Number 30

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

114times drawn · chance expected 109 +0.47σ

12draws waiting · a wait this long: 24% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

40longest completed wait · 51% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 114 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, +0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 114 times in 897 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 12 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.4
2nd smallest5 · chance 6.0
3rd smallest32 · chance 27.9
4th smallest46 · chance 50.1
5th smallest31 · chance 29.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

22 10 7 33 2 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-10-22	6	4th	5 14 24 30 38
2018-10-16	11	4th	22 23 27 30 35
2018-10-05	3	4th	16 21 25 30 31
2018-10-02	8	5th	5 6 7

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-05-08	2	3rd	3 21 30 31 38
2018-05-06	13	4th	3 15 18 30 41
2018-04-23	10	2nd	25 30 33 38 39
2018-04-13	7	3rd	10 12 30 34 41
2018-04-06	7	4th	4 9 25 30 35
2018-03-30	5	4th	2 6 15 30 37
2018-03-25	5	5th	7 21 22 24 30
2018-03-20	11	5th	4 17 22 29 30
2018-03-09	1	5th	6 16 26 27 30
2018-03-08	1	3rd	13 23 30 32 33
2018-03-07	12	4th	13 20 24 30 35
2018-02-23	21	2nd	13 30 34 36 37
2018-02-02	8	3rd	2 19 30 32 36
2018-01-25	25	5th	10 15 17 19 30
2017-12-31	6	4th	2 20 22 30 31
2017-12-25	4	3rd	18 27 30 38 39
2017-12-21	7	4th	9 11 12 30 32
2017-12-14	6	5th	2 14 20 28 30
2017-12-08	22	3rd	10 28 30 32 39
2017-11-16	2	4th	2 4 10 30 33
2017-11-14	2	3rd	22 28 30 31 34
2017-11-12	7	3rd	7 11 30 34 40
2017-11-05	4	4th	6 18 23 30 33
2017-11-01	19	5th	3 6 20 23 30
2017-10-12	4	4th	7 16 25 30 35
2017-10-08	11	4th	2 8 20 30 41
2017-09-26	5	5th	5 8 11 20 30
2017-09-21	1	5th	2 7 19 29 30
2017-09-20	8	4th	10 11 14 30 41
2017-09-12	6	3rd	6 7 30 34 40
2017-09-06	4	5th	12 13 18 23 30
2017-09-02	16	3rd	4 19 30 32 37
2017-08-17	1	5th	2 8 14 27 30
2017-08-16	1	4th	2 15 25 30 33
2017-08-15	7	4th	7 9 23 30 35
2017-08-08	13	3rd	8 23 30 34 35
2017-07-26	4	4th	11 16 29 30 39
2017-07-22	6	4th	4 12 18 30 38
2017-07-16	7	4th	3 10 22 30 40
2017-07-09	40	3rd	14 15 30 33 41
2017-05-30	4	3rd	1 18 30 32 41
2017-05-26	2	4th	10 17 20 30 32
2017-05-24	2	4th	6 21 23 30 32
2017-05-22	4	5th	1 6 9 28 30
2017-05-18	1	3rd	7 9 30 35 37
2017-05-17	17	5th	14 23 25 29 30
2017-04-30	6	4th	7 10 26 30 31
2017-04-24	5	4th	6 7 21 30 33
2017-04-19	3	3rd	5 24 30 38 41
2017-04-16	1	3rd	20 27 30 32 38
2017-04-15	4	5th	1 16 17 26 30
2017-04-11	3	3rd	7 28 30 35 39
2017-04-08	19	2nd	17 30 32 38 39
2017-03-18	8	4th	1 11 20 30 37
2017-03-10	9	4th	13 21 26 30 41
2017-03-01	21	5th	1 11 14 22 30
2017-02-08	3	5th	13 15 28 29 30
2017-02-05	6	3rd	3 4 30 33 40
2017-01-30	7	3rd	18 22 30 33 36
2017-01-23	19	4th	10 16 27 30 33
2017-01-04	7	4th	3 7 17 30 36
2016-12-28	8	4th	4 18 25 30 40
2016-12-20	1	4th	11 20 21 30 36
2016-12-19	21	5th	1 5 22 26 30
2016-11-28	4	5th	6 10 19 23 30
2016-11-24	13	5th	2 17 20 22 30
2016-11-11	8	4th	17 19 26 30 34
2016-11-03	8	4th	3 8 21 30 35
2016-10-26	2	4th	2 10 22 30 32
2016-10-24	3	3rd	5 27 30 36 41
2016-10-21	3	3rd	9 26 30 35 36
2016-10-18	24	4th	1 16 21 30 33
2016-09-24	8	4th	9 19 22 30 33
2016-09-16	5	4th	5 9 24 30 34
2016-09-11	5	5th	3 11 17 24 30
2016-09-06	1	5th	5 6 7 14 30
2016-09-05	7	5th	8 19 20 28 30
2016-08-29	5	4th	2 16 20 30 31
2016-08-24	10	5th	8 9 10 25 30
2016-08-14	16	3rd	11 27 30 35 37
2016-07-29	8	3rd	12 23 30 31 39
2016-07-21	2	3rd	4 29 30 39 40
2016-07-19	8	4th	8 19 25 30 34
2016-07-11	6	5th	9 12 21 28 30
2016-07-05	2	3rd	18 22 30 35 38
2016-07-03	5	4th	14 17 20 30 36
2016-06-28	14	3rd	7 11 30 38 40
2016-06-14	19	4th	8 17 19 30 33
2016-05-26	8	5th	5 16 17 19 30
2016-05-18	—	3rd	17 26 30 38 39