Number 16

In Bonus Match 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 2,407 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

336times drawn · chance expected 309 +1.67σ

17draws waiting · a wait this long: 11% for any number

7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

67longest completed wait · 4% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 336 times in 2,407 draws against 308.6 expected, +1.67σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 336 times in 2,407 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 67 · waiting 17 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest56 · chance 40.3
2nd smallest112 · chance 120.9
3rd smallest120 · chance 120.9
4th smallest38 · chance 47.6
5th smallest10 · chance 6.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 35.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 38 10 25 30 36

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-10-29	2	3rd	1 3 16 23 27
2016-10-27	2	3rd	5 9 16 34 36
2016-10-25	7	3rd	7 8 16 18 36
2016-10-18	16	2nd	7 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-03-30	9	3rd	4 10 16 25 30
2016-03-21	7	2nd	15 16 19 24 32
2016-03-14	9	2nd	1 16 24 27 30
2016-03-05	1	1st	16 30 32 34 36
2016-03-04	6	1st	16 18 24 36 38
2016-02-27	7	3rd	7 15 16 35 36
2016-02-20	8	3rd	4 11 16 32 36
2016-02-12	3	2nd	10 16 24 33 34
2016-02-09	15	2nd	14 16 18 27 36
2016-01-25	8	3rd	10 15 16 24 33
2016-01-17	3	1st	16 23 27 31 36
2016-01-14	7	2nd	5 16 20 29 39
2016-01-07	4	3rd	4 15 16 30 39
2016-01-03	18	2nd	14 16 22 28 39
2015-12-16	4	3rd	2 3 16 29 30
2015-12-12	2	1st	16 19 33 37 39
2015-12-10	47	2nd	6 16 17 32 35
2015-10-24	6	3rd	2 11 16 32 37
2015-10-18	5	4th	6 9 12 16 29
2015-10-13	10	2nd	3 16 25 28 36
2015-10-03	1	2nd	5 16 21 23 30
2015-10-02	4	3rd	8 12 16 20 37
2015-09-28	17	2nd	4 16 21 24 35
2015-09-11	1	3rd	3 6 16 31 38
2015-09-10	9	3rd	3 5 16 19 22
2015-09-01	3	3rd	10 11 16 35 39
2015-08-29	1	2nd	11 16 17 29 35
2015-08-28	17	2nd	2 16 27 33 37
2015-08-11	13	2nd	2 16 21 26 28
2015-07-29	3	3rd	1 4 16 29 36
2015-07-26	14	4th	1 4 11 16 33
2015-07-12	9	3rd	2 15 16 22 24
2015-07-03	1	3rd	5 10 16 31 38
2015-07-02	1	2nd	6 16 23 26 38
2015-07-01	7	3rd	11 12 16 17 22
2015-06-24	10	2nd	6 16 25 28 36
2015-06-14	1	2nd	6 16 21 28 39
2015-06-13	22	2nd	13 16 18 26 35
2015-05-22	9	2nd	2 16 24 27 33
2015-05-13	4	4th	11 12 13 16 25
2015-05-09	10	3rd	8 13 16 33 38
2015-04-28	1	3rd	7 14 16 19 38
2015-04-27	9	2nd	9 16 18 19 27
2015-04-18	13	2nd	12 16 18 22 31
2015-04-05	2	1st	16 29 34 38 39
2015-04-03	1	4th	2 3 5 16 39
2015-04-02	2	3rd	1 4 16 24 26
2015-03-31	3	4th	1 5 7 16 39
2015-03-28	1	2nd	13 16 24 31 38
2015-03-27	5	2nd	8 16 18 27 34
2015-03-22	4	2nd	14 16 17 22 30
2015-03-18	1	3rd	8 15 16 20 24
2015-03-17	21	4th	2 5 9 16 30
2015-02-24	2	1st	16 22 24 25 29
2015-02-22	4	4th	3 13 15 16 22
2015-02-18	4	2nd	2 16 22 33 36
2015-02-14	7	2nd	7 16 20 29 37
2015-02-07	21	3rd	2 10 16 22 39
2015-01-17	11	4th	1 7 11 16 22
2015-01-06	4	1st	16 20 22 28 32
2015-01-02	7	3rd	2 11 16 17 26
2014-12-26	3	3rd	10 14 16 35 39
2014-12-23	4	3rd	4 7 16 29 35
2014-12-19	3	1st	16 18 19 22 38
2014-12-16	7	3rd	5 9 16 19 32
2014-12-09	30	4th	7 8 15 16 36
2014-11-09	9	2nd	10 16 23 26 35
2014-10-31	4	2nd	4 16 17 20 29
2014-10-27	8	4th	5 8 9 16 27
2014-10-19	1	2nd	8 16 22 28 31
2014-10-18	7	2nd	1 16 17 25 26
2014-10-11	1	3rd	7 10 16 19 27
2014-10-10	2	4th	8 11 12 16 24
2014-10-08	1	2nd	6 16 18 21 24
2014-10-07	13	3rd	11 13 16 34 35
2014-09-24	6	1st	16 23 24 25 34
2014-09-18	16	3rd	13 15 16 23 37
2014-09-02	5	4th	3 5 10 16 25
2014-08-28	7	4th	1 7 9 16 22
2014-08-21	2	2nd	10 16 17 19 33
2014-08-19	12	3rd	3 10 16 19 34
2014-08-07	10	4th	1 11 13 16 36
2014-07-28	1	2nd	9 16 25 33 38
2014-07-27	3	1st	16 28 31 36 38
2014-07-24	20	2nd	3 16 20 24 38
2014-07-03	6	2nd	1 16 17 19 27
2014-06-27	9	1st	16 19 20 30 35
2014-06-18	3	1st	16 24 30 35 39
2014-06-15	8	2nd	9 16 17 18 39
2014-06-07	2	1st	16 20 29 31 34
2014-06-05	6	2nd	4 16 22 34 39
2014-05-30	10	4th	2 3 8 16 36
2014-05-20	3	2nd	2 16 20 23 38
2014-05-17	7	3rd	2 8 16 27 33
2014-05-10	3	3rd	2 10 16 31 36
2014-05-07	5	4th	1 5 8 16 37
2014-05-02	16	3rd	3 12 16 21 38
2014-04-16	1	3rd	8 10 16 26 32
2014-04-15	7	1st	16 21 26 29 32
2014-04-08	11	2nd	9 16 19 22 25
2014-03-28	1	4th	4 8 15 16 26
2014-03-27	4	3rd	8 13 16 17 36
2014-03-23	13	2nd	4 16 27 35 37
2014-03-10	10	1st	16 29 30 38 39
2014-02-28	25	4th	12 13 14 16 20
2014-02-03	5	2nd	14 16 19 20 22
2014-01-29	2	3rd	1 13 16 35 39
2014-01-27	6	2nd	7 16 17 26 33
2014-01-21	3	4th	3 11 13 16 27
2014-01-18	17	3rd	7 13 16 29 37
2014-01-01	4	2nd	8 16 23 26 31
2013-12-28	10	2nd	4 16 21 33 38
2013-12-18	2	1st	16 17 25 29 39
2013-12-16	17	3rd	3 14 16 19 23
2013-11-29	5	4th	9 10 11 16 28
2013-11-24	2	2nd	3 16 20 22 32
2013-11-22	8	1st	16 26 32 36 37
2013-11-14	7	3rd	1 3 16 23 38
2013-11-07	2	3rd	5 7 16 29 33
2013-11-05	10	3rd	2 13 16 19 32
2013-10-26	9	2nd	6 16 22 31 32
2013-10-17	6	3rd	8 15 16 27 28
2013-10-11	16	3rd	8 11 16 25 31
2013-09-25	1	2nd	14 16 24 36 38
2013-09-24	2	3rd	1 11 16 19 20
2013-09-22	2	3rd	3 13 16 30 39
2013-09-20	1	1st	16 17 22 23 36
2013-09-19	5	3rd	5 11 16 31 32
2013-09-14	7	1st	16 18 22 29 31
2013-09-07	9	1st	16 25 30 33 34
2013-08-29	5	1st	16 18 24 29 30
2013-08-24	4	2nd	10 16 24 28 29
2013-08-20	4	4th	2 3 15 16 36
2013-08-16	3	2nd	11 16 26 32 33
2013-08-13	3	3rd	2 13 16 17 31
2013-08-10	9	4th	3 11 14 16 25
2013-08-01	4	3rd	3 11 16 20 22
2013-07-28	6	2nd	6 16 23 25 36
2013-07-22	5	1st	16 21 25 29 38
2013-07-17	5	3rd	1 14 16 28 37
2013-07-12	6	2nd	14 16 24 25 26
2013-07-06	2	4th	9 10 14 16 22
2013-07-04	1	3rd	4 8 16 17 38
2013-07-03	9	3rd	6 14 16 28 31
2013-06-24	5	2nd	2 16 17 24 25
2013-06-19	26	1st	16 24 26 35 37
2013-05-24	11	5th	2 8 10 11 16
2013-05-13	11	4th	6 10 11 16 27
2013-05-02	10	2nd	15 16 22 24 25
2013-04-22	4	3rd	3 14 16 17 34
2013-04-18	2	2nd	2 16 24 30 35
2013-04-16	4	3rd	5 15 16 19 31
2013-04-12	3	2nd	3 16 24 30 33
2013-04-09	2	2nd	13 16 18 29 39
2013-04-07	3	3rd	8 11 16 26 35
2013-04-04	7	3rd	7 13 16 28 38
2013-03-28	12	1st	16 17 19 25 37
2013-03-16	13	3rd	5 6 16 35 38
2013-03-03	7	3rd	2 6 16 25 37
2013-02-24	3	2nd	4 16 20 23 27
2013-02-21	19	5th	1 7 9 10 16
2013-02-02	1	2nd	14 16 34 35 37
2013-02-01	11	5th	8 9 10 14 16
2013-01-21	67	2nd	14 16 32 33 36
2012-11-15	7	2nd	6 16 19 34 37
2012-11-08	10	2nd	4 16 22 29 33
2012-10-29	6	3rd	7 10 16 23 25
2012-10-23	1	1st	16 17 22 23 26
2012-10-22	12	1st	16 20 26 38 39
2012-10-10	2	1st	16 20 23 33 38
2012-10-08	7	2nd	1 16 22 26 36
2012-10-01	7	2nd	9 16 23 32 38
2012-09-24	1	1st	16 19 27 29 37
2012-09-23	6	3rd	13 15 16 26 33
2012-09-17	5	1st	16 27 29 37 38
2012-09-12	2	3rd	5 8 16 23 38
2012-09-10	4	2nd	7 16 29 30 32
2012-09-06	4	1st	16 18 25 31 34
2012-09-02	1	1st	16 20 29 30 38
2012-09-01	18	2nd	4 16 20 21 23
2012-08-14	2	3rd	8 14 16 32 38
2012-08-12	5	3rd	2 3 16 30 31
2012-08-07	2	5th	2 4 6 12 16
2012-08-05	15	2nd	12 16 21 31 38
2012-07-21	13	3rd	1 10 16 32 35
2012-07-08	10	1st	16 20 32 33 36
2012-06-27	1	3rd	8 15 16 23 31
2012-06-26	15	3rd	3 7 16 20 31
2012-06-11	13	3rd	5 14 16 23 37
2012-05-29	12	3rd	2 5 16 28 33
2012-05-17	12	2nd	5 16 25 35 37
2012-05-03	8	3rd	1 6 16 20 37
2012-04-25	2	1st	16 17 21 28 37
2012-04-23	6	3rd	3 10 16 25 38
2012-04-17	1	3rd	9 10 16 22 27
2012-04-16	7	4th	6 7 13 16 36
2012-04-09	6	2nd	14 16 19 20 32
2012-04-03	4	1st	16 28 31 37 38
2012-03-30	14	2nd	7 16 20 26 39
2012-03-16	6	3rd	2 15 16 19 38
2012-03-10	8	2nd	14 16 25 27 32
2012-03-02	3	1st	16 18 26 30 34
2012-02-28	3	3rd	1 4 16 25 34
2012-02-25	5	2nd	8 16 28 32 39
2012-02-20	2	2nd	12 16 20 25 38
2012-02-18	5	2nd	13 16 28 34 38
2012-02-13	1	4th	3 9 10 16 27
2012-02-12	1	2nd	8 16 28 29 30
2012-02-11	11	2nd	13 16 20 28 29
2012-01-31	13	3rd	3 9 16 18 35
2012-01-18	2	3rd	2 6 16 28 33
2012-01-16	5	1st	16 22 28 30 38
2012-01-11	11	2nd	2 16 22 25 38
2011-12-31	10	2nd	9 16 27 35 36
2011-12-21	9	1st	16 21 32 34 35
2011-12-12	6	3rd	1 10 16 23 30
2011-12-06	10	2nd	13 16 20 26 27
2011-11-26	4	1st	16 19 29 30 37
2011-11-22	10	1st	16 21 28 30 34
2011-11-12	2	3rd	7 10 16 25 30
2011-11-10	6	3rd	7 9 16 33 39
2011-11-04	2	3rd	10 15 16 28 32
2011-11-02	16	3rd	2 7 16 27 30
2011-10-17	14	2nd	11 16 18 32 36
2011-10-02	3	3rd	7 10 16 21 27
2011-09-29	10	3rd	6 13 16 27 37
2011-09-19	2	2nd	8 16 18 21 35
2011-09-17	14	2nd	10 16 21 23 34
2011-09-03	32	1st	16 17 21 30 38
2011-08-01	3	3rd	5 9 16 17 20
2011-07-29	1	3rd	13 14 16 30 35
2011-07-28	5	2nd	1 16 19 25 32
2011-07-23	1	3rd	10 14 16 29 38
2011-07-22	3	3rd	4 7 16 22 25
2011-07-19	15	2nd	13 16 29 31 33
2011-07-04	4	2nd	14 16 21 23 27
2011-06-29	16	3rd	10 14 16 20 28
2011-06-13	5	4th	7 8 15 16 30
2011-06-08	5	1st	16 17 23 24 36
2011-06-03	2	3rd	9 13 16 17 28
2011-06-01	8	2nd	3 16 20 23 32
2011-05-24	7	3rd	2 5 16 26 31
2011-05-17	6	5th	2 5 8 11 16
2011-05-11	25	1st	16 20 22 25 30
2011-04-16	9	2nd	9 16 20 28 38
2011-04-07	8	1st	16 17 31 34 38
2011-03-30	3	3rd	8 13 16 18 26
2011-03-27	3	2nd	5 16 18 23 31
2011-03-24	5	3rd	4 12 16 30 36
2011-03-19	1	2nd	6 16 30 31 39
2011-03-18	1	3rd	2 5 16 32 35
2011-03-17	11	2nd	14 16 20 28 36
2011-03-06	5	2nd	12 16 23 24 25
2011-03-01	5	3rd	7 15 16 26 39
2011-02-24	8	5th	10 11 14 15 16
2011-02-16	10	2nd	8 16 20 29 35
2011-02-06	2	2nd	11 16 22 27 33
2011-02-04	5	3rd	2 13 16 26 38
2011-01-30	8	3rd	10 11 16 19 33
2011-01-22	4	3rd	6 12 16 18 25
2011-01-18	8	4th	6 8 15 16 26
2011-01-10	4	2nd	8 16 20 26 35
2011-01-06	1	1st	16 20 23 25 36
2011-01-05	5	1st	16 18 24 25 33
2010-12-31	11	2nd	9 16 24 26 30
2010-12-20	3	2nd	2 16 21 23 34
2010-12-17	16	1st	16 19 20 34 35
2010-12-01	7	3rd	14 15 16 21 32
2010-11-24	10	3rd	7 10 16 24 32
2010-11-14	6	4th	5 6 8 16 37
2010-11-08	1	1st	16 17 27 30 31
2010-11-07	2	3rd	7 8 16 30 32
2010-11-05	1	2nd	8 16 21 37 39
2010-11-04	3	3rd	1 6 16 21 32
2010-11-01	11	2nd	15 16 22 24 26
2010-10-21	4	3rd	8 14 16 27 28
2010-10-17	3	3rd	5 9 16 21 24
2010-10-14	1	4th	2 8 10 16 25
2010-10-13	3	3rd	4 13 16 17 23
2010-10-10	3	4th	1 3 8 16 17
2010-10-07	9	4th	2 3 12 16 26
2010-09-28	6	3rd	5 8 16 17 25
2010-09-22	6	5th	9 10 11 12 16
2010-09-16	3	3rd	5 9 16 24 36
2010-09-13	19	2nd	8 16 21 30 39
2010-08-25	4	2nd	4 16 26 28 34
2010-08-21	2	1st	16 17 21 32 36
2010-08-19	8	5th	3 5 7 12 16
2010-08-11	3	3rd	7 8 16 36 39
2010-08-08	11	4th	5 10 15 16 37
2010-07-28	2	3rd	2 9 16 31 33
2010-07-26	1	3rd	8 12 16 22 36
2010-07-25	4	1st	16 32 33 35 38
2010-07-21	6	1st	16 21 30 35 36
2010-07-15	6	2nd	7 16 27 29 33
2010-07-09	1	1st	16 26 28 34 38
2010-07-08	2	1st	16 19 20 25 36
2010-07-06	5	4th	1 4 15 16 35
2010-07-01	33	1st	16 19 27 28 33
2010-05-29	5	2nd	13 16 27 32 34
2010-05-24	2	2nd	11 16 33 36 38
2010-05-22	3	2nd	13 16 18 30 35
2010-05-19	3	2nd	3 16 26 32 36
2010-05-16	9	3rd	1 13 16 21 28
2010-05-07	2	3rd	7 9 16 33 39
2010-05-05	3	2nd	8 16 21 28 32
2010-05-02	2	3rd	10 13 16 22 38
2010-04-30	3	1st	16 18 26 35 36
2010-04-27	4	2nd	14 16 23 26 30
2010-04-23	1	3rd	6 12 16 17 21
2010-04-22	7	4th	1 3 11 16 28
2010-04-15	—	1st	16 17 19 23 34