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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 13 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −0.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 96 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 13 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 13 is picked about 0.92× as often as an indifferent choice — 31st most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 13 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | 4 | 2nd | 11132027373848 |
| 2026-03-13 | 4 | 3rd | 131316252642 |
| 2026-02-27 | 11 | 1st | 13182225273137 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 5th | 47912132932 |
| 2026-01-09 | 4 | 4th | 671013151920 |
| 2025-12-26 | 5 | 2nd | 1132934384144 |
| 2025-12-09 | 4 | 4th | 591213192936 |
| 2025-11-25 | 3 | 3rd | 3121327282933 |
| 2025-11-14 | 9 | 1st | 13303133374148 |
| 2025-10-10 | 20 | 2nd | 11132343474950 |
| 2025-08-01 | 5 | 4th | 351013142125 |
| 2025-07-15 | 6 | 2nd | 6131920313743 |
| 2025-06-24 | — | 3rd | 7101316174050 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 13 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.