Number 2

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · May 2016 – Nov 2018 rules — 897 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

101times drawn · chance expected 109 −0.86σ

17draws waiting · a wait this long: 12% for any number

8.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

72longest completed wait · 1.0% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 101 times in 897 draws against 109.4 expected, −0.86σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 101 times in 897 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 72 · waiting 17 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest91 · chance 90.9
2nd smallest10 · chance 10.1
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

24 19 20 5 30 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2018-10-17	5	1st	2 5 28 31 34
2018-10-12	28	1st	2 12 26 35 36
2018-09-14	16	1st	2 17 18 25 35
2018-08-29	1	1st	2 3 19

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-04-30	1	1st	2 14 17 33 38
2018-04-29	30	1st	2 4 19 24 25
2018-03-30	1	1st	2 6 15 30 37
2018-03-29	3	1st	2 5 13 18 20
2018-03-26	4	1st	2 19 23 24 27
2018-03-22	10	1st	2 4 13 24 33
2018-03-12	21	2nd	1 2 5 13 20
2018-02-19	4	2nd	1 2 18 24 25
2018-02-15	4	1st	2 11 17 31 35
2018-02-11	7	1st	2 11 15 36 40
2018-02-04	2	1st	2 6 28 29 33
2018-02-02	15	1st	2 19 30 32 36
2018-01-18	4	1st	2 17 27 36 41
2018-01-14	12	1st	2 6 13 32 41
2018-01-02	2	1st	2 7 18 25 41
2017-12-31	17	1st	2 20 22 30 31
2017-12-14	10	1st	2 14 20 28 30
2017-12-04	1	1st	2 11 14 25 32
2017-12-03	17	1st	2 4 6 8 32
2017-11-16	5	1st	2 4 10 30 33
2017-11-11	7	1st	2 5 20 28 35
2017-11-04	5	1st	2 19 24 28 37
2017-10-30	1	1st	2 5 15 18 28
2017-10-29	20	1st	2 7 17 25 39
2017-10-08	6	1st	2 8 20 30 41
2017-10-02	10	1st	2 8 13 16 18
2017-09-21	8	1st	2 7 19 29 30
2017-09-13	15	1st	2 24 26 36 37
2017-08-29	12	2nd	1 2 5 13 34
2017-08-17	1	1st	2 8 14 27 30
2017-08-16	11	1st	2 15 25 30 33
2017-08-05	11	1st	2 3 14 35 38
2017-07-25	6	2nd	1 2 7 10 25
2017-07-19	2	1st	2 8 16 17 19
2017-07-17	16	1st	2 28 34 35 39
2017-07-01	2	1st	2 8 9 33 37
2017-06-29	14	1st	2 12 21 23 38
2017-06-15	2	1st	2 14 19 22 32
2017-06-13	10	1st	2 9 22 32 35
2017-06-03	14	1st	2 4 25 34 38
2017-05-20	1	2nd	1 2 10 29 37
2017-05-19	8	1st	2 7 19 20 27
2017-05-11	72	1st	2 12 15 27 29
2017-02-26	5	1st	2 19 20 23 34
2017-02-21	1	1st	2 5 22 27 34
2017-02-20	2	1st	2 13 14 21 26
2017-02-18	8	1st	2 18 23 24 36
2017-02-10	3	2nd	1 2 18 26 33
2017-02-07	17	1st	2 10 12 13 41
2017-01-21	1	1st	2 4 22 32 38
2017-01-20	1	1st	2 15 18 19 21
2017-01-19	4	1st	2 4 5 20 21
2017-01-15	17	1st	2 9 11 40 41
2016-12-29	7	1st	2 13 16 24 33
2016-12-22	5	2nd	1 2 5 9 37
2016-12-17	7	1st	2 3 6 18 28
2016-12-10	16	1st	2 14 26 33 38
2016-11-24	5	1st	2 17 20 22 30
2016-11-19	3	1st	2 3 25 34 41
2016-11-16	9	1st	2 9 10 22 41
2016-11-07	5	1st	2 3 22 24 40
2016-11-02	7	1st	2 24 29 33 38
2016-10-26	1	1st	2 10 22 30 32
2016-10-25	10	1st	2 16 23 28 38
2016-10-15	12	1st	2 11 21 24 37
2016-10-03	2	1st	2 12 14 27 39
2016-10-01	1	1st	2 6 14 31 38
2016-09-30	4	1st	2 25 26 32 33
2016-09-26	28	1st	2 7 14 32 34
2016-08-29	26	1st	2 16 20 30 31
2016-08-03	21	2nd	1 2 10 24 34
2016-07-13	4	1st	2 10 17 27 35
2016-07-09	13	1st	2 4 5 32 36
2016-06-26	1	1st	2 12 22 26 36
2016-06-25	5	1st	2 19 20 23 24
2016-06-20	11	1st	2 3 27 39 41
2016-06-09	—	1st	2 7 20 26 41