Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 15 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 96 draws · average wait 6.3 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | 3 | 2nd | 4112436374550 |
| 2026-03-27 | 2 | 1st | 11132027373848 |
| 2026-03-20 | 9 | 1st | 11121523303247 |
| 2026-02-17 | 1 | 2nd | 9111216293045 |
| 2026-02-13 | 8 | 2nd | 9111624303641 |
| 2026-01-16 | 5 | 2nd | 3111524253045 |
| 2025-12-30 | 4 | 1st | 11232831343841 |
| 2025-12-16 | 1 | 2nd | 7112428464749 |
| 2025-12-12 | 2 | 2nd | 6111226414649 |
| 2025-12-05 | 2 | 4th | 17811252936 |
| 2025-11-28 | 3 | 2nd | 4112830424448 |
| 2025-11-18 | 10 | 4th | 56911354249 |
| 2025-10-10 | 27 | 1st | 11132343474950 |
| 2025-07-08 | 11 | 3rd | 361129304142 |
| 2025-05-30 | — | 2nd | 2111420283647 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.