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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 12 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −0.42σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 12 times in 96 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-10-28 | 4 | 1st | 24515161722 |
| 2025-10-14 | 5 | 1st | 23625353941 |
| 2025-09-26 | 13 | 2nd | 1278102146 |
| 2025-08-12 | 4 | 1st | 2263234363844 |
| 2025-07-29 | 2 | 1st | 2182327374144 |
| 2025-07-22 | 6 | 1st | 231220253133 |
| 2025-07-01 | 4 | 1st | 252023253436 |
| 2025-06-17 | 5 | 1st | 2243033384649 |
| 2025-05-30 | — | 1st | 2111420283647 |