Number 30

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

323times drawn · chance expected 309 +0.88σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

58longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 323 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, +0.88σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 323 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 58 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.6
2nd smallest5 · chance 10.7
3rd smallest63 · chance 64.0
4th smallest148 · chance 143.9
5th smallest106 · chance 103.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 34.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 24 16 8 12 23

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-13	3	4th	6 22 25 30 38
2016-11-10	4	5th	8 12 13 18 30
2016-11-06	7	4th	2 17 25 30 34
2016-10-30	6	4th	1 2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-05-11	14	4th	13 17 28 30 39
2016-04-27	12	5th	8 9 11 17 30
2016-04-15	7	5th	5 8 23 25 30
2016-04-08	5	3rd	20 23 30 31 33
2016-04-03	3	4th	9 20 23 30 38
2016-03-31	1	5th	3 6 22 24 30
2016-03-30	1	5th	4 10 16 25 30
2016-03-29	12	5th	2 8 9 19 30
2016-03-17	1	5th	3 5 9 21 30
2016-03-16	2	4th	3 17 24 30 38
2016-03-14	9	5th	1 16 24 27 30
2016-03-05	4	2nd	16 30 32 34 36
2016-03-01	13	5th	3 18 19 27 30
2016-02-17	4	4th	7 23 25 30 38
2016-02-13	18	4th	1 6 17 30 39
2016-01-26	7	3rd	2 4 30 38 39
2016-01-19	4	3rd	2 15 30 32 35
2016-01-15	6	5th	11 12 24 28 30
2016-01-09	2	3rd	1 19 30 34 35
2016-01-07	7	4th	4 15 16 30 39
2015-12-31	1	5th	8 9 15 24 30
2015-12-30	5	3rd	2 14 30 33 37
2015-12-25	9	3rd	2 12 30 31 36
2015-12-16	3	5th	2 3 16 29 30
2015-12-13	8	5th	9 10 18 24 30
2015-12-05	3	3rd	17 29 30 31 33
2015-12-02	8	5th	3 5 23 24 30
2015-11-24	2	4th	1 13 26 30 34
2015-11-22	14	3rd	5 8 30 34 39
2015-11-08	7	4th	2 21 24 30 34
2015-11-01	6	5th	11 17 20 24 30
2015-10-26	1	4th	4 25 27 30 38
2015-10-25	2	5th	3 5 19 20 30
2015-10-23	16	5th	12 14 22 24 30
2015-10-07	4	4th	7 14 29 30 35
2015-10-03	7	5th	5 16 21 23 30
2015-09-26	1	2nd	4 30 31 37 38
2015-09-25	2	4th	7 8 10 30 35
2015-09-23	16	5th	4 8 18 26 30
2015-09-07	5	4th	2 15 19 30 36
2015-09-02	6	4th	2 5 18 30 31
2015-08-27	8	4th	1 3 25 30 33
2015-08-19	16	5th	2 21 22 28 30
2015-08-03	16	4th	8 15 18 30 35
2015-07-18	9	5th	11 22 26 27 30
2015-07-09	14	5th	13 20 27 29 30
2015-06-25	2	4th	2 4 6 30 38
2015-06-23	5	2nd	23 30 32 36 39
2015-06-18	7	4th	3 7 29 30 39
2015-06-11	1	5th	5 10 14 27 30
2015-06-10	7	4th	4 7 23 30 39
2015-06-03	1	5th	18 20 23 28 30
2015-06-02	10	4th	4 5 27 30 32
2015-05-23	7	4th	3 14 22 30 35
2015-05-16	2	5th	11 21 26 28 30
2015-05-14	2	4th	1 7 13 30 33
2015-05-12	2	4th	3 9 19 30 31
2015-05-10	27	4th	6 24 27 30 35
2015-04-12	5	4th	1 14 18 30 39
2015-04-07	16	5th	2 4 14 25 30
2015-03-22	5	5th	14 16 17 22 30
2015-03-17	17	5th	2 5 9 16 30
2015-02-28	2	5th	2 8 21 29 30
2015-02-26	21	5th	10 11 12 13 30
2015-02-05	10	3rd	17 20 30 34 37
2015-01-26	1	5th	4 6 7 15 30
2015-01-25	4	3rd	19 21 30 37 38
2015-01-21	6	4th	8 15 26 30 33
2015-01-15	2	4th	5 12 15 30 34
2015-01-13	9	4th	12 18 26 30 34
2015-01-04	10	5th	13 21 24 28 30
2014-12-25	13	4th	21 24 25 30 36
2014-12-12	1	5th	3 6 9 15 30
2014-12-11	5	4th	15 21 29 30 36
2014-12-06	3	4th	13 23 29 30 32
2014-12-03	2	4th	2 8 12 30 33
2014-12-01	10	5th	1 5 19 29 30
2014-11-21	2	4th	7 12 13 30 35
2014-11-19	3	4th	9 12 15 30 34
2014-11-16	6	4th	10 15 29 30 38
2014-11-10	2	5th	8 11 13 15 30
2014-11-08	4	4th	1 10 19 30 36
2014-11-04	5	3rd	18 27 30 31 38
2014-10-30	1	4th	1 13 24 30 35
2014-10-29	4	5th	4 8 18 29 30
2014-10-25	11	5th	2 7 11 14 30
2014-10-14	58	4th	1 11 26 30 32
2014-08-17	13	4th	7 17 21 30 38
2014-08-04	6	4th	3 18 23 30 34
2014-07-29	6	5th	3 8 14 22 30
2014-07-23	3	3rd	1 11 30 31 36
2014-07-20	12	5th	1 7 21 22 30
2014-07-08	5	4th	13 15 19 30 39
2014-07-02	5	4th	15 20 22 30 36
2014-06-27	9	4th	16 19 20 30 35
2014-06-18	12	3rd	16 24 30 35 39
2014-06-06	9	4th	1 8 17 30 35
2014-05-28	24	5th	10 11 12 28 30
2014-05-04	12	4th	10 23 25 30 36
2014-04-22	3	4th	6 20 24 30 32
2014-04-19	16	5th	1 2 20 25 30
2014-04-03	9	3rd	5 25 30 32 33
2014-03-25	15	5th	11 21 22 29 30
2014-03-10	19	3rd	16 29 30 38 39
2014-02-19	38	3rd	10 14 30 33 38
2014-01-12	5	5th	11 12 27 29 30
2014-01-07	4	3rd	5 21 30 31 35
2014-01-03	20	3rd	19 29 30 33 37
2013-12-14	1	4th	13 25 26 30 34
2013-12-13	4	4th	25 28 29 30 33
2013-12-09	8	3rd	11 28 30 31 33
2013-12-01	11	3rd	11 17 30 35 37
2013-11-20	4	4th	6 14 22 30 34
2013-11-16	1	4th	4 11 19 30 33
2013-11-15	11	4th	3 5 23 30 35
2013-11-04	2	4th	15 18 22 30 34
2013-11-02	4	5th	4 9 25 26 30
2013-10-29	2	4th	3 6 23 30 32
2013-10-27	9	5th	2 6 10 12 30
2013-10-18	3	3rd	2 22 30 37 38
2013-10-15	23	4th	4 18 21 30 31
2013-09-22	15	4th	3 13 16 30 39
2013-09-07	5	3rd	16 25 30 33 34
2013-09-02	3	4th	6 7 26 30 38
2013-08-30	1	4th	9 14 22 30 31
2013-08-29	1	5th	16 18 24 29 30
2013-08-28	11	5th	9 15 19 25 30
2013-08-17	11	4th	5 8 12 30 34
2013-08-06	1	4th	4 19 23 30 33
2013-08-05	12	5th	1 8 11 19 30
2013-07-24	13	4th	2 10 13 30 32
2013-07-11	11	3rd	1 2 30 35 38
2013-06-30	5	4th	4 6 14 30 35
2013-06-25	3	5th	4 12 13 20 30
2013-06-22	43	5th	1 12 15 29 30
2013-05-10	3	4th	7 14 24 30 35
2013-05-07	18	5th	9 12 17 28 30
2013-04-19	1	3rd	9 17 30 35 36
2013-04-18	6	4th	2 16 24 30 35
2013-04-12	10	4th	3 16 24 30 33
2013-04-02	1	4th	11 15 20 30 32
2013-04-01	5	5th	3 7 18 26 30
2013-03-27	9	5th	1 17 20 28 30
2013-03-18	1	4th	2 12 27 30 32
2013-03-17	8	3rd	14 28 30 32 34
2013-03-09	3	5th	2 5 10 19 30
2013-03-06	9	5th	3 5 15 25 30
2013-02-25	12	5th	19 22 25 26 30
2013-02-13	17	4th	8 15 17 30 39
2013-01-27	3	3rd	12 29 30 34 39
2013-01-24	4	5th	6 10 22 28 30
2013-01-20	11	4th	22 23 27 30 37
2013-01-09	6	3rd	18 19 30 33 38
2013-01-03	2	4th	1 20 25 30 38
2013-01-01	1	4th	6 8 12 30 33
2012-12-31	3	3rd	8 11 30 32 37
2012-12-28	12	5th	3 12 24 29 30
2012-12-16	15	5th	2 3 10 23 30
2012-12-01	10	4th	3 21 26 30 36
2012-11-21	3	5th	1 3 8 14 30
2012-11-18	12	4th	3 5 6 30 36
2012-11-06	34	5th	2 5 24 26 30
2012-10-03	3	4th	9 18 21 30 34
2012-09-30	1	3rd	5 11 30 36 39
2012-09-29	4	5th	1 10 12 14 30
2012-09-25	7	5th	2 7 8 12 30
2012-09-18	4	4th	8 14 17 30 34
2012-09-14	3	3rd	23 29 30 36 37
2012-09-11	1	5th	7 18 23 29 30
2012-09-10	8	4th	7 16 29 30 32
2012-09-02	9	4th	16 20 29 30 38
2012-08-24	1	2nd	12 30 31 35 38
2012-08-23	5	4th	12 22 28 30 35
2012-08-18	6	2nd	27 30 32 35 39
2012-08-12	27	4th	2 3 16 30 31
2012-07-16	11	5th	9 12 23 28 30
2012-07-05	13	3rd	9 23 30 35 39
2012-06-21	12	4th	2 11 17 30 33
2012-06-09	7	5th	4 8 15 25 30
2012-06-02	2	4th	8 10 22 30 31
2012-05-31	8	5th	2 21 25 27 30
2012-05-23	3	4th	3 19 24 30 37
2012-05-20	10	4th	1 6 17 30 36
2012-05-08	19	3rd	12 21 30 36 38
2012-04-19	12	5th	3 5 13 28 30
2012-04-07	12	3rd	15 19 30 38 39
2012-03-26	1	3rd	1 12 30 33 39
2012-03-25	10	5th	2 12 13 23 30
2012-03-15	2	3rd	1 17 30 33 38
2012-03-13	7	5th	1 11 13 24 30
2012-03-06	4	3rd	2 4 30 32 39
2012-03-02	5	4th	16 18 26 30 34
2012-02-26	4	3rd	27 28 30 31 36
2012-02-22	1	4th	19 21 22 30 33
2012-02-21	9	5th	1 8 11 19 30
2012-02-12	4	5th	8 16 28 29 30
2012-02-08	1	3rd	1 3 30 38 39
2012-02-07	12	4th	8 22 26 30 34
2012-01-26	3	5th	1 5 26 27 30
2012-01-23	3	4th	19 20 23 30 38
2012-01-20	4	4th	2 9 27 30 36
2012-01-16	22	4th	16 22 28 30 38
2011-12-25	5	4th	6 9 12 30 32
2011-12-20	1	5th	12 15 23 24 30
2011-12-19	6	4th	18 24 26 30 36
2011-12-13	1	4th	3 14 21 30 38
2011-12-12	10	5th	1 10 16 23 30
2011-12-02	4	4th	18 19 20 30 31
2011-11-28	2	4th	4 24 25 30 34
2011-11-26	1	4th	16 19 29 30 37
2011-11-25	3	5th	6 7 19 28 30
2011-11-22	9	4th	16 21 28 30 34
2011-11-13	1	5th	3 4 6 14 30
2011-11-12	4	5th	7 10 16 25 30
2011-11-08	5	4th	12 24 25 30 38
2011-11-03	1	5th	5 8 20 22 30
2011-11-02	24	5th	2 7 16 27 30
2011-10-08	30	5th	9 13 15 24 30
2011-09-08	5	4th	2 12 19 30 31
2011-09-03	16	4th	16 17 21 30 38
2011-08-18	3	4th	8 13 29 30 31
2011-08-15	11	4th	5 14 19 30 39
2011-08-03	5	3rd	11 14 30 32 35
2011-07-29	2	4th	13 14 16 30 35
2011-07-27	7	4th	9 11 23 30 31
2011-07-20	4	4th	11 19 27 30 31
2011-07-16	1	3rd	4 28 30 33 38
2011-07-15	8	4th	17 18 24 30 31
2011-07-07	5	5th	3 23 24 27 30
2011-07-01	15	4th	5 11 14 30 31
2011-06-16	3	3rd	6 11 30 31 35
2011-06-13	33	5th	7 8 15 16 30
2011-05-11	18	5th	16 20 22 25 30
2011-04-23	4	3rd	11 15 30 34 37
2011-04-19	2	4th	15 26 28 30 37
2011-04-17	2	5th	7 14 19 27 30
2011-04-15	1	3rd	5 27 30 31 39
2011-04-14	9	4th	5 11 24 30 32
2011-04-05	5	3rd	4 6 30 31 32
2011-03-31	3	4th	6 12 17 30 32
2011-03-28	4	3rd	1 3 30 37 39
2011-03-24	2	4th	4 12 16 30 36
2011-03-22	3	4th	3 11 17 30 34
2011-03-19	20	3rd	6 16 30 31 39
2011-02-27	5	1st	30 33 34 37 39
2011-02-22	9	3rd	2 27 30 31 32
2011-02-13	3	5th	8 10 24 26 30
2011-02-10	14	3rd	1 2 30 35 36
2011-01-27	13	3rd	2 27 30 38 39
2011-01-14	3	5th	13 14 17 23 30
2011-01-11	7	4th	4 18 24 30 35
2011-01-04	1	4th	2 4 26 30 33
2011-01-03	3	4th	1 7 11 30 39
2010-12-31	2	5th	9 16 24 26 30
2010-12-29	4	3rd	6 27 30 31 35
2010-12-25	15	4th	8 21 28 30 32
2010-12-10	5	4th	1 6 12 30 34
2010-12-05	1	5th	7 9 13 17 30
2010-12-04	6	3rd	22 27 30 32 35
2010-11-28	1	4th	3 4 29 30 36
2010-11-27	17	4th	15 17 18 30 34
2010-11-10	2	3rd	15 20 30 32 38
2010-11-08	1	4th	16 17 27 30 31
2010-11-07	14	4th	7 8 16 30 32
2010-10-24	5	4th	4 25 28 30 36
2010-10-19	1	5th	18 23 24 27 30
2010-10-18	9	3rd	2 25 30 34 37
2010-10-09	5	5th	4 23 24 28 30
2010-10-04	13	5th	2 5 8 18 30
2010-09-21	4	4th	6 13 28 30 37
2010-09-17	4	4th	9 11 15 30 34
2010-09-13	11	4th	8 16 21 30 39
2010-09-02	1	4th	14 18 27 30 39
2010-09-01	1	5th	7 14 21 24 30
2010-08-31	2	5th	2 6 25 26 30
2010-08-29	12	4th	3 10 17 30 31
2010-08-17	3	3rd	11 20 30 31 35
2010-08-14	1	4th	9 15 25 30 35
2010-08-13	1	5th	4 6 8 19 30
2010-08-12	3	5th	12 14 15 24 30
2010-08-09	17	4th	9 20 23 30 34
2010-07-23	2	5th	11 13 20 29 30
2010-07-21	1	3rd	16 21 30 35 36
2010-07-20	1	4th	4 15 22 30 33
2010-07-19	19	3rd	2 18 30 33 36
2010-06-30	2	4th	1 4 5 30 32
2010-06-28	10	4th	5 17 26 30 38
2010-06-18	7	4th	11 17 26 30 36
2010-06-11	6	3rd	4 14 30 36 38
2010-06-05	4	5th	11 13 14 24 30
2010-06-01	10	4th	18 23 28 30 33
2010-05-22	2	4th	13 16 18 30 35
2010-05-20	21	4th	10 21 24 30 31
2010-04-29	2	5th	4 8 18 22 30
2010-04-27	2	5th	14 16 23 26 30
2010-04-25	1	4th	5 12 17 30 39
2010-04-24	8	5th	1 17 21 27 30
2010-04-16	8	3rd	8 23 30 31 34
2010-04-08	—	5th	3 6 15 28 30