Mega Millions · every number
10
Number 10 In Mega Millions under the 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 rules — 869 draws, 5 from 1–56 (an earlier era).
Main numbers Stars 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 5/70 + 1/25 · Oct 2017 – Apr 2025 5/75 + 1/15 · Oct 2013 – Oct 2017 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 5/52 + 1/52 · May 2002 – Jun 2005 5/50 + 1/36 · Jan 1999 – May 2002 5/50 + 1/25 · Sep 1996 – Jan 1999 82 times drawn · chance expected 78 +0.52σ
5 draws waiting · a wait this long: 69% for any number
10.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 11.2
48 longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 82 times in 869 draws against 77.6 expected, +0.52σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10 Number 10, draw by draw Drawn 82 times in 869 draws · average wait 10.5 draws · longest completed wait 48 · waiting 5 draws now
38 draws: 2005-07-26 to 2005-12-06 2 draws: 2005-12-06 to 2005-12-13 3 draws: 2005-12-13 to 2005-12-23 32 draws: 2005-12-23 to 2006-04-14 14 draws: 2006-04-14 to 2006-06-02 21 draws: 2006-06-02 to 2006-08-15 23 draws: 2006-08-15 to 2006-11-03 16 draws: 2006-11-03 to 2006-12-29 1 draws: 2006-12-29 to 2007-01-02 19 draws: 2007-01-02 to 2007-03-09 12 draws: 2007-03-09 to 2007-04-20 1 draws: 2007-04-20 to 2007-04-24 9 draws: 2007-04-24 to 2007-05-25 9 draws: 2007-05-25 to 2007-06-26 13 draws: 2007-06-26 to 2007-08-10 9 draws: 2007-08-10 to 2007-09-11 7 draws: 2007-09-11 to 2007-10-05 1 draws: 2007-10-05 to 2007-10-09 14 draws: 2007-10-09 to 2007-11-27 12 draws: 2007-11-27 to 2008-01-08 48 draws: 2008-01-08 to 2008-06-24 38 draws: 2008-06-24 to 2008-11-04 4 draws: 2008-11-04 to 2008-11-18 3 draws: 2008-11-18 to 2008-11-28 4 draws: 2008-11-28 to 2008-12-12 1 draws: 2008-12-12 to 2008-12-16 10 draws: 2008-12-16 to 2009-01-20 15 draws: 2009-01-20 to 2009-03-13 4 draws: 2009-03-13 to 2009-03-27 13 draws: 2009-03-27 to 2009-05-12 17 draws: 2009-05-12 to 2009-07-10 17 draws: 2009-07-10 to 2009-09-08 11 draws: 2009-09-08 to 2009-10-16 11 draws: 2009-10-16 to 2009-11-24 7 draws: 2009-11-24 to 2009-12-18 12 draws: 2009-12-18 to 2010-01-29 2 draws: 2010-01-29 to 2010-02-05 12 draws: 2010-02-05 to 2010-03-19 8 draws: 2010-03-19 to 2010-04-16 1 draws: 2010-04-16 to 2010-04-20 21 draws: 2010-04-20 to 2010-07-02 7 draws: 2010-07-02 to 2010-07-27 9 draws: 2010-07-27 to 2010-08-27 1 draws: 2010-08-27 to 2010-08-31 1 draws: 2010-08-31 to 2010-09-03 7 draws: 2010-09-03 to 2010-09-28 2 draws: 2010-09-28 to 2010-10-05 2 draws: 2010-10-05 to 2010-10-12 1 draws: 2010-10-12 to 2010-10-15 22 draws: 2010-10-15 to 2010-12-31 18 draws: 2010-12-31 to 2011-03-04 3 draws: 2011-03-04 to 2011-03-15 8 draws: 2011-03-15 to 2011-04-12 5 draws: 2011-04-12 to 2011-04-29 6 draws: 2011-04-29 to 2011-05-20 7 draws: 2011-05-20 to 2011-06-14 3 draws: 2011-06-14 to 2011-06-24 3 draws: 2011-06-24 to 2011-07-05 4 draws: 2011-07-05 to 2011-07-19 3 draws: 2011-07-19 to 2011-07-29 47 draws: 2011-07-29 to 2012-01-10 1 draws: 2012-01-10 to 2012-01-13 3 draws: 2012-01-13 to 2012-01-24 6 draws: 2012-01-24 to 2012-02-14 7 draws: 2012-02-14 to 2012-03-09 19 draws: 2012-03-09 to 2012-05-15 2 draws: 2012-05-15 to 2012-05-22 9 draws: 2012-05-22 to 2012-06-22 12 draws: 2012-06-22 to 2012-08-03 2 draws: 2012-08-03 to 2012-08-10 15 draws: 2012-08-10 to 2012-10-02 3 draws: 2012-10-02 to 2012-10-12 22 draws: 2012-10-12 to 2012-12-28 11 draws: 2012-12-28 to 2013-02-05 16 draws: 2013-02-05 to 2013-04-02 3 draws: 2013-04-02 to 2013-04-12 9 draws: 2013-04-12 to 2013-05-14 6 draws: 2013-05-14 to 2013-06-04 1 draws: 2013-06-04 to 2013-06-07 11 draws: 2013-06-07 to 2013-07-16 22 draws: 2013-07-16 to 2013-10-01 Still waiting — at least 5 draws since 2013-10-01 2005-07-26 2005-12-06 2005-12-13 2005-12-23 2006-04-14 2006-06-02 2006-08-15 2006-11-03 2006-12-29 2007-01-02 2007-03-09 2007-04-20 2007-04-24 2007-05-25 2007-06-26 2007-08-10 2007-09-11 2007-10-05 2007-10-09 2007-11-27 2008-01-08 2008-06-24 2008-11-04 2008-11-18 2008-11-28 2008-12-12 2008-12-16 2009-01-20 2009-03-13 2009-03-27 2009-05-12 2009-07-10 2009-09-08 2009-10-16 2009-11-24 2009-12-18 2010-01-29 2010-02-05 2010-03-19 2010-04-16 2010-04-20 2010-07-02 2010-07-27 2010-08-27 2010-08-31 2010-09-03 2010-09-28 2010-10-05 2010-10-12 2010-10-15 2010-12-31 2011-03-04 2011-03-15 2011-04-12 2011-04-29 2011-05-20 2011-06-14 2011-06-24 2011-07-05 2011-07-19 2011-07-29 2012-01-10 2012-01-13 2012-01-24 2012-02-14 2012-03-09 2012-05-15 2012-05-22 2012-06-22 2012-08-03 2012-08-10 2012-10-02 2012-10-12 2012-12-28 2013-02-05 2013-04-02 2013-04-12 2013-05-14 2013-06-04 2013-06-07 2013-07-16 2013-10-01 2005-06-24 2013-10-18 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 10 times 2 draws: 6 times 3 draws: 9 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 1 time 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 6 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 4 times 12 draws: 5 times 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 2 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 3 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 2 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 1 time 48 draws: 1 time 49 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 40 · chance 39.2 2nd smallest 33 · chance 32.8 3rd smallest 9 · chance 9.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.9 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 55 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 56. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 9 Every number number 11 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/56 tonight whatever it did last week.