Number 16

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

94times drawn · chance expected 109 −1.57σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

44longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 94 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, −1.57σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 94 times in 897 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest13 · chance 13.0
2nd smallest43 · chance 35.5
3rd smallest28 · chance 32.4
4th smallest9 · chance 11.7
5th smallest1 · chance 1.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

24 39 20 27 4 17

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-11-02	6	2nd	14 16 20 28 41
2018-10-27	22	2nd	11 16 24 25 34
2018-10-05	12	1st	16 21 25 30 31
2018-09-23	2	4th	5 10 12

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-04-01	23	2nd	5 16 24 27 39
2018-03-09	3	2nd	6 16 26 27 30
2018-03-06	35	2nd	1 16 17 36 41
2018-01-30	34	3rd	10 13 16 37 38
2017-12-27	18	2nd	13 16 25 28 36
2017-12-09	11	3rd	6 10 16 36 41
2017-11-28	10	2nd	1 16 20 27 31
2017-11-18	3	1st	16 20 29 33 37
2017-11-15	19	1st	16 18 28 34 40
2017-10-27	2	2nd	14 16 17 28 41
2017-10-25	4	3rd	8 10 16 19 38
2017-10-20	1	2nd	8 16 24 28 39
2017-10-19	5	3rd	11 12 16 24 39
2017-10-14	2	4th	3 4 5 16 22
2017-10-12	7	2nd	7 16 25 30 35
2017-10-05	3	2nd	12 16 18 29 35
2017-10-02	9	4th	2 8 13 16 18
2017-09-22	31	1st	16 23 29 33 41
2017-08-22	12	2nd	15 16 25 27 41
2017-08-10	12	4th	4 6 9 16 22
2017-07-29	3	1st	16 17 24 40 41
2017-07-26	7	2nd	11 16 29 30 39
2017-07-19	4	3rd	2 8 16 17 19
2017-07-15	7	4th	3 12 13 16 27
2017-07-08	6	4th	10 13 14 16 39
2017-07-02	4	2nd	9 16 20 31 34
2017-06-28	9	4th	4 5 12 16 20
2017-06-19	3	2nd	4 16 26 27 37
2017-06-16	20	1st	16 20 22 37 40
2017-05-27	15	3rd	3 6 16 24 28
2017-05-12	7	3rd	10 11 16 37 39
2017-05-05	3	3rd	6 14 16 18 20
2017-05-02	10	2nd	13 16 20 26 27
2017-04-22	7	3rd	3 8 16 22 34
2017-04-15	12	2nd	1 16 17 26 30
2017-04-01	7	2nd	4 16 22 24 25
2017-03-25	2	3rd	1 4 16 18 26
2017-03-23	3	3rd	5 8 16 32 33
2017-03-20	3	3rd	3 10 16 25 34
2017-03-17	11	2nd	11 16 29 31 39
2017-03-06	25	2nd	14 16 21 31 39
2017-02-09	17	3rd	10 14 16 17 34
2017-01-23	13	2nd	10 16 27 30 33
2017-01-10	12	2nd	3 16 18 28 31
2016-12-29	3	3rd	2 13 16 24 33
2016-12-26	2	2nd	13 16 21 27 29
2016-12-24	1	2nd	6 16 17 22 27
2016-12-23	17	1st	16 21 24 40 41
2016-12-06	9	5th	1 4 9 11 16
2016-11-27	5	2nd	14 16 23 35 40
2016-11-22	1	3rd	11 13 16 17 25
2016-11-21	11	3rd	3 10 16 28 39
2016-11-10	1	2nd	12 16 19 21 41
2016-11-09	15	2nd	1 16 24 29 39
2016-10-25	7	2nd	2 16 23 28 38
2016-10-18	28	2nd	1 16 21 30 33
2016-09-20	1	3rd	14 15 16 29 35
2016-09-19	21	2nd	5 16 21 33 36
2016-08-29	2	2nd	2 16 20 30 31
2016-08-27	11	2nd	15 16 17 20 38
2016-08-16	24	1st	16 21 23 36 39
2016-07-23	3	1st	16 32 33 34 37
2016-07-20	4	1st	16 21 24 32 36
2016-07-16	9	2nd	12 16 18 20 31
2016-07-07	13	3rd	7 13 16 29 39
2016-06-24	6	3rd	1 5 16 17 27
2016-06-18	15	2nd	14 16 18 31 35
2016-06-03	1	1st	16 24 27 31 34
2016-06-02	7	3rd	4 13 16 27 40
2016-05-26	—	2nd	5 16 17 19 30