Number 14

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

301times drawn · chance expected 309 −0.46σ

26draws waiting · a wait this long: 3% for any number

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

50longest completed wait · 30% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 301 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, −0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 26 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 301 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 26 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest52 · chance 51.6
2nd smallest132 · chance 121.9
3rd smallest87 · chance 95.4
4th smallest26 · chance 29.2
5th smallest4 · chance 2.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 31.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 38 23 3 22 33

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-10-20	5	2nd	9 14 23 31 35
2016-10-15	3	2nd	3 14 21 26 36
2016-10-12	14	4th	4 7 13 14 21
2016-09-28	1	3rd	9 13

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-07-03	18	3rd	4 7 14 17 32
2016-06-15	4	2nd	1 14 22 33 37
2016-06-11	11	3rd	9 11 14 24 31
2016-05-31	8	3rd	5 7 14 27 32
2016-05-23	10	4th	6 9 13 14 31
2016-05-13	17	3rd	4 7 14 24 36
2016-04-26	1	2nd	13 14 18 28 36
2016-04-25	3	2nd	6 14 21 25 32
2016-04-22	3	2nd	7 14 33 36 38
2016-04-19	15	3rd	3 5 14 17 33
2016-04-04	9	3rd	4 10 14 31 39
2016-03-26	2	2nd	8 14 21 23 28
2016-03-24	6	4th	2 6 13 14 24
2016-03-18	6	3rd	4 10 14 15 22
2016-03-12	9	2nd	9 14 20 24 31
2016-03-03	7	1st	14 19 23 26 36
2016-02-25	6	3rd	5 13 14 17 29
2016-02-19	10	2nd	12 14 27 29 34
2016-02-09	7	1st	14 16 18 27 36
2016-02-02	4	2nd	5 14 27 36 39
2016-01-29	2	2nd	4 14 34 37 38
2016-01-27	3	2nd	1 14 17 31 36
2016-01-24	3	3rd	1 11 14 38 39
2016-01-21	11	2nd	1 14 19 32 33
2016-01-10	7	3rd	2 5 14 24 35
2016-01-03	2	1st	14 16 22 28 39
2016-01-01	2	3rd	3 12 14 21 27
2015-12-30	26	2nd	2 14 30 33 37
2015-12-04	4	2nd	10 14 15 29 34
2015-11-30	3	3rd	9 13 14 17 35
2015-11-27	2	4th	5 10 11 14 25
2015-11-25	9	3rd	9 13 14 17 20
2015-11-16	1	2nd	6 14 22 26 39
2015-11-15	17	4th	6 7 12 14 22
2015-10-29	2	1st	14 22 24 33 38
2015-10-27	4	3rd	3 11 14 17 27
2015-10-23	11	2nd	12 14 22 24 30
2015-10-12	3	2nd	4 14 20 23 27
2015-10-09	1	4th	3 4 10 14 32
2015-10-08	1	4th	1 6 11 14 26
2015-10-07	1	2nd	7 14 29 30 35
2015-10-06	1	1st	14 17 35 36 37
2015-10-05	4	2nd	8 14 36 38 39
2015-10-01	31	3rd	3 9 14 15 32
2015-08-31	13	4th	3 8 10 14 29
2015-08-18	5	2nd	4 14 21 31 32
2015-08-13	21	3rd	9 11 14 19 22
2015-07-23	4	2nd	8 14 20 24 26
2015-07-19	3	4th	1 2 12 14 32
2015-07-16	6	2nd	3 14 31 33 34
2015-07-10	3	2nd	11 14 23 33 37
2015-07-07	21	3rd	7 10 14 22 34
2015-06-16	5	3rd	12 13 14 23 35
2015-06-11	7	3rd	5 10 14 27 30
2015-06-04	4	2nd	6 14 31 33 39
2015-05-31	8	4th	2 5 10 14 20
2015-05-23	24	2nd	3 14 22 30 35
2015-04-28	4	2nd	7 14 16 19 38
2015-04-24	3	2nd	11 14 17 18 27
2015-04-21	9	3rd	1 7 14 21 24
2015-04-12	3	2nd	1 14 18 30 39
2015-04-09	2	1st	14 26 28 31 39
2015-04-07	9	3rd	2 4 14 25 30
2015-03-29	5	1st	14 19 28 29 36
2015-03-24	2	2nd	11 14 18 24 39
2015-03-22	3	1st	14 16 17 22 30
2015-03-19	11	3rd	8 12 14 15 34
2015-03-08	5	1st	14 17 23 24 38
2015-03-03	22	3rd	4 8 14 20 21
2015-02-09	7	2nd	2 14 19 33 37
2015-02-02	1	1st	14 20 26 29 38
2015-02-01	8	2nd	9 14 19 20 32
2015-01-24	15	3rd	8 9 14 15 27
2015-01-09	12	2nd	9 14 33 36 38
2014-12-28	2	3rd	1 3 14 20 28
2014-12-26	5	2nd	10 14 16 35 39
2014-12-21	1	3rd	4 13 14 23 27
2014-12-20	7	2nd	2 14 17 18 19
2014-12-13	13	3rd	9 11 14 18 33
2014-11-30	2	3rd	12 13 14 17 34
2014-11-28	10	2nd	3 14 22 27 37
2014-11-18	24	2nd	3 14 23 29 38
2014-10-25	16	4th	2 7 11 14 30
2014-10-09	18	1st	14 22 32 35 36
2014-09-21	11	1st	14 15 20 24 27
2014-09-10	10	3rd	7 12 14 21 34
2014-08-31	22	1st	14 18 25 28 29
2014-08-09	11	2nd	6 14 29 37 39
2014-07-29	3	3rd	3 8 14 22 30
2014-07-26	4	3rd	4 8 14 28 38
2014-07-22	11	2nd	6 14 20 22 26
2014-07-11	14	3rd	6 7 14 22 31
2014-06-26	15	2nd	11 14 15 27 39
2014-06-11	1	2nd	7 14 23 24 39
2014-06-10	8	3rd	2 13 14 19 23
2014-06-02	4	3rd	9 13 14 33 37
2014-05-29	6	2nd	2 14 28 29 34
2014-05-23	25	4th	2 6 10 14 22
2014-04-28	10	3rd	3 11 14 19 36
2014-04-18	1	3rd	6 13 14 22 38
2014-04-17	8	2nd	13 14 31 33 34
2014-04-09	8	3rd	8 13 14 24 28
2014-04-01	14	1st	14 15 21 23 39
2014-03-18	13	2nd	10 14 23 27 34
2014-03-05	5	3rd	1 8 14 20 33
2014-02-28	1	3rd	12 13 14 16 20
2014-02-27	4	1st	14 15 26 28 38
2014-02-23	3	2nd	12 14 17 19 36
2014-02-20	1	1st	14 17 18 19 31
2014-02-19	1	2nd	10 14 30 33 38
2014-02-18	3	1st	14 20 24 25 29
2014-02-15	5	2nd	4 14 19 26 38
2014-02-10	1	1st	14 18 23 36 37
2014-02-09	6	2nd	4 14 15 28 39
2014-02-03	15	1st	14 16 19 20 22
2014-01-19	9	2nd	13 14 19 31 37
2014-01-10	11	3rd	3 13 14 15 23
2013-12-30	3	3rd	3 11 14 17 19
2013-12-27	11	3rd	2 13 14 18 27
2013-12-16	8	2nd	3 14 16 19 23
2013-12-08	6	1st	14 23 24 32 35
2013-12-02	12	5th	3 8 10 11 14
2013-11-20	11	2nd	6 14 22 30 34
2013-11-09	28	2nd	9 14 24 31 37
2013-10-12	2	2nd	10 14 31 33 38
2013-10-10	4	2nd	11 14 25 28 32
2013-10-06	4	3rd	3 6 14 17 33
2013-10-02	1	3rd	11 12 14 15 17
2013-10-01	6	3rd	7 12 14 15 23
2013-09-25	7	1st	14 16 24 36 38
2013-09-18	14	3rd	9 11 14 17 29
2013-09-04	5	3rd	12 13 14 18 38
2013-08-30	5	2nd	9 14 22 30 31
2013-08-25	4	3rd	3 6 14 15 36
2013-08-21	6	3rd	10 12 14 32 34
2013-08-15	5	5th	7 11 12 13 14
2013-08-10	14	3rd	3 11 14 16 25
2013-07-27	10	3rd	4 7 14 25 26
2013-07-17	5	2nd	1 14 16 28 37
2013-07-12	6	1st	14 16 24 25 26
2013-07-06	3	3rd	9 10 14 16 22
2013-07-03	2	2nd	6 14 16 28 31
2013-07-01	1	2nd	6 14 17 20 38
2013-06-30	16	3rd	4 6 14 30 35
2013-06-14	3	2nd	10 14 20 26 36
2013-06-11	5	2nd	3 14 23 36 37
2013-06-06	2	2nd	1 14 17 33 36
2013-06-04	2	3rd	2 10 14 24 26
2013-06-02	7	1st	14 22 31 33 38
2013-05-26	1	2nd	6 14 21 23 31
2013-05-25	15	2nd	9 14 17 18 26
2013-05-10	18	2nd	7 14 24 30 35
2013-04-22	12	2nd	3 14 16 17 34
2013-04-10	2	2nd	1 14 17 23 29
2013-04-08	2	3rd	4 11 14 15 39
2013-04-06	18	3rd	1 4 14 32 37
2013-03-19	2	2nd	6 14 21 26 39
2013-03-17	7	1st	14 28 30 32 34
2013-03-10	12	4th	2 5 11 14 23
2013-02-26	15	2nd	2 14 15 28 38
2013-02-11	1	3rd	2 9 14 21 38
2013-02-10	6	2nd	13 14 23 29 34
2013-02-04	2	1st	14 17 26 29 33
2013-02-02	1	1st	14 16 34 35 37
2013-02-01	11	4th	8 9 10 14 16
2013-01-21	3	1st	14 16 32 33 36
2013-01-18	1	2nd	6 14 36 38 39
2013-01-17	7	3rd	1 8 14 32 39
2013-01-10	50	1st	14 19 20 27 31
2012-11-21	10	4th	1 3 8 14 30
2012-11-11	7	2nd	8 14 22 23 38
2012-11-04	7	2nd	1 14 23 33 38
2012-10-28	29	3rd	7 12 14 28 34
2012-09-29	2	4th	1 10 12 14 30
2012-09-27	9	2nd	13 14 18 21 23
2012-09-18	21	2nd	8 14 17 30 34
2012-08-28	6	3rd	1 10 14 25 29
2012-08-22	8	3rd	2 11 14 26 34
2012-08-14	19	2nd	8 14 16 32 38
2012-07-26	35	1st	14 20 33 38 39
2012-06-20	2	2nd	9 14 20 26 31
2012-06-18	7	1st	14 15 21 37 38
2012-06-11	21	2nd	5 14 16 23 37
2012-05-21	22	3rd	2 4 14 25 32
2012-04-27	6	2nd	12 14 22 27 34
2012-04-21	1	4th	1 5 10 14 38
2012-04-20	8	2nd	3 14 17 22 37
2012-04-12	3	3rd	3 7 14 24 32
2012-04-09	5	1st	14 16 19 20 32
2012-04-04	7	1st	14 22 28 31 36
2012-03-28	6	1st	14 25 28 33 34
2012-03-22	4	2nd	4 14 15 21 39
2012-03-18	4	3rd	2 13 14 31 34
2012-03-14	4	1st	14 15 21 22 25
2012-03-10	5	1st	14 16 25 27 32
2012-03-05	2	2nd	12 14 33 36 37
2012-03-03	15	3rd	4 10 14 15 22
2012-02-17	1	2nd	11 14 27 32 33
2012-02-16	22	2nd	8 14 35 36 37
2012-01-25	15	1st	14 27 29 37 38
2012-01-10	12	3rd	6 11 14 20 36
2011-12-29	2	3rd	8 13 14 24 27
2011-12-27	1	3rd	5 8 14 21 35
2011-12-26	10	2nd	2 14 22 27 35
2011-12-16	3	2nd	8 14 17 22 36
2011-12-13	8	2nd	3 14 21 30 38
2011-12-05	8	2nd	10 14 25 31 33
2011-11-27	14	4th	1 7 9 14 28
2011-11-13	2	4th	3 4 6 14 30
2011-11-11	21	4th	5 9 11 14 23
2011-10-21	8	3rd	7 11 14 22 26
2011-10-12	7	4th	2 3 6 14 22
2011-10-05	10	2nd	8 14 20 33 38
2011-09-25	3	3rd	1 2 14 17 31
2011-09-22	8	2nd	2 14 20 25 38
2011-09-14	18	1st	14 24 25 33 34
2011-08-27	12	2nd	13 14 18 33 38
2011-08-15	9	2nd	5 14 19 30 39
2011-08-05	2	2nd	13 14 17 23 26
2011-08-03	1	2nd	11 14 30 32 35
2011-08-02	2	2nd	1 14 23 35 39
2011-07-31	2	3rd	4 5 14 15 25
2011-07-29	6	2nd	13 14 16 30 35
2011-07-23	18	2nd	10 14 16 29 38
2011-07-05	1	2nd	8 14 21 27 38
2011-07-04	2	1st	14 16 21 23 27
2011-07-01	1	3rd	5 11 14 30 31
2011-06-30	1	3rd	3 7 14 28 36
2011-06-29	3	2nd	10 14 16 20 28
2011-06-26	9	1st	14 17 19 20 29
2011-06-17	26	3rd	3 6 14 17 33
2011-05-22	9	2nd	7 14 25 36 38
2011-05-13	9	2nd	7 14 31 32 37
2011-05-04	17	2nd	6 14 17 18 32
2011-04-17	8	2nd	7 14 19 27 30
2011-04-09	1	1st	14 19 25 26 34
2011-04-08	19	3rd	5 11 14 28 36
2011-03-20	3	4th	4 9 11 14 25
2011-03-17	5	1st	14 16 20 28 36
2011-03-12	10	1st	14 23 26 35 39
2011-03-02	6	3rd	4 13 14 17 23
2011-02-24	16	3rd	10 11 14 15 16
2011-02-08	1	1st	14 22 25 27 33
2011-02-07	5	4th	5 7 11 14 19
2011-02-02	5	2nd	4 14 18 29 39
2011-01-28	14	2nd	12 14 20 22 35
2011-01-14	18	2nd	13 14 17 23 30
2010-12-27	26	3rd	3 12 14 17 38
2010-12-01	6	1st	14 15 16 21 32
2010-11-25	3	2nd	6 14 31 32 38
2010-11-22	1	3rd	7 8 14 34 36
2010-11-21	1	1st	14 20 26 27 33
2010-11-20	2	2nd	3 14 17 23 31
2010-11-18	2	2nd	2 14 15 29 32
2010-11-16	3	2nd	13 14 17 25 31
2010-11-13	16	1st	14 18 25 31 33
2010-10-28	7	3rd	3 10 14 19 28
2010-10-21	24	2nd	8 14 16 27 28
2010-09-27	2	5th	1 5 7 12 14
2010-09-25	5	1st	14 20 24 27 31
2010-09-20	6	2nd	6 14 24 34 37
2010-09-14	6	1st	14 17 21 23 38
2010-09-08	1	3rd	5 9 14 17 37
2010-09-07	5	2nd	4 14 22 32 39
2010-09-02	1	1st	14 18 27 30 39
2010-09-01	20	2nd	7 14 21 24 30
2010-08-12	5	2nd	12 14 15 24 30
2010-08-07	25	3rd	3 5 14 33 39
2010-07-13	10	2nd	9 14 21 31 32
2010-07-03	7	2nd	12 14 15 17 23
2010-06-26	15	1st	14 15 17 20 26
2010-06-11	6	2nd	4 14 30 36 38
2010-06-05	11	3rd	11 13 14 24 30
2010-05-25	10	2nd	13 14 19 24 32
2010-05-15	18	2nd	2 14 34 38 39
2010-04-27	7	1st	14 16 23 26 30
2010-04-20	—	2nd	10 14 17 25 34