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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 17 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +1.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 17 times in 96 draws · average wait 5.9 draws · longest completed wait 11 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-03-10 | 11 | 4th | 57921343843 |
| 2026-01-30 | 5 | 4th | 17181921343546 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2 | 3rd | 6172124252934 |
| 2026-01-06 | 10 | 4th | 24521223340 |
| 2025-12-02 | 10 | 3rd | 9152126274050 |
| 2025-10-24 | 8 | 5th | 9141617212428 |
| 2025-09-26 | 5 | 6th | 1278102146 |
| 2025-09-09 | 9 | 4th | 9121821334647 |
| 2025-08-08 | 2 | 2nd | 6212425384549 |
| 2025-08-01 | 4 | 6th | 351013142125 |
| 2025-07-18 | 6 | 3rd | 10192125384549 |
| 2025-06-27 | 7 | 3rd | 342130333540 |
| 2025-06-03 | 3 | 4th | 4162021273741 |
| 2025-05-23 | — | 1st | 21242933394950 |