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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 11 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −0.72σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 96 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 15 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-01-23 | 18 | 2nd | 6182335384849 |
| 2025-11-21 | 4 | 2nd | 8182437464849 |
| 2025-11-04 | 4 | 3rd | 6161820253050 |
| 2025-10-21 | 8 | 4th | 14151718344449 |
| 2025-09-23 | 4 | 3rd | 4151822414346 |
| 2025-09-09 | 12 | 3rd | 9121821334647 |
| 2025-07-29 | 14 | 2nd | 2182327374144 |
| 2025-06-10 | — | 2nd | 15181932404549 |