Number 5

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

118times drawn · chance expected 108 +1.00σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 84% for any number

5.9average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4

38longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 118 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, +1.00σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 33 times, counted separately.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 118 times in 697 draws · average wait 5.9 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest65 · chance 64.2
2nd smallest48 · chance 44.0
3rd smallest5 · chance 9.2
4th smallest0 · chance 0.7
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0
7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 16.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

22 32 7 16 15 18

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-26	1	2nd	4 5 17 22 30 34 45
2022-04-19	2	1st	5 6 15 21 27 32 37
2022-04-05	7	2nd	3 5 30 34 37 40

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-01-21	3	1st	5 12 17 22 37 40 43
2019-12-31	1	2nd	1 5 10 11 23 29 39
2019-12-24	5	1st	5 20 21 22 28 29 32
2019-11-19	5	1st	5 8 21 23 38 39 40
2019-10-15	1	1st	5 13 20 22 25 32 42
2019-10-08	7	1st	5 12 14 18 35 37 40
2019-08-20	3	2nd	1 5 7 16 37 41 43
2019-07-30	2	1st	5 11 21 23 27 30 34
2019-07-16	2	1st	5 8 14 22 31 32 37
2019-07-02	8	1st	5 6 7 9 28 40 44
2019-05-07	12	3rd	3 4 5 15 23 41 42
2019-02-12	5	2nd	3 5 6 10 12 36 39
2019-01-08	21	1st	5 12 20 32 35 36 43
2018-08-14	20	1st	5 11 24 25 28 37 38
2018-03-27	2	2nd	3 5 19 22 27 29 38
2018-03-13	1	1st	5 18 23 25 29 35 39
2018-03-06	2	1st	5 18 30 34 37 38 41
2018-02-20	3	3rd	1 2 5 11 15 29 35
2018-01-30	6	2nd	2 5 12 24 31 40 45
2017-12-19	5	1st	5 18 26 34 35 37 44
2017-11-14	38	3rd	1 3 5 15 16 25 30
2017-02-21	15	1st	5 9 19 28 31 41 45
2016-11-08	2	2nd	2 5 7 13 22 36 42
2016-10-25	9	1st	5 8 20 33 34 36 37
2016-08-23	9	2nd	1 5 15 21 32 36 45
2016-06-21	4	2nd	2 5 16 28 36 42 44
2016-05-24	1	2nd	4 5 11 22 25 32 38
2016-05-17	3	1st	5 10 18 21 24 42 44
2016-04-26	1	2nd	1 5 6 15 19 41 45
2016-04-19	7	1st	5 22 25 29 33 40 42
2016-03-01	1	2nd	3 5 20 27 30 32 41
2016-02-23	3	2nd	1 5 18 21 22 36 39
2016-02-02	1	2nd	2 5 7 9 19 22 44
2016-01-26	8	1st	5 13 23 24 26 35 41
2015-12-01	2	1st	5 7 8 13 14 15 29
2015-11-17	2	1st	5 16 19 26 29 32 39
2015-11-03	1	1st	5 19 30 31 32 37 40
2015-10-27	18	2nd	3 5 10 11 18 30 44
2015-06-23	2	2nd	2 5 9 19 27 36 45
2015-06-09	12	1st	5 7 10 14 15 21 32
2015-03-17	1	2nd	4 5 14 15 16 29 42
2015-03-10	1	2nd	3 5 22 25 27 36 45
2015-03-03	4	1st	5 19 20 23 26 31 43
2015-02-03	24	2nd	2 5 7 10 11 12 36
2014-08-19	1	2nd	1 5 7 31 33 41 43
2014-08-12	10	2nd	3 5 29 32 37 41 43
2014-06-03	2	1st	5 8 14 20 21 35 40
2014-05-20	4	2nd	4 5 7 16 26 31 39
2014-04-22	1	2nd	4 5 12 30 35 36 43
2014-04-15	10	1st	5 17 22 27 29 31 35
2014-02-04	10	2nd	3 5 22 26 39 43 44
2013-11-26	2	1st	5 6 12 24 26 31 40
2013-11-12	4	1st	5 6 8 29 30 36 38
2013-10-15	1	2nd	2 5 10 18 22 36 39
2013-10-08	18	1st	5 24 28 32 38 39 45
2013-06-04	13	2nd	2 5 17 18 22 26 41
2013-03-05	3	3rd	2 3 5 11 26 27 44
2013-02-12	7	3rd	2 3 5 16 28 42 43
2012-12-25	2	2nd	2 5 15 16 20 28 32
2012-12-11	6	2nd	3 5 12 15 21 25 30
2012-10-30	2	2nd	4 5 8 16 21 26 31
2012-10-16	3	2nd	4 5 8 16 23 44 45
2012-09-25	5	1st	5 15 29 35 40 44 45
2012-08-21	3	1st	5 18 32 33 35 36 44
2012-07-31	19	2nd	1 5 8 14 17 19 20
2012-03-20	2	2nd	3 5 15 22 23 34 40
2012-03-06	1	1st	5 7 15 21 29 32 41
2012-02-28	3	1st	5 8 12 17 28 30 43
2012-02-07	3	2nd	1 5 20 21 25 33 39
2012-01-17	1	2nd	2 5 7 11 13 31 32
2012-01-10	6	1st	5 6 7 8 37 39 44
2011-11-29	1	1st	5 6 9 12 15 33 34
2011-11-22	3	1st	5 10 11 16 21 25 37
2011-11-01	8	1st	5 12 17 23 25 31 44
2011-09-06	3	2nd	2 5 16 20 27 40 44
2011-08-16	4	1st	5 18 22 24 25 39 41
2011-07-19	14	1st	5 8 9 20 24 27 34
2011-04-12	7	1st	5 9 13 18 29 40 41
2011-02-22	4	2nd	2 5 16 18 26 28 39
2011-01-25	6	1st	5 16 17 28 30 34 41
2010-12-14	3	1st	5 12 22 28 33 34 38
2010-11-23	18	2nd	2 5 7 20 22 43 45
2010-07-20	6	2nd	3 5 6 7 13 23 34
2010-06-08	5	1st	5 15 21 26 35 40 43
2010-05-04	12	1st	5 14 16 18 19 20 28
2010-02-09	18	1st	5 18 23 24 28 42 44
2009-10-06	6	1st	5 12 17 22 28 34 45
2009-08-25	13	1st	5 11 16 17 24 39 41
2009-05-26	6	1st	5 18 19 20 41 43 44
2009-04-14	2	2nd	1 5 11 20 27 28 33
2009-03-31	7	1st	5 8 13 15 35 41 44
2009-02-10	1	2nd	1 5 16 18 23 29 44
2009-02-03	4	1st	5 7 8 17 24 32 35
2009-01-06	—	1st	5 10 27 30 32 37 45