Number 50

In Mega Millions under the 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 rules — 869 draws, 5 from 1–56 (an earlier era).

77times drawn · chance expected 78 −0.07σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

11.4average wait between appearances · chance says 11.2

46longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long

50 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 77 times in 869 draws against 77.6 expected, −0.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 50, draw by draw

Drawn 77 times in 869 draws · average wait 11.4 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 50 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.2
3rd smallest2 · chance 4.0
4th smallest23 · chance 25.0
5th smallest52 · chance 47.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

14 22 48 2 8 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 55 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 50 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 56. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 50 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2013-10-15	24	5th	4 23 30 43 50
2013-07-23	9	4th	5 32 35 50 51
2013-06-21	3	5th	3 14 17 40 50
2013-06-11	14	4th	15 40

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 50 is drawn with probability 5/56 tonight whatever it did last week.

2010-08-10	9	4th	2 14 26 50 56
2010-07-09	1	5th	1 31 33 34 50
2010-07-06	9	5th	8 18 45 47 50
2010-06-04	8	5th	12 13 15 17 50
2010-05-07	3	5th	2 7 20 34 50
2010-04-27	3	4th	23 37 41 50 55
2010-04-16	8	5th	10 16 31 48 50
2010-03-19	21	4th	10 31 45 50 54
2010-01-05	12	4th	13 28 39 50 55
2009-11-24	2	5th	10 11 35 37 50
2009-11-17	14	5th	8 22 27 49 50
2009-09-29	6	5th	2 21 25 45 50
2009-09-08	10	5th	4 10 18 28 50
2009-08-04	4	5th	1 28 34 42 50
2009-07-21	1	4th	3 8 21 50 52
2009-07-17	7	5th	8 17 40 47 50
2009-06-23	20	5th	12 14 16 31 50
2009-04-14	5	5th	4 11 22 48 50
2009-03-27	4	5th	10 15 24 38 50
2009-03-13	4	5th	10 12 26 46 50
2009-02-27	14	4th	24 37 44 50 56
2009-01-09	38	5th	23 25 30 45 50
2008-08-29	6	4th	21 25 26 50 51
2008-08-08	12	5th	11 17 28 32 50
2008-06-27	1	5th	8 14 22 39 50
2008-06-24	19	4th	10 22 36 50 53
2008-04-18	1	4th	24 28 36 50 53
2008-04-15	18	5th	12 13 27 48 50
2008-02-12	1	5th	14 27 39 47 50
2008-02-08	7	5th	21 30 43 46 50
2008-01-15	46	5th	21 30 42 44 50
2007-08-07	4	3rd	36 41 50 55 56
2007-07-24	12	5th	8 17 20 23 50
2007-06-12	31	5th	3 13 19 31 50
2007-02-23	16	5th	3 18 21 38 50
2006-12-29	12	5th	3 4 10 39 50
2006-11-17	10	5th	5 19 25 30 50
2006-10-13	16	5th	24 27 42 47 50
2006-08-18	4	5th	5 12 13 46 50
2006-08-04	23	4th	2 24 31 50 55
2006-05-16	8	5th	7 24 40 48 50
2006-04-18	5	5th	13 14 25 34 50
2006-03-31	5	4th	4 7 19 50 52
2006-03-14	35	5th	27 28 30 42 50
2005-11-11	16	4th	9 14 34 50 51
2005-09-16	3	5th	5 16 41 46 50
2005-09-06	9	5th	1 8 27 31 50
2005-08-05	1	4th	3 5 48 50 53
2005-08-02	7	4th	17 22 39 50 52
2005-07-08	1	5th	9 23 45 48 50
2005-07-05	1	4th	22 38 48 50 55
2005-07-01	2	5th	14 25 41 42 50
2005-06-24	—	4th	14 43 44 50 56