Number 18

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

297times drawn · chance expected 309 −0.71σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

44longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 297 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, −0.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 297 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 44 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest20 · chance 24.1
2nd smallest88 · chance 91.0
3rd smallest133 · chance 114.9
4th smallest51 · chance 57.5
5th smallest5 · chance 9.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 31.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

24 2 12 38 4 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-15	5	3rd	2 17 18 21 23
2016-11-10	1	4th	8 12 13 18 30
2016-11-09	15	2nd	6 18 22 23 29
2016-10-25	17	4th	7 8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-03-06	2	3rd	7 11 18 24 31
2016-03-04	2	2nd	16 18 24 36 38
2016-03-02	1	2nd	11 18 33 37 38
2016-03-01	1	2nd	3 18 19 27 30
2016-02-29	20	2nd	17 18 23 27 34
2016-02-09	2	3rd	14 16 18 27 36
2016-02-07	8	4th	1 8 9 18 31
2016-01-30	14	5th	2 5 11 15 18
2016-01-16	8	3rd	4 15 18 33 34
2016-01-08	4	2nd	7 18 24 34 37
2016-01-04	7	3rd	6 8 18 32 37
2015-12-28	11	3rd	2 11 18 20 35
2015-12-17	2	2nd	8 18 22 29 35
2015-12-15	2	3rd	10 17 18 24 33
2015-12-13	7	3rd	9 10 18 24 30
2015-12-06	7	2nd	1 18 20 22 35
2015-11-29	11	2nd	7 18 22 28 36
2015-11-18	4	2nd	10 18 34 35 39
2015-11-14	1	2nd	11 18 19 26 39
2015-11-13	1	3rd	7 12 18 35 38
2015-11-12	2	3rd	6 12 18 32 39
2015-11-10	8	2nd	12 18 20 24 35
2015-11-02	40	3rd	5 13 18 27 34
2015-09-23	4	3rd	4 8 18 26 30
2015-09-19	11	2nd	3 18 21 28 35
2015-09-08	2	3rd	2 6 18 23 33
2015-09-06	4	4th	4 5 17 18 23
2015-09-02	10	3rd	2 5 18 30 31
2015-08-23	2	3rd	4 13 18 24 38
2015-08-21	11	3rd	1 12 18 34 35
2015-08-10	2	3rd	1 13 18 24 26
2015-08-08	5	2nd	2 18 23 27 32
2015-08-03	23	3rd	8 15 18 30 35
2015-07-11	22	2nd	8 18 31 33 38
2015-06-19	2	1st	18 20 24 32 39
2015-06-17	4	2nd	3 18 20 34 37
2015-06-13	10	3rd	13 16 18 26 35
2015-06-03	6	1st	18 20 23 28 30
2015-05-28	2	3rd	1 5 18 21 24
2015-05-26	24	4th	1 3 8 18 28
2015-05-01	4	4th	4 9 17 18 29
2015-04-27	3	3rd	9 16 18 19 27
2015-04-24	6	4th	11 14 17 18 27
2015-04-18	6	3rd	12 16 18 22 31
2015-04-12	1	3rd	1 14 18 30 39
2015-04-11	15	3rd	5 13 18 19 22
2015-03-27	3	3rd	8 16 18 27 34
2015-03-24	1	3rd	11 14 18 24 39
2015-03-23	3	3rd	7 11 18 23 24
2015-03-20	7	3rd	1 6 18 21 28
2015-03-13	4	4th	3 12 13 18 27
2015-03-09	2	2nd	8 18 22 32 35
2015-03-07	3	3rd	8 15 18 34 36
2015-03-04	2	2nd	6 18 23 24 39
2015-03-02	1	2nd	6 18 22 34 37
2015-03-01	26	3rd	3 13 18 20 34
2015-02-03	18	4th	3 4 11 18 26
2015-01-16	3	4th	5 6 13 18 27
2015-01-13	14	2nd	12 18 26 30 34
2014-12-30	6	3rd	2 15 18 25 28
2014-12-24	4	4th	2 8 13 18 28
2014-12-20	1	4th	2 14 17 18 19
2014-12-19	2	2nd	16 18 19 22 38
2014-12-17	3	2nd	11 18 22 26 27
2014-12-14	1	2nd	12 18 19 24 27
2014-12-13	18	4th	9 11 14 18 33
2014-11-25	2	2nd	7 18 24 27 39
2014-11-23	6	3rd	5 11 18 23 25
2014-11-17	5	2nd	7 18 28 36 38
2014-11-12	8	3rd	1 12 18 23 28
2014-11-04	3	1st	18 27 30 31 38
2014-11-01	3	1st	18 21 25 26 33
2014-10-29	16	3rd	4 8 18 29 30
2014-10-13	5	3rd	2 6 18 26 33
2014-10-08	2	3rd	6 16 18 21 24
2014-10-06	22	3rd	2 7 18 28 34
2014-09-14	6	3rd	10 17 18 28 29
2014-09-08	8	4th	7 11 13 18 32
2014-08-31	19	2nd	14 18 25 28 29
2014-08-12	8	2nd	13 18 20 21 37
2014-08-04	3	2nd	3 18 23 30 34
2014-08-01	11	3rd	7 13 18 19 32
2014-07-21	12	2nd	11 18 26 27 28
2014-07-09	8	2nd	11 18 22 27 32
2014-06-30	5	3rd	2 12 18 25 27
2014-06-25	1	2nd	13 18 23 25 38
2014-06-24	7	3rd	1 8 18 24 27
2014-06-17	2	2nd	1 18 27 32 39
2014-06-15	6	4th	9 16 17 18 39
2014-06-09	5	4th	3 12 17 18 32
2014-06-04	10	5th	1 6 13 15 18
2014-05-25	3	1st	18 19 35 38 39
2014-05-22	8	3rd	2 6 18 31 36
2014-05-14	9	3rd	6 12 18 20 23
2014-05-05	9	2nd	17 18 19 33 38
2014-04-26	6	4th	2 3 5 18 26
2014-04-20	6	4th	2 10 11 18 25
2014-04-14	4	4th	5 6 9 18 23
2014-04-10	3	2nd	9 18 23 24 27
2014-04-07	9	2nd	15 18 20 21 38
2014-03-29	13	3rd	11 15 18 33 34
2014-03-16	2	4th	7 8 17 18 28
2014-03-14	2	2nd	7 18 26 28 38
2014-03-12	5	3rd	2 7 18 29 39
2014-03-07	15	3rd	4 13 18 21 24
2014-02-20	4	3rd	14 17 18 19 31
2014-02-16	6	2nd	7 18 24 29 36
2014-02-10	2	2nd	14 18 23 36 37
2014-02-08	15	3rd	7 11 18 28 33
2014-01-24	7	3rd	15 17 18 23 39
2014-01-17	1	3rd	6 15 18 20 21
2014-01-16	5	3rd	2 4 18 28 32
2014-01-11	15	1st	18 21 31 33 34
2013-12-27	5	4th	2 13 14 18 27
2013-12-22	3	3rd	11 15 18 24 39
2013-12-19	4	3rd	6 9 18 22 24
2013-12-15	9	3rd	4 6 18 27 38
2013-12-06	3	3rd	6 12 18 36 39
2013-12-03	12	5th	6 8 9 12 18
2013-11-21	9	2nd	17 18 20 31 39
2013-11-12	8	2nd	3 18 21 32 38
2013-11-04	7	2nd	15 18 22 30 34
2013-10-28	6	4th	1 3 9 18 36
2013-10-22	7	3rd	2 10 18 21 29
2013-10-15	12	2nd	4 18 21 30 31
2013-10-03	19	2nd	3 18 23 25 35
2013-09-14	4	2nd	16 18 22 29 31
2013-09-10	1	3rd	5 12 18 23 38
2013-09-09	5	3rd	7 10 18 21 37
2013-09-04	6	4th	12 13 14 18 38
2013-08-29	22	2nd	16 18 24 29 30
2013-08-07	13	3rd	5 7 18 22 24
2013-07-25	4	2nd	11 18 20 26 29
2013-07-21	25	3rd	8 13 18 32 39
2013-06-26	14	2nd	6 18 24 29 34
2013-06-12	4	3rd	1 10 18 34 37
2013-06-08	5	3rd	12 17 18 23 24
2013-06-03	4	4th	4 9 11 18 21
2013-05-30	5	3rd	1 5 18 24 36
2013-05-25	6	4th	9 14 17 18 26
2013-05-19	3	2nd	7 18 20 25 29
2013-05-16	1	3rd	2 15 18 21 38
2013-05-15	18	1st	18 23 35 36 37
2013-04-27	2	3rd	2 11 18 31 38
2013-04-25	1	4th	6 9 10 18 28
2013-04-24	15	3rd	12 15 18 27 39
2013-04-09	8	3rd	13 16 18 29 39
2013-04-01	44	3rd	3 7 18 26 30
2013-02-16	1	2nd	11 18 29 32 39
2013-02-15	6	2nd	5 18 19 31 35
2013-02-09	9	3rd	4 11 18 22 33
2013-01-31	22	2nd	7 18 26 32 36
2013-01-09	13	1st	18 19 30 33 38
2012-12-27	12	3rd	5 8 18 29 31
2012-12-15	8	3rd	2 11 18 34 37
2012-12-07	4	1st	18 21 25 29 32
2012-12-03	4	3rd	1 8 18 25 26
2012-11-29	15	3rd	1 17 18 22 28
2012-11-14	1	3rd	3 10 18 36 39
2012-11-13	11	3rd	1 2 18 20 33
2012-11-02	2	4th	7 8 10 18 38
2012-10-31	10	3rd	6 15 18 26 32
2012-10-21	9	2nd	4 18 29 36 38
2012-10-12	1	3rd	3 11 18 26 35
2012-10-11	8	4th	2 4 11 18 27
2012-10-03	6	2nd	9 18 21 30 34
2012-09-27	1	3rd	13 14 18 21 23
2012-09-26	15	3rd	4 12 18 22 33
2012-09-11	5	2nd	7 18 23 29 30
2012-09-06	6	2nd	16 18 25 31 34
2012-08-31	12	3rd	4 5 18 29 37
2012-08-19	11	2nd	3 18 23 28 35
2012-08-08	7	3rd	7 9 18 25 29
2012-08-01	15	3rd	2 8 18 31 38
2012-07-17	14	3rd	2 6 18 27 38
2012-07-03	1	3rd	4 8 18 19 24
2012-07-02	14	1st	18 19 35 36 38
2012-06-17	14	2nd	15 18 31 34 35
2012-06-03	36	4th	7 8 10 18 33
2012-04-26	15	3rd	5 6 18 19 24
2012-04-11	3	3rd	9 12 18 24 28
2012-04-08	35	2nd	12 18 27 33 38
2012-03-04	2	2nd	6 18 23 25 26
2012-03-02	25	2nd	16 18 26 30 34
2012-02-06	1	3rd	6 11 18 36 37
2012-02-05	1	3rd	2 15 18 20 29
2012-02-04	4	2nd	4 18 25 33 35
2012-01-31	2	4th	3 9 16 18 35
2012-01-29	7	4th	3 6 11 18 38
2012-01-22	15	2nd	2 18 26 27 36
2012-01-07	19	4th	4 9 13 18 34
2011-12-19	8	1st	18 24 26 30 36
2011-12-11	3	3rd	3 9 18 21 33
2011-12-08	6	3rd	4 15 18 28 35
2011-12-02	32	1st	18 19 20 30 31
2011-10-31	3	3rd	2 17 18 21 32
2011-10-28	10	3rd	4 12 18 20 39
2011-10-18	1	3rd	6 9 18 21 36
2011-10-17	2	3rd	11 16 18 32 36
2011-10-14	7	3rd	13 15 18 36 39
2011-10-07	9	2nd	13 18 19 29 32
2011-09-28	9	5th	2 4 5 11 18
2011-09-19	4	3rd	8 16 18 21 35
2011-09-15	2	4th	1 2 12 18 32
2011-09-13	7	3rd	12 15 18 23 31
2011-09-06	1	4th	4 5 6 18 36
2011-09-05	5	2nd	5 18 25 28 38
2011-08-31	4	1st	18 20 29 31 34
2011-08-27	10	3rd	13 14 18 33 38
2011-08-17	8	4th	1 2 9 18 19
2011-08-08	24	3rd	11 13 18 19 24
2011-07-15	20	2nd	17 18 24 30 31
2011-06-24	1	1st	18 24 29 34 39
2011-06-23	4	1st	18 19 26 37 38
2011-06-19	29	3rd	4 12 18 22 28
2011-05-21	13	2nd	3 18 26 32 34
2011-05-08	2	3rd	2 4 18 19 36
2011-05-06	2	2nd	4 18 20 32 36
2011-05-04	2	4th	6 14 17 18 32
2011-05-02	26	1st	18 27 29 32 38
2011-04-06	4	3rd	9 12 18 21 25
2011-04-02	3	3rd	1 12 18 28 32
2011-03-30	3	4th	8 13 16 18 26
2011-03-27	24	3rd	5 16 18 23 31
2011-03-03	14	3rd	2 3 18 25 32
2011-02-17	6	3rd	10 13 18 28 39
2011-02-11	9	3rd	2 9 18 26 38
2011-02-02	8	3rd	4 14 18 29 39
2011-01-25	3	4th	5 10 17 18 28
2011-01-22	1	4th	6 12 16 18 25
2011-01-21	10	3rd	12 15 18 20 23
2011-01-11	6	2nd	4 18 24 30 35
2011-01-05	18	2nd	16 18 24 25 33
2010-12-18	6	2nd	12 18 20 23 39
2010-12-12	1	3rd	10 12 18 19 35
2010-12-11	5	3rd	2 7 18 20 29
2010-12-06	9	3rd	6 13 18 20 34
2010-11-27	8	3rd	15 17 18 30 34
2010-11-19	6	3rd	2 13 18 23 38
2010-11-13	21	2nd	14 18 25 31 33
2010-10-23	4	3rd	8 10 18 24 28
2010-10-19	8	1st	18 23 24 27 30
2010-10-11	3	3rd	4 15 18 25 29
2010-10-08	4	2nd	7 18 24 25 29
2010-10-04	23	4th	2 5 8 18 30
2010-09-11	2	4th	6 7 9 18 31
2010-09-09	3	2nd	9 18 19 27 37
2010-09-06	4	2nd	15 18 25 34 39
2010-09-02	11	2nd	14 18 27 30 39
2010-08-22	7	4th	5 6 9 18 36
2010-08-15	12	3rd	2 8 18 26 28
2010-08-03	7	3rd	7 13 18 21 24
2010-07-27	8	2nd	2 18 26 34 35
2010-07-19	1	2nd	2 18 30 33 36
2010-07-18	11	4th	3 4 9 18 24
2010-07-07	3	2nd	17 18 19 25 37
2010-07-04	10	3rd	4 7 18 22 34
2010-06-24	7	2nd	12 18 20 21 38
2010-06-17	1	5th	6 9 11 12 18
2010-06-16	2	2nd	4 18 31 38 39
2010-06-14	1	2nd	10 18 19 21 39
2010-06-13	12	2nd	10 18 20 35 36
2010-06-01	2	1st	18 23 28 30 33
2010-05-30	8	4th	2 7 11 18 28
2010-05-22	8	3rd	13 16 18 30 35
2010-05-14	5	2nd	12 18 26 28 33
2010-05-09	3	3rd	3 7 18 34 39
2010-05-06	2	2nd	1 18 19 25 35
2010-05-04	4	3rd	3 12 18 27 37
2010-04-30	1	2nd	16 18 26 35 36
2010-04-29	3	3rd	4 8 18 22 30
2010-04-26	14	4th	4 12 13 18 21
2010-04-12	—	2nd	17 18 22 26 31