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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 16 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 96 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 17 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-02-24 | 17 | 1st | 181518232735 |
| 2025-12-26 | 1 | 1st | 1132934384144 |
| 2025-12-23 | 5 | 1st | 1142728394243 |
| 2025-12-05 | 7 | 1st | 17811252936 |
| 2025-11-07 | 9 | 1st | 162937394550 |
| 2025-10-07 | 2 | 1st | 1101517194849 |
| 2025-09-30 | 1 | 1st | 1283638414650 |
| 2025-09-26 | 3 | 1st | 1278102146 |
| 2025-09-16 | 5 | 1st | 191016223842 |
| 2025-08-29 | 7 | 1st | 131233394344 |
| 2025-08-05 | 7 | 1st | 182040414447 |
| 2025-07-11 | 13 | 1st | 13515293442 |
| 2025-05-27 | — | 1st | 1101624424649 |