Mega Millions · every number
21
Number 21 In Mega Millions under the 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 rules — 869 draws, 5 from 1–56 (an earlier era).
Main numbers Stars 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 5/75 + 1/15 · Oct 2013 – Oct 2017 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 5/52 + 1/52 · May 2002 – Jun 2005 5/50 + 1/36 · Jan 1999 – May 2002 5/50 + 1/25 · Sep 1996 – Jan 1999 78 times drawn · chance expected 78 +0.05σ
8 draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number
10.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 11.2
37 longest completed wait · 93% chance of one at least that long
21 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 78 times in 869 draws against 77.6 expected, +0.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
21 Number 21, draw by draw Drawn 78 times in 869 draws · average wait 10.7 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 8 draws now
2 draws: 2005-11-01 to 2005-11-08 3 draws: 2005-11-08 to 2005-11-18 4 draws: 2005-11-18 to 2005-12-02 12 draws: 2005-12-02 to 2006-01-13 37 draws: 2006-01-13 to 2006-05-23 8 draws: 2006-05-23 to 2006-06-20 10 draws: 2006-06-20 to 2006-07-25 21 draws: 2006-07-25 to 2006-10-06 35 draws: 2006-10-06 to 2007-02-06 5 draws: 2007-02-06 to 2007-02-23 2 draws: 2007-02-23 to 2007-03-02 5 draws: 2007-03-02 to 2007-03-20 1 draws: 2007-03-20 to 2007-03-23 6 draws: 2007-03-23 to 2007-04-13 20 draws: 2007-04-13 to 2007-06-22 3 draws: 2007-06-22 to 2007-07-03 15 draws: 2007-07-03 to 2007-08-24 5 draws: 2007-08-24 to 2007-09-11 3 draws: 2007-09-11 to 2007-09-21 6 draws: 2007-09-21 to 2007-10-12 12 draws: 2007-10-12 to 2007-11-23 15 draws: 2007-11-23 to 2008-01-15 7 draws: 2008-01-15 to 2008-02-08 25 draws: 2008-02-08 to 2008-05-06 26 draws: 2008-05-06 to 2008-08-05 7 draws: 2008-08-05 to 2008-08-29 19 draws: 2008-08-29 to 2008-11-04 9 draws: 2008-11-04 to 2008-12-05 8 draws: 2008-12-05 to 2009-01-02 4 draws: 2009-01-02 to 2009-01-16 3 draws: 2009-01-16 to 2009-01-27 7 draws: 2009-01-27 to 2009-02-20 18 draws: 2009-02-20 to 2009-04-24 9 draws: 2009-04-24 to 2009-05-26 6 draws: 2009-05-26 to 2009-06-16 10 draws: 2009-06-16 to 2009-07-21 13 draws: 2009-07-21 to 2009-09-04 7 draws: 2009-09-04 to 2009-09-29 3 draws: 2009-09-29 to 2009-10-09 9 draws: 2009-10-09 to 2009-11-10 9 draws: 2009-11-10 to 2009-12-11 10 draws: 2009-12-11 to 2010-01-15 9 draws: 2010-01-15 to 2010-02-16 22 draws: 2010-02-16 to 2010-05-04 3 draws: 2010-05-04 to 2010-05-14 9 draws: 2010-05-14 to 2010-06-15 2 draws: 2010-06-15 to 2010-06-22 23 draws: 2010-06-22 to 2010-09-10 6 draws: 2010-09-10 to 2010-10-01 7 draws: 2010-10-01 to 2010-10-26 25 draws: 2010-10-26 to 2011-01-21 14 draws: 2011-01-21 to 2011-03-11 21 draws: 2011-03-11 to 2011-05-24 5 draws: 2011-05-24 to 2011-06-10 21 draws: 2011-06-10 to 2011-08-23 9 draws: 2011-08-23 to 2011-09-23 2 draws: 2011-09-23 to 2011-09-30 6 draws: 2011-09-30 to 2011-10-21 13 draws: 2011-10-21 to 2011-12-06 17 draws: 2011-12-06 to 2012-02-03 14 draws: 2012-02-03 to 2012-03-23 12 draws: 2012-03-23 to 2012-05-04 6 draws: 2012-05-04 to 2012-05-25 7 draws: 2012-05-25 to 2012-06-19 8 draws: 2012-06-19 to 2012-07-17 4 draws: 2012-07-17 to 2012-07-31 13 draws: 2012-07-31 to 2012-09-14 31 draws: 2012-09-14 to 2013-01-01 2 draws: 2013-01-01 to 2013-01-08 20 draws: 2013-01-08 to 2013-03-19 7 draws: 2013-03-19 to 2013-04-12 3 draws: 2013-04-12 to 2013-04-23 2 draws: 2013-04-23 to 2013-04-30 20 draws: 2013-04-30 to 2013-07-09 2 draws: 2013-07-09 to 2013-07-16 5 draws: 2013-07-16 to 2013-08-02 14 draws: 2013-08-02 to 2013-09-20 Still waiting — at least 8 draws since 2013-09-20 2005-11-01 2005-11-08 2005-11-18 2005-12-02 2006-01-13 2006-05-23 2006-06-20 2006-07-25 2006-10-06 2007-02-06 2007-02-23 2007-03-02 2007-03-20 2007-03-23 2007-04-13 2007-06-22 2007-07-03 2007-08-24 2007-09-11 2007-09-21 2007-10-12 2007-11-23 2008-01-15 2008-02-08 2008-05-06 2008-08-05 2008-08-29 2008-11-04 2008-12-05 2009-01-02 2009-01-16 2009-01-27 2009-02-20 2009-04-24 2009-05-26 2009-06-16 2009-07-21 2009-09-04 2009-09-29 2009-10-09 2009-11-10 2009-12-11 2010-01-15 2010-02-16 2010-05-04 2010-05-14 2010-06-15 2010-06-22 2010-09-10 2010-10-01 2010-10-26 2011-01-21 2011-03-11 2011-05-24 2011-06-10 2011-08-23 2011-09-23 2011-09-30 2011-10-21 2011-12-06 2012-02-03 2012-03-23 2012-05-04 2012-05-25 2012-06-19 2012-07-17 2012-07-31 2012-09-14 2013-01-01 2013-01-08 2013-03-19 2013-04-12 2013-04-23 2013-04-30 2013-07-09 2013-07-16 2013-08-02 2013-09-20 2005-06-24 2013-10-18
1 draws: 1 time 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 3 times 5 draws: 5 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 7 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 7 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 0 times 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 2 times 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 3 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 1 time 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 9 · chance 12.0 2nd smallest 28 · chance 29.9 3rd smallest 29 · chance 25.9 4th smallest 9 · chance 9.1 5th smallest 3 · chance 1.1 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 55 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 56. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 20 Every number number 22 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 5/56 tonight whatever it did last week.