Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 14 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +0.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 96 draws · average wait 7.0 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 24 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 24 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 24 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 1 | 5th | 1141520243132 |
| 2026-04-07 | 9 | 3rd | 4112436374550 |
| 2026-03-06 | 6 | 3rd | 10122429354246 |
| 2026-02-13 | 8 | 4th | 9111624303641 |
| 2026-01-16 | 1 | 4th | 3111524253045 |
| 2026-01-13 | 8 | 4th | 6172124252934 |
| 2025-12-16 | 7 | 3rd | 7112428464749 |
| 2025-11-21 | 7 | 3rd | 8182437464849 |
| 2025-10-24 | 12 | 6th | 9141617212428 |
| 2025-09-12 | 10 | 4th | 10122224262744 |
| 2025-08-08 | 15 | 3rd | 6212425384549 |
| 2025-06-17 | 6 | 2nd | 2243033384649 |
| 2025-05-27 | 1 | 4th | 1101624424649 |
| 2025-05-23 | — | 2nd | 21242933394950 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 24 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.