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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 12 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −0.42σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 12 times in 96 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-16 | 5 | 4th | 7112428464749 |
| 2025-11-28 | 1 | 3rd | 4112830424448 |
| 2025-11-25 | 8 | 5th | 3121327282933 |
| 2025-10-24 | 6 | 7th | 9141617212428 |
| 2025-10-03 | 1 | 2nd | 10283537434548 |
| 2025-09-30 | 12 | 2nd | 1283638414650 |
| 2025-08-19 | 23 | 3rd | 9102829313348 |
| 2025-05-30 | 3 | 5th | 2111420283647 |
| 2025-05-20 | — | 5th | 892026283146 |