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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).
Drawn 17 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, +1.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 17 times in 96 draws · average wait 5.0 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 49 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 49 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 49 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 49 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-12 | 6 | 7th | 6111226414649 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1 | 7th | 8182437464849 |
| 2025-11-18 | 4 | 7th | 56911354249 |
| 2025-10-31 | 3 | 6th | 20223940444950 |
| 2025-10-21 | 3 | 7th | 14151718344449 |
| 2025-10-10 | 1 | 6th | 11132343474950 |
| 2025-10-07 | 17 | 7th | 1101517194849 |
| 2025-08-08 | 6 | 7th | 6212425384549 |
| 2025-07-18 | 8 | 7th | 10192125384549 |
| 2025-06-20 | 1 | 7th | 592530353949 |
| 2025-06-17 | 2 | 7th | 2243033384649 |
| 2025-06-10 | 4 | 7th | 15181932404549 |
| 2025-05-27 | 1 | 7th | 1101624424649 |
| 2025-05-23 | — | 6th | 21242933394950 |