Number 12

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

99times drawn · chance expected 109 −1.06σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

35longest completed wait · 69% chance of one at least that long

12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 99 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, −1.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 99 times in 897 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest27 · chance 25.7
2nd smallest51 · chance 43.5
3rd smallest16 · chance 24.2
4th smallest5 · chance 5.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

23 34 18 13 11 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-11-01	9	1st	12 23 34 36 40
2018-10-23	11	1st	12 14 22 33 37
2018-10-12	1	2nd	2 12 26 35 36
2018-10-11	1	1st	12 24 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-04-04	18	1st	12 17 21 28 40
2018-03-17	3	2nd	9 12 15 25 28
2018-03-14	10	3rd	6 11 12 20 26
2018-03-04	5	2nd	10 12 21 22 40
2018-02-27	35	1st	12 18 23 34 38
2018-01-23	14	2nd	11 12 13 24 33
2018-01-09	2	2nd	4 12 13 17 27
2018-01-07	3	2nd	5 12 20 23 25
2018-01-04	14	3rd	4 5 12 38 39
2017-12-21	19	3rd	9 11 12 30 32
2017-12-02	5	2nd	10 12 17 18 26
2017-11-27	2	2nd	1 12 28 35 40
2017-11-25	12	2nd	3 12 17 27 41
2017-11-13	16	2nd	10 12 18 22 25
2017-10-28	4	2nd	5 12 28 35 37
2017-10-24	4	2nd	3 12 21 35 40
2017-10-19	14	2nd	11 12 16 24 39
2017-10-05	2	1st	12 16 18 29 35
2017-10-03	14	3rd	1 11 12 25 33
2017-09-18	9	2nd	11 12 15 20 33
2017-09-09	1	2nd	7 12 22 24 28
2017-09-08	2	3rd	3 6 12 20 37
2017-09-06	2	1st	12 13 18 23 30
2017-09-04	28	1st	12 22 23 25 39
2017-08-07	1	2nd	7 12 14 27 34
2017-08-06	4	1st	12 17 18 23 38
2017-08-02	6	2nd	1 12 21 31 38
2017-07-27	5	2nd	7 12 22 34 41
2017-07-22	7	2nd	4 12 18 30 38
2017-07-15	5	2nd	3 12 13 16 27
2017-07-10	4	2nd	7 12 13 23 39
2017-07-06	7	1st	12 15 21 22 26
2017-06-29	1	2nd	2 12 21 23 38
2017-06-28	2	3rd	4 5 12 16 20
2017-06-26	3	3rd	1 9 12 18 36
2017-06-23	2	2nd	11 12 23 28 41
2017-06-21	12	2nd	5 12 19 22 39
2017-06-09	12	1st	12 18 26 28 34
2017-05-28	7	2nd	3 12 13 27 34
2017-05-21	10	2nd	9 12 14 19 31
2017-05-11	10	2nd	2 12 15 27 29
2017-05-01	24	2nd	4 12 27 32 33
2017-04-07	9	2nd	11 12 24 33 36
2017-03-27	8	2nd	8 12 22 23 28
2017-03-19	12	2nd	5 12 18 23 37
2017-03-07	12	1st	12 13 14 25 34
2017-02-23	8	1st	12 15 19 26 34
2017-02-15	8	3rd	5 8 12 13 34
2017-02-07	9	3rd	2 10 12 13 41
2017-01-29	29	4th	1 7 10 12 17
2016-12-31	13	2nd	10 12 25 26 40
2016-12-18	11	2nd	9 12 25 34 38
2016-12-07	6	3rd	8 11 12 29 40
2016-12-01	21	4th	1 5 11 12 36
2016-11-10	29	1st	12 16 19 21 41
2016-10-12	9	4th	1 6 11 12 14
2016-10-03	8	2nd	2 12 14 27 39
2016-09-25	7	2nd	9 12 23 24 29
2016-09-18	8	1st	12 17 23 32 34
2016-09-10	18	2nd	7 12 18 22 34
2016-08-23	6	1st	12 17 26 28 36
2016-08-17	11	1st	12 13 24 25 29
2016-08-06	1	2nd	8 12 27 33 34
2016-08-05	1	2nd	9 12 18 28 36
2016-08-04	6	1st	12 17 29 34 40
2016-07-29	7	1st	12 23 30 31 39
2016-07-22	6	4th	1 3 6 12 15
2016-07-16	5	1st	12 16 18 20 31
2016-07-11	7	2nd	9 12 21 28 30
2016-07-04	7	2nd	10 12 13 18 39
2016-06-27	1	1st	12 13 18 26 40
2016-06-26	5	2nd	2 12 22 26 36
2016-06-21	21	2nd	1 12 29 35 38
2016-05-31	11	3rd	10 11 12 15 23
2016-05-20	—	4th	1 10 11 12 20