Number 32

In Mega Millions under the 5/56 + 1/46 · Jun 2005 – Oct 2013 rules — 869 draws, 5 from 1–56 (an earlier era).

74times drawn · chance expected 78 −0.43σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 57% for any number

11.7average wait between appearances · chance says 11.2

57longest completed wait · 32% chance of one at least that long

32 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 74 times in 869 draws against 77.6 expected, −0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 32, draw by draw

Drawn 74 times in 869 draws · average wait 11.7 draws · longest completed wait 57 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 32 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 2.3
2nd smallest15 · chance 13.6
3rd smallest24 · chance 27.8
4th smallest26 · chance 23.4
5th smallest8 · chance 6.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

19 41 29 39 24 12

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 55 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 32 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 56. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 32 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2013-09-24	12	3rd	4 11 32 39 40
2013-08-13	6	3rd	2 31 32 37 41
2013-07-23	16	2nd	5 32 35 50 51
2013-05-28	4	4th	4 12

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 32 is drawn with probability 5/56 tonight whatever it did last week.

2011-07-22	13	3rd	23 31 32 39 56
2011-06-07	12	2nd	29 32 35 47 52
2011-04-26	2	3rd	19 29 32 38 55
2011-04-19	19	3rd	20 24 32 45 51
2011-02-11	15	4th	8 9 17 32 34
2010-12-21	16	5th	8 11 12 31 32
2010-10-26	1	5th	15 21 30 31 32
2010-10-22	16	4th	2 7 18 32 53
2010-08-27	1	4th	4 10 26 32 41
2010-08-24	15	5th	4 23 24 28 32
2010-07-02	57	4th	1 10 12 32 36
2009-12-15	26	3rd	27 31 32 36 47
2009-09-15	10	3rd	29 30 32 35 41
2009-08-11	17	4th	6 12 15 32 42
2009-06-12	10	4th	6 11 20 32 44
2009-05-08	19	4th	12 27 29 32 34
2009-03-03	26	2nd	26 32 35 43 52
2008-12-02	7	4th	2 17 22 32 51
2008-11-07	10	3rd	14 24 32 43 44
2008-10-03	3	3rd	13 28 32 41 52
2008-09-23	13	2nd	9 32 34 43 52
2008-08-08	5	4th	11 17 28 32 50
2008-07-22	14	5th	2 16 23 29 32
2008-06-03	2	4th	4 19 24 32 54
2008-05-27	2	3rd	14 24 32 45 49
2008-05-20	7	4th	2 14 26 32 41
2008-04-25	14	2nd	19 32 37 45 52
2008-03-07	43	2nd	19 32 33 41 48
2007-10-09	17	4th	1 10 17 32 51
2007-08-10	20	3rd	10 20 32 33 54
2007-06-01	16	4th	12 19 29 32 48
2007-04-06	16	2nd	24 32 34 36 39
2007-02-09	15	1st	32 39 46 48 49
2006-12-19	3	2nd	9 32 37 42 48
2006-12-08	12	4th	1 15 29 32 45
2006-10-27	7	5th	15 22 26 30 32
2006-10-03	8	3rd	6 19 32 33 40
2006-09-05	10	2nd	1 32 36 42 53
2006-08-01	1	3rd	14 29 32 43 49
2006-07-28	26	4th	2 13 23 32 35
2006-04-28	1	3rd	16 29 32 36 55
2006-04-25	23	3rd	1 20 32 37 39
2006-02-03	5	3rd	29 31 32 41 52
2006-01-17	2	2nd	24 32 37 39 40
2006-01-10	2	3rd	7 27 32 37 38
2006-01-03	7	4th	15 19 20 32 38
2005-12-09	15	4th	14 15 31 32 43
2005-10-18	14	4th	3 12 16 32 33
2005-08-30	14	2nd	19 32 42 49 56
2005-07-12	—	3rd	5 17 32 39 53