Mega Millions · every number
16
Number 16 In Mega Millions under the 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 rules — 869 draws, 5 from 1–56 (an earlier era).
Main numbers Stars 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 5/75 + 1/15 · Oct 2013 – Oct 2017 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 5/52 + 1/52 · May 2002 – Jun 2005 5/50 + 1/36 · Jan 1999 – May 2002 5/50 + 1/25 · Sep 1996 – Jan 1999 79 times drawn · chance expected 78 +0.17σ
4 draws waiting · a wait this long: 76% for any number
10.9 average wait between appearances · chance says 11.2
37 longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long
16 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 79 times in 869 draws against 77.6 expected, +0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
16 Number 16, draw by draw Drawn 79 times in 869 draws · average wait 10.9 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 4 draws now
14 draws: 2005-07-29 to 2005-09-16 9 draws: 2005-09-16 to 2005-10-18 6 draws: 2005-10-18 to 2005-11-08 26 draws: 2005-11-08 to 2006-02-07 3 draws: 2006-02-07 to 2006-02-17 2 draws: 2006-02-17 to 2006-02-24 7 draws: 2006-02-24 to 2006-03-21 11 draws: 2006-03-21 to 2006-04-28 30 draws: 2006-04-28 to 2006-08-11 9 draws: 2006-08-11 to 2006-09-12 23 draws: 2006-09-12 to 2006-12-01 16 draws: 2006-12-01 to 2007-01-26 3 draws: 2007-01-26 to 2007-02-06 8 draws: 2007-02-06 to 2007-03-06 2 draws: 2007-03-06 to 2007-03-13 6 draws: 2007-03-13 to 2007-04-03 2 draws: 2007-04-03 to 2007-04-10 6 draws: 2007-04-10 to 2007-05-01 2 draws: 2007-05-01 to 2007-05-08 11 draws: 2007-05-08 to 2007-06-15 1 draws: 2007-06-15 to 2007-06-19 8 draws: 2007-06-19 to 2007-07-17 5 draws: 2007-07-17 to 2007-08-03 35 draws: 2007-08-03 to 2007-12-04 8 draws: 2007-12-04 to 2008-01-01 37 draws: 2008-01-01 to 2008-05-09 18 draws: 2008-05-09 to 2008-07-11 3 draws: 2008-07-11 to 2008-07-22 1 draws: 2008-07-22 to 2008-07-25 9 draws: 2008-07-25 to 2008-08-26 16 draws: 2008-08-26 to 2008-10-21 15 draws: 2008-10-21 to 2008-12-12 1 draws: 2008-12-12 to 2008-12-16 1 draws: 2008-12-16 to 2008-12-19 12 draws: 2008-12-19 to 2009-01-30 14 draws: 2009-01-30 to 2009-03-20 4 draws: 2009-03-20 to 2009-04-03 8 draws: 2009-04-03 to 2009-05-01 14 draws: 2009-05-01 to 2009-06-19 1 draws: 2009-06-19 to 2009-06-23 23 draws: 2009-06-23 to 2009-09-11 20 draws: 2009-09-11 to 2009-11-20 10 draws: 2009-11-20 to 2009-12-25 14 draws: 2009-12-25 to 2010-02-12 3 draws: 2010-02-12 to 2010-02-23 4 draws: 2010-02-23 to 2010-03-09 8 draws: 2010-03-09 to 2010-04-06 3 draws: 2010-04-06 to 2010-04-16 28 draws: 2010-04-16 to 2010-07-23 1 draws: 2010-07-23 to 2010-07-27 28 draws: 2010-07-27 to 2010-11-02 8 draws: 2010-11-02 to 2010-11-30 7 draws: 2010-11-30 to 2010-12-24 5 draws: 2010-12-24 to 2011-01-11 6 draws: 2011-01-11 to 2011-02-01 26 draws: 2011-02-01 to 2011-05-03 2 draws: 2011-05-03 to 2011-05-10 19 draws: 2011-05-10 to 2011-07-15 1 draws: 2011-07-15 to 2011-07-19 33 draws: 2011-07-19 to 2011-11-11 3 draws: 2011-11-11 to 2011-11-22 14 draws: 2011-11-22 to 2012-01-10 11 draws: 2012-01-10 to 2012-02-17 2 draws: 2012-02-17 to 2012-02-24 2 draws: 2012-02-24 to 2012-03-02 13 draws: 2012-03-02 to 2012-04-17 19 draws: 2012-04-17 to 2012-06-22 1 draws: 2012-06-22 to 2012-06-26 20 draws: 2012-06-26 to 2012-09-04 3 draws: 2012-09-04 to 2012-09-14 6 draws: 2012-09-14 to 2012-10-05 1 draws: 2012-10-05 to 2012-10-09 30 draws: 2012-10-09 to 2013-01-22 35 draws: 2013-01-22 to 2013-05-24 16 draws: 2013-05-24 to 2013-07-19 5 draws: 2013-07-19 to 2013-08-06 9 draws: 2013-08-06 to 2013-09-06 8 draws: 2013-09-06 to 2013-10-04 Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2013-10-04 2005-07-29 2005-09-16 2005-10-18 2005-11-08 2006-02-07 2006-02-17 2006-02-24 2006-03-21 2006-04-28 2006-08-11 2006-09-12 2006-12-01 2007-01-26 2007-02-06 2007-03-06 2007-03-13 2007-04-03 2007-04-10 2007-05-01 2007-05-08 2007-06-15 2007-06-19 2007-07-17 2007-08-03 2007-12-04 2008-01-01 2008-05-09 2008-07-11 2008-07-22 2008-07-25 2008-08-26 2008-10-21 2008-12-12 2008-12-16 2008-12-19 2009-01-30 2009-03-20 2009-04-03 2009-05-01 2009-06-19 2009-06-23 2009-09-11 2009-11-20 2009-12-25 2010-02-12 2010-02-23 2010-03-09 2010-04-06 2010-04-16 2010-07-23 2010-07-27 2010-11-02 2010-11-30 2010-12-24 2011-01-11 2011-02-01 2011-05-03 2011-05-10 2011-07-15 2011-07-19 2011-11-11 2011-11-22 2012-01-10 2012-02-17 2012-02-24 2012-03-02 2012-04-17 2012-06-22 2012-06-26 2012-09-04 2012-09-14 2012-10-05 2012-10-09 2013-01-22 2013-05-24 2013-07-19 2013-08-06 2013-09-06 2013-10-04 2005-06-24 2013-10-18
1 draws: 9 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 2 times 5 draws: 3 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 2 times 8 draws: 7 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 1 time 13 draws: 1 time 14 draws: 5 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 2 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 2 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 2 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 2 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 2 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 24 · chance 21.2 2nd smallest 34 · chance 34.3 3rd smallest 14 · chance 19.0 4th smallest 7 · chance 4.2 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.3 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 55 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 56. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 15 Every number number 17 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/56 tonight whatever it did last week.