Number 18

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

108times drawn · chance expected 109 −0.14σ

33draws waiting · a wait this long: 2% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

38longest completed wait · 58% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 108 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, −0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 33 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 108 times in 897 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 33 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 10.5
2nd smallest34 · chance 35.6
3rd smallest40 · chance 40.7
4th smallest22 · chance 18.5
5th smallest4 · chance 2.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 17 4 12 40 25

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-10-01	10	2nd	1 18 24 28 29
2018-09-21	5	3rd	8 16 18 20 25
2018-09-16	2	5th	3 5 6 13 18
2018-09-14	9	3rd	2 17 18

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-03-27	9	4th	5 11 14 18 29
2018-03-18	16	2nd	17 18 23 29 41
2018-03-02	3	3rd	9 10 18 25 41
2018-02-27	7	2nd	12 18 23 34 38
2018-02-20	1	3rd	4 5 18 24 25
2018-02-19	10	3rd	1 2 18 24 25
2018-02-09	38	4th	1 5 7 18 39
2018-01-02	1	3rd	2 7 18 25 41
2018-01-01	2	2nd	9 18 31 34 38
2017-12-30	5	5th	3 4 11 13 18
2017-12-25	23	1st	18 27 30 38 39
2017-12-02	1	4th	10 12 17 18 26
2017-12-01	1	3rd	4 17 18 23 32
2017-11-30	15	3rd	4 5 18 28 40
2017-11-15	2	2nd	16 18 28 34 40
2017-11-13	5	3rd	10 12 18 22 25
2017-11-08	3	1st	18 29 35 36 40
2017-11-05	6	2nd	6 18 23 30 33
2017-10-30	13	4th	2 5 15 18 28
2017-10-16	3	3rd	5 9 18 20 40
2017-10-13	7	3rd	9 17 18 31 33
2017-10-06	1	5th	5 7 13 17 18
2017-10-05	3	3rd	12 16 18 29 35
2017-10-02	15	5th	2 8 13 16 18
2017-09-16	10	4th	5 8 11 18 31
2017-09-06	6	3rd	12 13 18 23 30
2017-08-31	1	1st	18 23 31 36 41
2017-08-30	9	2nd	10 18 19 35 37
2017-08-21	15	1st	18 26 27 28 31
2017-08-06	14	3rd	12 17 18 23 38
2017-07-23	1	3rd	3 5 18 19 37
2017-07-22	11	3rd	4 12 18 30 38
2017-07-11	15	4th	5 15 17 18 36
2017-06-26	8	4th	1 9 12 18 36
2017-06-18	9	2nd	9 18 31 34 39
2017-06-09	10	2nd	12 18 26 28 34
2017-05-30	16	2nd	1 18 30 32 41
2017-05-14	1	2nd	14 18 22 26 28
2017-05-13	8	3rd	4 17 18 23 40
2017-05-05	2	4th	6 14 16 18 20
2017-05-03	13	2nd	10 18 26 38 41
2017-04-20	7	2nd	7 18 24 33 40
2017-04-13	4	2nd	11 18 27 33 38
2017-04-09	4	1st	18 27 35 37 38
2017-04-03	9	2nd	8 18 19 27 32
2017-03-25	6	4th	1 4 16 18 26
2017-03-19	5	3rd	5 12 18 23 37
2017-03-14	9	3rd	1 7 18 20 25
2017-03-05	8	3rd	4 17 18 27 37
2017-02-25	7	4th	3 4 14 18 29
2017-02-18	2	2nd	2 18 23 24 36
2017-02-16	5	3rd	15 17 18 24 41
2017-02-11	1	2nd	11 18 25 31 39
2017-02-10	7	3rd	1 2 18 26 33
2017-02-03	4	4th	4 5 14 18 34
2017-01-30	10	1st	18 22 30 33 36
2017-01-20	7	3rd	2 15 18 19 21
2017-01-13	3	4th	13 15 17 18 37
2017-01-10	7	3rd	3 16 18 28 31
2017-01-03	2	2nd	9 18 20 37 40
2017-01-01	4	2nd	7 18 22 23 34
2016-12-28	11	2nd	4 18 25 30 40
2016-12-17	4	4th	2 3 6 18 28
2016-12-13	2	3rd	4 11 18 37 40
2016-12-11	7	2nd	17 18 34 35 36
2016-12-04	14	3rd	3 10 18 19 40
2016-11-20	16	2nd	9 18 29 37 40
2016-11-04	3	3rd	7 17 18 21 26
2016-11-01	26	3rd	7 17 18 31 36
2016-10-06	14	2nd	5 18 23 36 38
2016-09-22	1	2nd	1 18 19 21 24
2016-09-21	11	2nd	15 18 29 31 33
2016-09-10	23	3rd	7 12 18 22 34
2016-08-18	13	4th	9 13 17 18 41
2016-08-05	5	3rd	9 12 18 28 36
2016-07-31	13	4th	4 5 6 18 39
2016-07-18	2	2nd	10 18 24 25 39
2016-07-16	11	3rd	12 16 18 20 31
2016-07-05	1	1st	18 22 30 35 38
2016-07-04	7	4th	10 12 13 18 39
2016-06-27	9	3rd	12 13 18 26 40
2016-06-18	5	3rd	14 16 18 31 35
2016-06-13	19	2nd	3 18 28 31 32
2016-05-25	—	2nd	13 18 25 26 38