Number 25

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

308times drawn · chance expected 309 −0.04σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

60longest completed wait · 9% chance of one at least that long

25 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 308 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, −0.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 25, draw by draw

Drawn 308 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 60 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 4.2
2nd smallest36 · chance 36.5
3rd smallest105 · chance 104.8
4th smallest115 · chance 118.2
5th smallest48 · chance 44.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 32.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 23 16 38 5 24

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-13	2	3rd	6 22 25 30 38
2016-11-11	5	5th	2 17 20 23 25
2016-11-06	1	3rd	2 17 25 30 34
2016-11-05	3	4th	6 10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-06-24	2	5th	4 9 15 18 25
2016-06-22	27	5th	9 10 11 20 25
2016-05-26	22	4th	1 9 17 25 34
2016-05-04	6	2nd	21 25 28 32 37
2016-04-28	3	4th	2 4 5 25 28
2016-04-25	1	4th	6 14 21 25 32
2016-04-24	3	3rd	13 17 25 32 39
2016-04-21	6	3rd	2 10 25 36 39
2016-04-15	1	4th	5 8 23 25 30
2016-04-14	3	4th	3 21 24 25 35
2016-04-11	4	3rd	2 24 25 27 39
2016-04-07	6	3rd	10 13 25 29 33
2016-04-01	2	4th	6 16 17 25 28
2016-03-30	5	4th	4 10 16 25 30
2016-03-25	3	4th	3 13 15 25 37
2016-03-22	23	4th	8 15 18 25 31
2016-02-28	11	4th	2 22 23 25 26
2016-02-17	60	3rd	7 23 25 30 38
2015-12-19	8	3rd	1 3 25 28 36
2015-12-11	3	4th	10 13 24 25 39
2015-12-08	10	3rd	4 5 25 27 29
2015-11-28	1	4th	13 22 24 25 26
2015-11-27	4	5th	5 10 11 14 25
2015-11-23	19	3rd	17 20 25 35 39
2015-11-04	7	4th	9 10 20 25 26
2015-10-28	2	5th	7 13 15 23 25
2015-10-26	4	2nd	4 25 27 30 38
2015-10-22	7	4th	4 9 12 25 34
2015-10-15	2	3rd	7 15 25 26 38
2015-10-13	22	3rd	3 16 25 28 36
2015-09-21	6	5th	6 7 17 19 25
2015-09-15	19	3rd	1 5 25 31 34
2015-08-27	1	3rd	1 3 25 30 33
2015-08-26	17	3rd	19 23 25 29 31
2015-08-09	2	3rd	6 13 25 31 32
2015-08-07	10	4th	1 11 19 25 38
2015-07-28	34	3rd	11 21 25 29 34
2015-06-24	4	3rd	6 16 25 28 36
2015-06-20	11	4th	2 4 17 25 29
2015-06-09	27	3rd	17 21 25 33 38
2015-05-13	8	5th	11 12 13 16 25
2015-05-05	2	4th	10 13 23 25 33
2015-05-02	19	5th	3 12 17 23 25
2015-04-13	5	4th	5 10 23 25 34
2015-04-08	1	1st	25 28 31 36 37
2015-04-07	42	4th	2 4 14 25 30
2015-02-24	7	4th	16 22 24 25 29
2015-02-17	9	2nd	24 25 36 37 39
2015-02-08	17	5th	1 15 23 24 25
2015-01-22	3	3rd	2 15 25 28 37
2015-01-19	7	3rd	11 20 25 27 28
2015-01-12	13	2nd	19 25 27 34 36
2014-12-30	5	4th	2 15 18 25 28
2014-12-25	7	3rd	21 24 25 30 36
2014-12-18	25	5th	3 8 20 22 25
2014-11-23	3	5th	5 11 18 23 25
2014-11-20	6	4th	3 19 20 25 39
2014-11-14	13	4th	2 6 8 25 26
2014-11-01	14	3rd	18 21 25 26 33
2014-10-18	16	4th	1 16 17 25 26
2014-10-02	2	2nd	5 25 27 32 39
2014-09-30	6	3rd	7 20 25 27 38
2014-09-24	18	4th	16 23 24 25 34
2014-09-06	2	3rd	7 17 25 35 38
2014-09-04	1	2nd	9 25 28 31 37
2014-09-03	1	2nd	8 25 27 38 39
2014-09-02	2	5th	3 5 10 16 25
2014-08-31	7	3rd	14 18 25 28 29
2014-08-24	11	3rd	5 20 25 27 38
2014-08-13	7	3rd	5 23 25 26 29
2014-08-06	9	4th	6 20 22 25 37
2014-07-28	9	3rd	9 16 25 33 38
2014-07-19	1	5th	4 5 10 11 25
2014-07-18	3	3rd	15 24 25 31 39
2014-07-15	2	4th	12 17 19 25 31
2014-07-13	12	5th	2 5 8 15 25
2014-06-30	2	4th	2 12 18 25 27
2014-06-28	3	4th	9 12 24 25 33
2014-06-25	9	4th	13 18 23 25 38
2014-06-16	16	2nd	11 25 26 28 35
2014-05-31	16	3rd	3 12 25 26 31
2014-05-15	11	3rd	15 19 25 27 37
2014-05-04	5	3rd	10 23 25 30 36
2014-04-29	9	3rd	17 19 25 26 29
2014-04-20	1	5th	2 10 11 18 25
2014-04-19	11	4th	1 2 20 25 30
2014-04-08	5	5th	9 16 19 22 25
2014-04-03	25	2nd	5 25 30 32 33
2014-03-09	19	4th	17 21 23 25 37
2014-02-18	16	4th	14 20 24 25 29
2014-02-02	25	2nd	17 25 26 31 37
2014-01-08	19	3rd	10 22 25 28 39
2013-12-20	2	4th	4 8 24 25 32
2013-12-18	4	3rd	16 17 25 29 39
2013-12-14	1	2nd	13 25 26 30 34
2013-12-13	24	1st	25 28 29 30 33
2013-11-19	11	4th	8 9 23 25 32
2013-11-08	5	4th	7 21 23 25 31
2013-11-03	1	4th	1 5 24 25 26
2013-11-02	8	3rd	4 9 25 26 30
2013-10-25	1	5th	3 4 11 22 25
2013-10-24	5	3rd	4 23 25 26 35
2013-10-19	3	4th	4 11 23 25 34
2013-10-16	2	2nd	22 25 27 34 35
2013-10-14	3	4th	3 7 15 25 32
2013-10-11	1	4th	8 11 16 25 31
2013-10-10	1	3rd	11 14 25 28 32
2013-10-09	1	4th	1 10 19 25 28
2013-10-08	5	5th	3 4 9 13 25
2013-10-03	26	4th	3 18 23 25 35
2013-09-07	10	2nd	16 25 30 33 34
2013-08-28	2	4th	9 15 19 25 30
2013-08-26	16	2nd	8 25 29 31 39
2013-08-10	2	5th	3 11 14 16 25
2013-08-08	10	2nd	11 25 26 29 37
2013-07-29	1	4th	3 11 17 25 37
2013-07-28	1	4th	6 16 23 25 36
2013-07-27	5	4th	4 7 14 25 26
2013-07-22	10	3rd	16 21 25 29 38
2013-07-12	13	4th	14 16 24 25 26
2013-06-29	5	3rd	4 8 25 29 38
2013-06-24	4	5th	2 16 17 24 25
2013-06-20	7	4th	2 15 23 25 37
2013-06-13	3	4th	13 21 22 25 32
2013-06-10	13	4th	19 20 23 25 32
2013-05-28	8	3rd	4 20 25 26 33
2013-05-20	1	3rd	5 9 25 31 33
2013-05-19	8	4th	7 18 20 25 29
2013-05-11	9	5th	1 2 5 13 25
2013-05-02	1	5th	15 16 22 24 25
2013-05-01	2	4th	8 12 17 25 32
2013-04-29	16	4th	2 3 10 25 27
2013-04-13	16	3rd	20 24 25 33 36
2013-03-28	2	4th	16 17 19 25 37
2013-03-26	2	4th	4 17 22 25 31
2013-03-24	13	3rd	5 17 25 27 38
2013-03-11	5	2nd	2 25 29 32 33
2013-03-06	3	4th	3 5 15 25 30
2013-03-03	3	4th	2 6 16 25 37
2013-02-28	3	3rd	2 24 25 34 36
2013-02-25	27	3rd	19 22 25 26 30
2013-01-29	17	2nd	5 25 26 36 38
2013-01-12	9	1st	25 27 31 33 37
2013-01-03	10	3rd	1 20 25 30 38
2012-12-24	2	3rd	5 24 25 29 38
2012-12-22	1	5th	2 11 12 13 25
2012-12-21	1	2nd	19 25 28 33 37
2012-12-20	3	4th	2 9 11 25 36
2012-12-17	6	4th	3 6 24 25 33
2012-12-11	4	2nd	10 25 33 38 39
2012-12-07	2	3rd	18 21 25 29 32
2012-12-05	2	2nd	22 25 29 34 38
2012-12-03	30	4th	1 8 18 25 26
2012-11-03	5	4th	7 8 21 25 39
2012-10-29	15	5th	7 10 16 23 25
2012-10-14	9	3rd	2 24 25 28 31
2012-10-05	16	3rd	10 24 25 37 39
2012-09-19	13	3rd	8 12 25 28 35
2012-09-06	9	3rd	16 18 25 31 34
2012-08-28	18	4th	1 10 14 25 29
2012-08-10	2	2nd	23 25 31 37 38
2012-08-08	4	4th	7 9 18 25 29
2012-08-04	13	3rd	2 17 25 28 32
2012-07-22	3	2nd	10 25 27 31 36
2012-07-19	6	2nd	19 25 27 29 35
2012-07-13	29	2nd	24 25 34 38 39
2012-06-13	1	3rd	19 21 25 29 33
2012-06-12	2	4th	6 10 17 25 38
2012-06-10	1	5th	2 3 5 13 25
2012-06-09	5	4th	4 8 15 25 30
2012-06-04	4	3rd	1 15 25 29 37
2012-05-31	10	3rd	2 21 25 27 30
2012-05-21	4	4th	2 4 14 25 32
2012-05-17	2	3rd	5 16 25 35 37
2012-05-15	1	4th	5 21 23 25 28
2012-05-14	19	4th	3 5 24 25 36
2012-04-23	26	4th	3 10 16 25 38
2012-03-28	7	2nd	14 25 28 33 34
2012-03-21	7	2nd	7 25 28 36 38
2012-03-14	4	5th	14 15 21 22 25
2012-03-10	6	3rd	14 16 25 27 32
2012-03-04	3	4th	6 18 23 25 26
2012-03-01	2	4th	1 3 7 25 28
2012-02-28	8	4th	1 4 16 25 34
2012-02-20	1	4th	12 16 20 25 38
2012-02-19	5	3rd	21 22 25 34 35
2012-02-14	10	3rd	4 12 25 26 33
2012-02-04	11	3rd	4 18 25 33 35
2012-01-24	13	5th	3 4 8 11 25
2012-01-11	2	4th	2 16 22 25 38
2012-01-09	3	4th	13 19 23 25 26
2012-01-06	9	5th	8 15 17 19 25
2011-12-28	18	4th	9 11 20 25 32
2011-12-10	1	4th	1 12 22 25 37
2011-12-09	4	4th	6 15 22 25 35
2011-12-05	7	3rd	10 14 25 31 33
2011-11-28	8	3rd	4 24 25 30 34
2011-11-20	8	5th	1 2 13 24 25
2011-11-12	4	4th	7 10 16 25 30
2011-11-08	1	3rd	12 24 25 30 38
2011-11-07	9	4th	7 9 12 25 36
2011-10-29	2	4th	6 11 24 25 34
2011-10-27	1	2nd	20 25 26 33 35
2011-10-26	6	4th	8 13 17 25 32
2011-10-20	6	2nd	21 25 26 37 39
2011-10-13	13	3rd	9 17 25 34 35
2011-09-30	8	4th	7 9 13 25 38
2011-09-22	4	4th	2 14 20 25 38
2011-09-18	2	5th	1 4 21 23 25
2011-09-16	2	5th	4 5 9 19 25
2011-09-14	9	3rd	14 24 25 33 34
2011-09-05	3	3rd	5 18 25 28 38
2011-09-02	4	3rd	4 15 25 33 36
2011-08-29	4	4th	5 10 17 25 36
2011-08-25	4	2nd	11 25 27 28 38
2011-08-21	1	1st	25 28 31 35 37
2011-08-20	8	4th	8 15 21 25 38
2011-08-11	11	4th	8 19 21 25 26
2011-07-31	3	5th	4 5 14 15 25
2011-07-28	3	4th	1 16 19 25 32
2011-07-25	3	3rd	1 13 25 33 35
2011-07-22	36	5th	4 7 16 22 25
2011-06-15	5	3rd	3 21 25 36 38
2011-06-10	3	4th	2 4 7 25 37
2011-06-07	2	4th	2 3 12 25 36
2011-06-05	14	2nd	19 25 31 36 37
2011-05-22	11	3rd	7 14 25 36 38
2011-05-11	13	4th	16 20 22 25 30
2011-04-28	2	4th	3 5 12 25 36
2011-04-26	5	3rd	6 23 25 36 37
2011-04-21	12	3rd	3 7 25 26 32
2011-04-09	3	3rd	14 19 25 26 34
2011-04-06	3	5th	9 12 18 21 25
2011-04-03	14	4th	3 6 10 25 31
2011-03-20	14	5th	4 9 11 14 25
2011-03-06	3	5th	12 16 23 24 25
2011-03-03	6	4th	2 3 18 25 32
2011-02-25	17	5th	6 13 15 24 25
2011-02-08	15	3rd	14 22 25 27 33
2011-01-24	2	5th	11 12 21 23 25
2011-01-22	3	5th	6 12 16 18 25
2011-01-19	2	3rd	2 5 25 26 35
2011-01-17	11	3rd	12 23 25 29 34
2011-01-06	1	4th	16 20 23 25 36
2011-01-05	6	4th	16 18 24 25 33
2010-12-30	23	4th	2 21 24 25 26
2010-12-07	21	4th	3 4 7 25 37
2010-11-16	3	4th	13 14 17 25 31
2010-11-13	2	3rd	14 18 25 31 33
2010-11-11	8	3rd	17 23 25 37 39
2010-11-03	9	5th	1 5 13 21 25
2010-10-25	1	3rd	5 10 25 33 38
2010-10-24	6	2nd	4 25 28 30 36
2010-10-18	4	2nd	2 25 30 34 37
2010-10-14	3	5th	2 8 10 16 25
2010-10-11	3	4th	4 15 18 25 29
2010-10-08	10	4th	7 18 24 25 29
2010-09-28	10	5th	5 8 16 17 25
2010-09-18	6	5th	2 11 21 23 25
2010-09-12	2	3rd	10 23 25 26 29
2010-09-10	4	3rd	2 6 25 27 37
2010-09-06	1	3rd	15 18 25 34 39
2010-09-05	5	2nd	8 25 27 33 36
2010-08-31	7	3rd	2 6 25 26 30
2010-08-24	6	3rd	6 21 25 37 39
2010-08-18	2	4th	5 7 22 25 28
2010-08-16	2	3rd	3 7 25 33 38
2010-08-14	8	3rd	9 15 25 30 35
2010-08-06	5	3rd	12 19 25 33 34
2010-08-01	2	4th	1 3 9 25 35
2010-07-30	13	3rd	10 11 25 27 34
2010-07-17	9	5th	11 12 15 21 25
2010-07-08	1	4th	16 19 20 25 36
2010-07-07	10	4th	17 18 19 25 37
2010-06-27	25	2nd	8 25 26 33 34
2010-06-02	6	3rd	15 24 25 26 32
2010-05-27	1	3rd	2 15 25 27 36
2010-05-26	20	3rd	19 24 25 27 28
2010-05-06	5	4th	1 18 19 25 35
2010-05-01	11	4th	8 10 15 25 28
2010-04-20	2	4th	10 14 17 25 34
2010-04-18	4	3rd	5 11 25 27 37
2010-04-14	3	5th	2 8 11 19 25
2010-04-11	—	3rd	17 22 25 27 36