Number 14

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

97times drawn · chance expected 109 −1.26σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

40longest completed wait · 45% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 97 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, −1.26σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 97 times in 897 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest25 · chance 18.6
2nd smallest41 · chance 40.4
3rd smallest27 · chance 29.1
4th smallest2 · chance 8.2
5th smallest2 · chance 0.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 31 29 38 41 2

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-11-02	7	1st	14 16 20 28 41
2018-10-26	2	2nd	5 14 19 29 32
2018-10-24	1	3rd	1 5 14 15 26
2018-10-23	1	2nd	12 14 22

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-04-30	12	2nd	2 14 17 33 38
2018-04-18	3	2nd	6 14 23 27 36
2018-04-15	7	2nd	8 14 19 25 28
2018-04-08	12	3rd	3 4 14 33 41
2018-03-27	29	3rd	5 11 14 18 29
2018-02-26	8	1st	14 22 27 31 36
2018-02-18	30	2nd	11 14 33 40 41
2018-01-19	4	2nd	8 14 17 31 32
2018-01-15	2	2nd	7 14 26 40 41
2018-01-13	1	1st	14 17 20 29 40
2018-01-12	29	1st	14 21 24 33 39
2017-12-14	10	2nd	2 14 20 28 30
2017-12-04	31	3rd	2 11 14 25 32
2017-11-03	7	4th	3 5 10 14 41
2017-10-27	16	1st	14 16 17 28 41
2017-10-10	3	2nd	11 14 19 26 38
2017-10-07	13	1st	14 15 19 20 39
2017-09-23	3	2nd	5 14 26 40 41
2017-09-20	27	3rd	10 11 14 30 41
2017-08-24	7	1st	14 17 25 26 31
2017-08-17	10	3rd	2 8 14 27 30
2017-08-07	2	3rd	7 12 14 27 34
2017-08-05	2	3rd	2 3 14 35 38
2017-08-03	13	2nd	5 14 28 40 41
2017-07-21	12	1st	14 21 36 38 40
2017-07-09	1	1st	14 15 30 33 41
2017-07-08	14	3rd	10 13 14 16 39
2017-06-24	4	1st	14 21 27 31 41
2017-06-20	5	3rd	5 13 14 17 33
2017-06-15	25	2nd	2 14 19 22 32
2017-05-21	4	3rd	9 12 14 19 31
2017-05-17	3	1st	14 23 25 29 30
2017-05-14	6	1st	14 18 22 26 28
2017-05-08	1	2nd	9 14 15 31 32
2017-05-07	2	1st	14 25 29 35 40
2017-05-05	21	2nd	6 14 16 18 20
2017-04-14	15	3rd	6 11 14 17 28
2017-03-28	21	1st	14 19 27 32 34
2017-03-07	1	3rd	12 13 14 25 34
2017-03-06	3	1st	14 16 21 31 39
2017-03-03	1	2nd	6 14 27 35 36
2017-03-02	1	2nd	4 14 28 34 38
2017-03-01	2	3rd	1 11 14 22 30
2017-02-27	2	3rd	3 6 14 19 32
2017-02-25	5	3rd	3 4 14 18 29
2017-02-20	11	3rd	2 13 14 21 26
2017-02-09	6	2nd	10 14 16 17 34
2017-02-03	8	3rd	4 5 14 18 34
2017-01-26	14	1st	14 21 31 32 36
2017-01-12	10	2nd	9 14 21 34 35
2017-01-02	23	2nd	1 14 21 27 37
2016-12-10	10	2nd	2 14 26 33 38
2016-11-30	3	2nd	3 14 19 23 38
2016-11-27	14	1st	14 16 23 35 40
2016-11-13	17	2nd	3 14 15 24 29
2016-10-27	15	2nd	13 14 25 36 39
2016-10-12	5	5th	1 6 11 12 14
2016-10-07	4	3rd	6 10 14 17 37
2016-10-03	2	3rd	2 12 14 27 39
2016-10-01	3	3rd	2 6 14 31 38
2016-09-28	2	3rd	5 13 14 32 41
2016-09-26	6	3rd	2 7 14 32 34
2016-09-20	5	1st	14 15 16 29 35
2016-09-15	9	2nd	9 14 21 26 28
2016-09-06	9	4th	5 6 7 14 30
2016-08-28	2	1st	14 19 20 33 35
2016-08-26	14	1st	14 23 28 29 34
2016-08-12	40	2nd	9 14 19 24 35
2016-07-03	4	1st	14 17 20 30 36
2016-06-29	11	3rd	8 9 14 25 31
2016-06-18	10	1st	14 16 18 31 35
2016-06-08	3	3rd	5 7 14 28 38
2016-06-05	—	3rd	10 13 14 29 34