-12	7	1st	8 17 20 34 38
2013-08-05	6	2nd	1 8 11 19 30
2013-07-30	9	2nd	2 8 15 17 29
2013-07-21	17	1st	8 13 18 32 39
2013-07-04	2	2nd	4 8 16 17 38
2013-07-02	3	2nd	4 8 13 21 23
2013-06-29	36	2nd	4 8 25 29 38
2013-05-24	15	2nd	2 8 10 11 16
2013-05-09	3	3rd	1 2 8 31 33
2013-05-06	1	2nd	5 8 11 21 32
2013-05-05	4	2nd	3 8 10 24 32
2013-05-01	3	1st	8 12 17 25 32
2013-04-28	21	2nd	3 8 26 28 32
2013-04-07	2	1st	8 11 16 26 35
2013-04-05	11	1st	8 17 27 29 38
2013-03-25	39	1st	8 12 21 34 39
2013-02-14	1	1st	8 12 13 32 35
2013-02-13	12	1st	8 15 17 30 39
2013-02-01	10	1st	8 9 10 14 16
2013-01-22	5	2nd	1 8 21 34 37
2013-01-17	6	2nd	1 8 14 32 39
2013-01-11	10	2nd	7 8 19 21 23
2013-01-01	1	2nd	6 8 12 30 33
2012-12-31	4	1st	8 11 30 32 37
2012-12-27	1	2nd	5 8 18 29 31
2012-12-26	3	3rd	1 4 8 10 17
2012-12-23	15	3rd	3 4 8 26 27
2012-12-08	5	4th	1 4 7 8 33
2012-12-03	5	2nd	1 8 18 25 26
2012-11-28	5	1st	8 27 31 34 35
2012-11-23	2	2nd	7 8 13 23 39
2012-11-21	1	3rd	1 3 8 14 30
2012-11-20	3	2nd	6 8 17 23 31
2012-11-17	6	2nd	2 8 13 32 36
2012-11-11	4	1st	8 14 22 23 38
2012-11-07	2	3rd	1 2 8 17 32
2012-11-05	2	1st	8 12 15 24 26
2012-11-03	1	2nd	7 8 21 25 39
2012-11-02	13	2nd	7 8 10 18 38
2012-10-20	18	1st	8 15 17 19 36
2012-10-02	7	2nd	4 8 9 19 36
2012-09-25	3	3rd	2 7 8 12 30
2012-09-22	3	4th	4 5 6 8 37
2012-09-19	1	1st	8 12 25 28 35
2012-09-18	3	1st	8 14 17 30 34
2012-09-15	3	2nd	3 8 12 17 34
2012-09-12	13	2nd	5 8 16 23 38
2012-08-30	4	3rd	5 6 8 13 17
2012-08-26	1	3rd	3 5 8 11 27
2012-08-25	11	1st	8 12 19 26 28
2012-08-14	3	1st	8 14 16 32 38
2012-08-11	8	2nd	4 8 12 26 27
2012-08-03	2	3rd	3 7 8 19 29
2012-08-01	7	2nd	2 8 18 31 38
2012-07-25	1	1st	8 28 29 31 36
2012-07-24	21	2nd	7 8 17 20 29
2012-07-03	2	2nd	4 8 18 19 24
2012-07-01	2	1st	8 9 23 27 37
2012-06-28	1	3rd	5 6 8 15 19
2012-06-27	18	1st	8 15 16 23 31
2012-06-09	6	2nd	4 8 15 25 30
2012-06-03	1	2nd	7 8 10 18 33
2012-06-02	7	1st	8 10 22 30 31
2012-05-26	7	4th	3 4 7 8 36
2012-05-19	42	4th	2 5 7 8 21
2012-04-05	17	4th	1 3 7 8 32
2012-03-19	8	1st	8 10 28 35 36
2012-03-11	15	2nd	1 8 10 24 31
2012-02-25	4	1st	8 16 28 32 39
2012-02-21	5	2nd	1 8 11 19 30
2012-02-16	1	1st	8 14 35 36 37
2012-02-15	3	2nd	1 8 19 26 39
2012-02-12	2	1st	8 16 28 29 30
2012-02-10	3	2nd	3 8 20 29 33
2012-02-07	10	1st	8 22 26 30 34
2012-01-28	4	1st	8 11 21 27 35
2012-01-24	18	3rd	3 4 8 11 25
2012-01-06	8	1st	8 15 17 19 25
2011-12-29	2	1st	8 13 14 24 27
2011-12-27	11	2nd	5 8 14 21 35
2011-12-16	9	1st	8 14 17 22 36
2011-12-07	6	2nd	5 8 12 31 36
2011-12-01	8	2nd	6 8 24 34 36
2011-11-23	20	2nd	4 8 11 12 28
2011-11-03	8	2nd	5 8 20 22 30
2011-10-26	15	1st	8 13 17 25 32
2011-10-10	5	1st	8 21 22 29 36
2011-10-05	16	1st	8 14 20 33 38
2011-09-19	7	1st	8 16 18 21 35
2011-09-12	2	1st	8 15 24 26 33
2011-09-10	9	1st	8 21 26 31 37
2011-09-01	4	2nd	1 8 19 27 37
2011-08-28	2	1st	8 19 31 36 37
2011-08-26	6	1st	8 27 29 31 35
2011-08-20	2	1st	8 15 21 25 38
2011-08-18	2	1st	8 13 29 30 31
2011-08-16	4	2nd	5 8 17 32 33
2011-08-11	2	1st	8 19 21 25 26
2011-08-09	10	3rd	3 4 8 20 39
2011-07-30	12	1st	8 13 20 23 38
2011-07-18	5	1st	8 11 12 15 36
2011-07-13	8	2nd	5 8 13 26 33
2011-07-05	21	1st	8 14 21 27 38
2011-06-13	13	2nd	7 8 15 16 30
2011-05-31	14	2nd	4 8 10 22 35
2011-05-17	7	3rd	2 5 8 11 16
2011-05-10	9	2nd	3 8 13 24 29
2011-05-01	9	3rd	1 4 8 36 37
2011-04-22	11	1st	8 19 24 29 37
2011-04-11	12	1st	8 15 20 24 29
2011-03-30	14	1st	8 13 16 18 26
2011-03-16	6	1st	8 20 35 37 38
2011-03-10	17	2nd	3 8 13 23 39
2011-02-21	5	2nd	4 8 9 13 35
2011-02-16	3	1st	8 16 20 29 35
2011-02-13	26	1st	8 10 24 26 30
2011-01-18	2	2nd	6 8 15 16 26
2011-01-16	1	2nd	1 8 20 26 38
2011-01-15	2	2nd	2 8 29 32 35
2011-01-13	3	1st	8 33 34 37 38
2011-01-10	16	1st	8 16 20 26 35
2010-12-25	2	1st	8 21 28 30 32
2010-12-23	14	1st	8 12 19 28 29
2010-12-09	6	1st	8 11 13 34 35
2010-12-03	11	2nd	7 8 10 11 37
2010-11-22	8	2nd	7 8 14 34 36
2010-11-14	7	3rd	5 6 8 16 37
2010-11-07	2	2nd	7 8 16 30 32
2010-11-05	6	1st	8 16 21 37 39
2010-10-30	7	2nd	7 8 12 27 39
2010-10-23	2	1st	8 10 18 24 28
2010-10-21	7	1st	8 14 16 27 28
2010-10-14	4	2nd	2 8 10 16 25
2010-10-10	5	3rd	1 3 8 16 17
2010-10-05	1	1st	8 12 17 21 23
2010-10-04	1	3rd	2 5 8 18 30
2010-10-03	4	3rd	5 7 8 20 39
2010-09-29	1	1st	8 15 23 31 32
2010-09-28	4	2nd	5 8 16 17 25
2010-09-24	5	1st	8 15 22 38 39
2010-09-19	6	2nd	2 8 10 11 22
2010-09-13	8	1st	8 16 21 30 39
2010-09-05	21	1st	8 25 27 33 36
2010-08-15	2	2nd	2 8 18 26 28
2010-08-13	2	3rd	4 6 8 19 30
2010-08-11	16	2nd	7 8 16 36 39
2010-07-26	10	1st	8 12 16 22 36
2010-07-16	19	1st	8 10 27 28 29
2010-06-27	4	1st	8 25 26 33 34
2010-06-23	2	2nd	4 8 21 23 27
2010-06-21	17	1st	8 17 26 29 39
2010-06-04	1	1st	8 11 12 24 27
2010-06-03	3	2nd	3 8 20 22 24
2010-05-31	26	2nd	2 8 11 28 29
2010-05-05	4	1st	8 16 21 28 32
2010-05-01	2	1st	8 10 15 25 28
2010-04-29	13	2nd	4 8 18 22 30
2010-04-16	2	1st	8 23 30 31 34
2010-04-14	—	2nd	2 8 11 19 25