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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 7 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −1.89σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 7 times in 96 draws · average wait 13.8 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 9 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 47 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 47 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 47 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 47 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-10-10 | 9 | 5th | 11132343474950 |
| 2025-09-09 | 10 | 7th | 9121821334647 |
| 2025-08-05 | 19 | 7th | 182040414447 |
| 2025-05-30 | — | 7th | 2111420283647 |