Number 23

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

119times drawn · chance expected 109 +0.98σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

27longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 119 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, +0.98σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 119 times in 897 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 4.0
2nd smallest23 · chance 23.4
3rd smallest57 · chance 46.0
4th smallest33 · chance 36.1
5th smallest4 · chance 9.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

12 4 10 5 34 38

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-11-01	2	2nd	12 23 34 36 40
2018-10-30	5	3rd	13 22 23 28 32
2018-10-25	7	2nd	4 23 26 33 40
2018-10-18	2	1st	23 31 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-04-28	6	2nd	13 23 25 39 40
2018-04-22	4	3rd	3 8 23 26 33
2018-04-18	1	3rd	6 14 23 27 36
2018-04-17	20	3rd	1 5 23 24 31
2018-03-28	2	2nd	22 23 27 28 41
2018-03-26	2	3rd	2 19 23 24 27
2018-03-24	6	3rd	1 21 23 32 38
2018-03-18	5	3rd	17 18 23 29 41
2018-03-13	5	2nd	4 23 29 35 40
2018-03-08	5	2nd	13 23 30 32 33
2018-03-03	4	3rd	15 21 23 35 41
2018-02-27	2	3rd	12 18 23 34 38
2018-02-25	22	4th	13 17 21 23 29
2018-02-03	27	3rd	8 11 23 26 37
2018-01-07	1	4th	5 12 20 23 25
2018-01-06	1	3rd	3 21 23 33 34
2018-01-05	10	3rd	10 22 23 28 34
2017-12-26	2	3rd	4 22 23 24 41
2017-12-24	1	4th	7 8 17 23 29
2017-12-23	1	3rd	1 6 23 29 33
2017-12-22	21	3rd	6 9 23 37 40
2017-12-01	9	4th	4 17 18 23 32
2017-11-22	17	2nd	1 23 26 35 38
2017-11-05	4	3rd	6 18 23 30 33
2017-11-01	16	4th	3 6 20 23 30
2017-10-15	20	4th	6 20 21 23 38
2017-09-24	2	3rd	6 10 23 27 28
2017-09-22	11	2nd	16 23 29 33 41
2017-09-11	1	4th	3 6 22 23 26
2017-09-10	4	3rd	10 21 23 36 39
2017-09-06	2	4th	12 13 18 23 30
2017-09-04	4	3rd	12 22 23 25 39
2017-08-31	13	2nd	18 23 31 36 41
2017-08-18	3	3rd	8 21 23 32 35
2017-08-15	7	3rd	7 9 23 30 35
2017-08-08	2	2nd	8 23 30 34 35
2017-08-06	5	4th	12 17 18 23 38
2017-08-01	14	3rd	15 22 23 36 37
2017-07-18	8	1st	23 24 25 34 35
2017-07-10	6	4th	7 12 13 23 39
2017-07-04	5	3rd	3 19 23 27 36
2017-06-29	6	4th	2 12 21 23 38
2017-06-23	13	3rd	11 12 23 28 41
2017-06-10	2	4th	4 20 21 23 41
2017-06-08	3	2nd	3 23 24 27 37
2017-06-05	4	4th	4 7 9 23 32
2017-06-01	8	2nd	20 23 31 37 40
2017-05-24	7	3rd	6 21 23 30 32
2017-05-17	2	2nd	14 23 25 29 30
2017-05-15	2	3rd	11 15 23 26 35
2017-05-13	16	4th	4 17 18 23 40
2017-04-27	6	3rd	5 15 23 33 36
2017-04-21	23	2nd	5 23 28 31 39
2017-03-27	8	4th	8 12 22 23 28
2017-03-19	3	4th	5 12 18 23 37
2017-03-16	16	3rd	4 13 23 28 39
2017-02-28	2	4th	4 5 8 23 33
2017-02-26	7	4th	2 19 20 23 34
2017-02-19	1	3rd	8 22 23 29 37
2017-02-18	17	3rd	2 18 23 24 36
2017-02-01	4	3rd	10 20 23 25 39
2017-01-28	3	3rd	9 15 23 32 38
2017-01-25	3	2nd	11 23 24 33 34
2017-01-22	16	5th	1 3 4 6 23
2017-01-06	5	2nd	7 23 25 27 32
2017-01-01	20	4th	7 18 22 23 34
2016-12-12	3	3rd	13 15 23 34 41
2016-12-09	7	4th	1 4 22 23 32
2016-12-02	2	3rd	4 19 23 26 28
2016-11-30	2	4th	3 14 19 23 38
2016-11-28	1	4th	6 10 19 23 30
2016-11-27	10	3rd	14 16 23 35 40
2016-11-17	9	4th	4 5 9 23 41
2016-11-08	10	3rd	8 21 23 25 32
2016-10-29	4	4th	5 9 17 23 40
2016-10-25	2	3rd	2 16 23 28 38
2016-10-23	7	2nd	8 23 26 29 38
2016-10-16	10	3rd	5 13 23 26 37
2016-10-06	11	3rd	5 18 23 36 38
2016-09-25	7	3rd	9 12 23 24 29
2016-09-18	1	3rd	12 17 23 32 34
2016-09-17	5	3rd	17 20 23 33 40
2016-09-12	10	4th	1 5 17 23 29
2016-09-02	7	2nd	10 23 35 37 41
2016-08-26	6	2nd	14 23 28 29 34
2016-08-20	4	3rd	9 15 23 33 36
2016-08-16	3	3rd	16 21 23 36 39
2016-08-13	15	3rd	3 6 23 34 38
2016-07-29	3	2nd	12 23 30 31 39
2016-07-26	20	3rd	5 10 23 33 40
2016-07-06	6	3rd	10 21 23 25 37
2016-06-30	5	4th	3 7 10 23 37
2016-06-25	25	4th	2 19 20 23 24
2016-05-31	12	5th	10 11 12 15 23
2016-05-19	—	5th	4 11 15 19 23