Mega Millions · every number
4
Number 4 In Mega Millions under the 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 rules — 869 draws, 5 from 1–56 (an earlier era).
Main numbers Stars 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 5/75 + 1/15 · Oct 2013 – Oct 2017 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 5/52 + 1/52 · May 2002 – Jun 2005 5/50 + 1/36 · Jan 1999 – May 2002 5/50 + 1/25 · Sep 1996 – Jan 1999 88 times drawn · chance expected 78 +1.24σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
9.9 average wait between appearances · chance says 11.2
65 longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 88 times in 869 draws against 77.6 expected, +1.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 88 times in 869 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 65 · waiting 1 draws now
10 draws: 2005-07-29 to 2005-09-02 10 draws: 2005-09-02 to 2005-10-07 11 draws: 2005-10-07 to 2005-11-15 30 draws: 2005-11-15 to 2006-02-28 3 draws: 2006-02-28 to 2006-03-10 3 draws: 2006-03-10 to 2006-03-21 3 draws: 2006-03-21 to 2006-03-31 6 draws: 2006-03-31 to 2006-04-21 35 draws: 2006-04-21 to 2006-08-22 37 draws: 2006-08-22 to 2006-12-29 5 draws: 2006-12-29 to 2007-01-16 1 draws: 2007-01-16 to 2007-01-19 25 draws: 2007-01-19 to 2007-04-17 5 draws: 2007-04-17 to 2007-05-04 15 draws: 2007-05-04 to 2007-06-26 17 draws: 2007-06-26 to 2007-08-24 10 draws: 2007-08-24 to 2007-09-28 22 draws: 2007-09-28 to 2007-12-14 15 draws: 2007-12-14 to 2008-02-05 10 draws: 2008-02-05 to 2008-03-11 6 draws: 2008-03-11 to 2008-04-01 10 draws: 2008-04-01 to 2008-05-06 5 draws: 2008-05-06 to 2008-05-23 3 draws: 2008-05-23 to 2008-06-03 65 draws: 2008-06-03 to 2009-01-16 5 draws: 2009-01-16 to 2009-02-03 14 draws: 2009-02-03 to 2009-03-24 4 draws: 2009-03-24 to 2009-04-07 2 draws: 2009-04-07 to 2009-04-14 8 draws: 2009-04-14 to 2009-05-12 2 draws: 2009-05-12 to 2009-05-19 9 draws: 2009-05-19 to 2009-06-19 11 draws: 2009-06-19 to 2009-07-28 6 draws: 2009-07-28 to 2009-08-18 5 draws: 2009-08-18 to 2009-09-04 1 draws: 2009-09-04 to 2009-09-08 15 draws: 2009-09-08 to 2009-10-30 6 draws: 2009-10-30 to 2009-11-20 4 draws: 2009-11-20 to 2009-12-04 6 draws: 2009-12-04 to 2009-12-25 6 draws: 2009-12-25 to 2010-01-15 1 draws: 2010-01-15 to 2010-01-19 10 draws: 2010-01-19 to 2010-02-23 1 draws: 2010-02-23 to 2010-02-26 31 draws: 2010-02-26 to 2010-06-15 4 draws: 2010-06-15 to 2010-06-29 10 draws: 2010-06-29 to 2010-08-03 5 draws: 2010-08-03 to 2010-08-20 1 draws: 2010-08-20 to 2010-08-24 1 draws: 2010-08-24 to 2010-08-27 6 draws: 2010-08-27 to 2010-09-17 12 draws: 2010-09-17 to 2010-10-29 11 draws: 2010-10-29 to 2010-12-07 8 draws: 2010-12-07 to 2011-01-04 1 draws: 2011-01-04 to 2011-01-07 1 draws: 2011-01-07 to 2011-01-11 2 draws: 2011-01-11 to 2011-01-18 11 draws: 2011-01-18 to 2011-02-25 49 draws: 2011-02-25 to 2011-08-16 27 draws: 2011-08-16 to 2011-11-18 1 draws: 2011-11-18 to 2011-11-22 5 draws: 2011-11-22 to 2011-12-09 2 draws: 2011-12-09 to 2011-12-16 4 draws: 2011-12-16 to 2011-12-30 3 draws: 2011-12-30 to 2012-01-10 9 draws: 2012-01-10 to 2012-02-10 11 draws: 2012-02-10 to 2012-03-20 3 draws: 2012-03-20 to 2012-03-30 10 draws: 2012-03-30 to 2012-05-04 10 draws: 2012-05-04 to 2012-06-08 7 draws: 2012-06-08 to 2012-07-03 7 draws: 2012-07-03 to 2012-07-27 9 draws: 2012-07-27 to 2012-08-28 17 draws: 2012-08-28 to 2012-10-26 2 draws: 2012-10-26 to 2012-11-02 17 draws: 2012-11-02 to 2013-01-01 19 draws: 2013-01-01 to 2013-03-08 2 draws: 2013-03-08 to 2013-03-15 20 draws: 2013-03-15 to 2013-05-24 1 draws: 2013-05-24 to 2013-05-28 13 draws: 2013-05-28 to 2013-07-12 4 draws: 2013-07-12 to 2013-07-26 9 draws: 2013-07-26 to 2013-08-27 2 draws: 2013-08-27 to 2013-09-03 6 draws: 2013-09-03 to 2013-09-24 3 draws: 2013-09-24 to 2013-10-04 3 draws: 2013-10-04 to 2013-10-15 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2013-10-15 2005-07-29 2005-09-02 2005-10-07 2005-11-15 2006-02-28 2006-03-10 2006-03-21 2006-03-31 2006-04-21 2006-08-22 2006-12-29 2007-01-16 2007-01-19 2007-04-17 2007-05-04 2007-06-26 2007-08-24 2007-09-28 2007-12-14 2008-02-05 2008-03-11 2008-04-01 2008-05-06 2008-05-23 2008-06-03 2009-01-16 2009-02-03 2009-03-24 2009-04-07 2009-04-14 2009-05-12 2009-05-19 2009-06-19 2009-07-28 2009-08-18 2009-09-04 2009-09-08 2009-10-30 2009-11-20 2009-12-04 2009-12-25 2010-01-15 2010-01-19 2010-02-23 2010-02-26 2010-06-15 2010-06-29 2010-08-03 2010-08-20 2010-08-24 2010-08-27 2010-09-17 2010-10-29 2010-12-07 2011-01-04 2011-01-07 2011-01-11 2011-01-18 2011-02-25 2011-08-16 2011-11-18 2011-11-22 2011-12-09 2011-12-16 2011-12-30 2012-01-10 2012-02-10 2012-03-20 2012-03-30 2012-05-04 2012-06-08 2012-07-03 2012-07-27 2012-08-28 2012-10-26 2012-11-02 2013-01-01 2013-03-08 2013-03-15 2013-05-24 2013-05-28 2013-07-12 2013-07-26 2013-08-27 2013-09-03 2013-09-24 2013-10-04 2013-10-15 2005-06-24 2013-10-18
1 draws: 10 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 8 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 7 times 6 draws: 8 times 7 draws: 2 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 9 times 11 draws: 5 times 12 draws: 1 time 13 draws: 1 time 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 3 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 1 time 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 1 time 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 0 times 64 draws: 0 times 65 draws: 1 time 66 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 66 · chance 69.9 2nd smallest 21 · chance 17.1 3rd smallest 1 · chance 1.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 55 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 56. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 3 Every number number 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/56 tonight whatever it did last week.