Number 11

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

94times drawn · chance expected 108 −1.51σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 9% for any number

7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4

35longest completed wait · 26% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 94 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, −1.51σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 24 times, counted separately.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 94 times in 697 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest17 · chance 17.9
2nd smallest40 · chance 37.1
3rd smallest26 · chance 27.8
4th smallest10 · chance 9.6
5th smallest1 · chance 1.6
6th smallest0 · chance 0.1
7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 30 45 27 1 19

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-01-25	3	2nd	4 11 17 22 26 31 36
2022-01-04	8	3rd	5 6 11 24 25 26 44
2021-11-09	5	2nd	6 11 17 36 40 44

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-01-01	1	1st	11 20 23 26 30 32 44
2018-12-25	6	3rd	4 7 11 28 32 33 38
2018-11-13	10	2nd	9 11 16 19 28 42 45
2018-09-04	3	1st	11 15 25 30 33 36 41
2018-08-14	4	2nd	5 11 24 25 28 37 38
2018-07-17	3	1st	11 17 19 20 28 38 42
2018-06-26	3	2nd	10 11 14 22 32 34 36
2018-06-05	5	1st	11 18 23 30 33 37 45
2018-05-01	2	3rd	8 9 11 15 19 27 36
2018-04-17	4	2nd	7 11 20 23 27 36 43
2018-03-20	4	3rd	4 8 11 13 16 32 34
2018-02-20	2	4th	1 2 5 11 15 29 35
2018-02-06	35	2nd	6 11 22 35 40 41 43
2017-06-06	6	2nd	10 11 15 19 23 30 34
2017-04-25	22	1st	11 27 28 37 41 43 45
2016-11-22	1	1st	11 17 30 31 32 43 45
2016-11-15	13	2nd	7 11 15 16 18 26 27
2016-08-16	1	2nd	9 11 20 24 27 36 44
2016-08-09	2	2nd	2 11 13 18 26 33 41
2016-07-26	2	3rd	1 4 11 22 30 31 38
2016-07-12	2	2nd	1 11 19 24 28 29 39
2016-06-28	5	1st	11 13 16 19 24 32 44
2016-05-24	3	3rd	4 5 11 22 25 32 38
2016-05-03	12	2nd	9 11 18 20 30 33 42
2016-02-09	9	2nd	6 11 22 30 35 37 40
2015-12-08	6	2nd	8 11 14 19 30 36 40
2015-10-27	1	4th	3 5 10 11 18 30 44
2015-10-20	10	3rd	9 10 11 21 35 43 45
2015-08-11	5	4th	1 4 9 11 15 32 37
2015-07-07	1	2nd	1 11 17 19 23 27 36
2015-06-30	12	3rd	2 10 11 13 22 29 33
2015-04-07	2	2nd	10 11 14 22 26 36 42
2015-03-24	7	2nd	4 11 16 24 28 33 45
2015-02-03	4	5th	2 5 7 10 11 12 36
2015-01-06	3	3rd	2 6 11 19 35 39 40
2014-12-16	24	2nd	4 11 20 21 25 42 45
2014-07-01	8	3rd	1 10 11 15 19 20 44
2014-05-06	11	2nd	3 11 15 25 28 29 41
2014-02-18	10	4th	1 4 7 11 27 30 36
2013-12-10	10	2nd	9 11 20 35 38 42 43
2013-10-01	7	3rd	1 8 11 12 27 36 42
2013-08-13	5	2nd	1 11 14 30 31 33 43
2013-07-09	16	4th	1 2 7 11 13 17 41
2013-03-19	2	3rd	1 7 11 26 33 37 40
2013-03-05	22	4th	2 3 5 11 26 27 44
2012-10-02	2	2nd	2 11 13 15 28 33 41
2012-09-18	12	3rd	6 7 11 12 14 16 17
2012-06-26	4	3rd	1 7 11 17 19 25 43
2012-05-29	5	2nd	3 11 29 35 37 43 45
2012-04-24	4	3rd	4 6 11 16 19 27 45
2012-03-27	10	2nd	3 11 15 17 18 24 39
2012-01-17	5	4th	2 5 7 11 13 31 32
2011-12-13	3	1st	11 18 21 25 29 42 45
2011-11-22	27	3rd	5 10 11 16 21 25 37
2011-05-17	4	2nd	10 11 14 26 29 33 39
2011-04-19	9	2nd	9 11 19 20 35 43 45
2011-02-15	2	2nd	7 11 20 29 32 37 41
2011-02-01	13	1st	11 23 27 33 34 37 38
2010-11-02	12	1st	11 14 23 30 32 38 43
2010-08-10	16	1st	11 16 21 22 25 28 41
2010-04-20	2	3rd	1 9 11 17 30 39 44
2010-04-06	13	2nd	2 11 15 36 39 41 43
2010-01-05	4	4th	3 6 10 11 26 35 39
2009-12-08	15	2nd	7 11 29 34 35 42 45
2009-08-25	3	2nd	5 11 16 17 24 39 41
2009-08-04	1	2nd	2 11 13 22 25 39 42
2009-07-28	10	4th	3 6 10 11 15 35 43
2009-05-19	5	1st	11 12 17 18 21 22 25
2009-04-14	6	3rd	1 5 11 20 27 28 33
2009-03-03	—	3rd	3 8 11 26 29 33 35