Number 10

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

121times drawn · chance expected 109 +1.18σ

13draws waiting · a wait this long: 21% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

40longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 121 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, +1.18σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 121 times in 897 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 13 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest45 · chance 41.7
2nd smallest46 · chance 53.6
3rd smallest23 · chance 22.2
4th smallest7 · chance 3.4
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 23 28 30 32 41

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-10-21	7	1st	10 27 31 32 36
2018-10-14	1	1st	10 11 23 27 38
2018-10-13	3	1st	10 14 22 29 37
2018-10-10	3	2nd	7 10 12

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-05-23	3	1st	10 19 20 24 25
2018-05-20	6	3rd	4 9 10 23 41
2018-05-14	1	1st	10 26 28 34 40
2018-05-13	9	2nd	7 10 13 35 37
2018-05-04	2	2nd	5 10 32 35 39
2018-05-02	12	2nd	7 10 13 27 40
2018-04-20	7	1st	10 29 31 34 36
2018-04-13	40	1st	10 12 30 34 41
2018-03-04	2	1st	10 12 21 22 40
2018-03-02	16	2nd	9 10 18 25 41
2018-02-14	15	3rd	4 7 10 21 22
2018-01-30	5	1st	10 13 16 37 38
2018-01-25	3	1st	10 15 17 19 30
2018-01-22	1	2nd	9 10 11 24 39
2018-01-21	4	2nd	5 10 27 32 39
2018-01-17	6	4th	3 4 5 10 38
2018-01-11	3	2nd	3 10 11 13 33
2018-01-08	3	2nd	8 10 20 27 31
2018-01-05	20	1st	10 22 23 28 34
2017-12-16	3	4th	3 5 9 10 26
2017-12-13	4	1st	10 20 22 27 33
2017-12-09	1	2nd	6 10 16 36 41
2017-12-08	2	1st	10 28 30 32 39
2017-12-06	1	1st	10 13 32 35 37
2017-12-05	3	2nd	8 10 17 21 22
2017-12-02	8	1st	10 12 17 18 26
2017-11-24	4	3rd	5 6 10 20 40
2017-11-20	4	2nd	1 10 28 33 34
2017-11-16	3	3rd	2 4 10 30 33
2017-11-13	10	1st	10 12 18 22 25
2017-11-03	9	3rd	3 5 10 14 41
2017-10-25	2	2nd	8 10 16 19 38
2017-10-23	26	4th	3 4 8 10 31
2017-09-25	1	3rd	5 9 10 11 40
2017-09-24	4	2nd	6 10 23 27 28
2017-09-20	3	1st	10 11 14 30 41
2017-09-17	7	3rd	1 6 10 22 33
2017-09-10	5	1st	10 21 23 36 39
2017-09-05	6	1st	10 17 28 33 37
2017-08-30	4	1st	10 18 19 35 37
2017-08-26	12	2nd	1 10 11 26 37
2017-08-14	2	2nd	4 10 17 22 35
2017-08-12	1	2nd	3 10 19 28 37
2017-08-11	17	3rd	4 6 10 24 41
2017-07-25	9	4th	1 2 7 10 25
2017-07-16	2	2nd	3 10 22 30 40
2017-07-14	6	2nd	6 10 26 27 32
2017-07-08	5	1st	10 13 14 16 39
2017-07-03	22	1st	10 25 29 39 41
2017-06-11	16	4th	3 7 9 10 28
2017-05-26	1	1st	10 17 20 30 32
2017-05-25	5	2nd	8 10 27 28 29
2017-05-20	8	3rd	1 2 10 29 37
2017-05-12	9	1st	10 11 16 37 39
2017-05-03	3	1st	10 18 26 38 41
2017-04-30	2	2nd	7 10 26 30 31
2017-04-28	37	3rd	3 6 10 27 38
2017-03-20	8	2nd	3 10 16 25 34
2017-03-12	8	2nd	4 10 22 26 33
2017-03-04	8	2nd	5 10 11 15 32
2017-02-24	15	2nd	7 10 26 37 41
2017-02-09	2	1st	10 14 16 17 34
2017-02-07	6	2nd	2 10 12 13 41
2017-02-01	3	1st	10 20 23 25 39
2017-01-29	6	3rd	1 7 10 12 17
2017-01-23	6	1st	10 16 27 30 33
2017-01-17	3	1st	10 27 28 32 37
2017-01-14	14	1st	10 11 17 28 34
2016-12-31	4	1st	10 12 25 26 40
2016-12-27	2	2nd	7 10 27 28 33
2016-12-25	4	1st	10 21 32 34 35
2016-12-21	17	2nd	1 10 17 19 37
2016-12-04	6	2nd	3 10 18 19 40
2016-11-28	2	2nd	6 10 19 23 30
2016-11-26	5	3rd	3 5 10 15 35
2016-11-21	5	2nd	3 10 16 28 39
2016-11-16	21	3rd	2 9 10 22 41
2016-10-26	6	2nd	2 10 22 30 32
2016-10-20	9	1st	10 19 29 32 40
2016-10-11	4	2nd	5 10 11 36 40
2016-10-07	8	2nd	6 10 14 17 37
2016-09-29	27	2nd	4 10 26 32 37
2016-09-02	9	1st	10 23 35 37 41
2016-08-24	2	3rd	8 9 10 25 30
2016-08-22	19	2nd	6 10 11 20 40
2016-08-03	8	3rd	1 2 10 24 34
2016-07-26	8	2nd	5 10 23 33 40
2016-07-18	5	1st	10 18 24 25 39
2016-07-13	7	2nd	2 10 17 27 35
2016-07-06	2	1st	10 21 23 25 37
2016-07-04	4	1st	10 12 13 18 39
2016-06-30	25	3rd	3 7 10 23 37
2016-06-05	5	1st	10 13 14 29 34
2016-05-31	9	1st	10 11 12 15 23
2016-05-22	2	1st	10 13 24 32 40
2016-05-20	3	2nd	1 10 11 12 20
2016-05-17	—	3rd	6 7 10 31 41