Number 2

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

108times drawn · chance expected 108 −0.04σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 60% for any number

6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4

29longest completed wait · 61% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 108 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, −0.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 40 times, counted separately.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 108 times in 697 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest95 · chance 93.3
2nd smallest13 · chance 14.7
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0
7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 41 19 22 33 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-12	3	1st	2 14 23 25 26 27 30
2022-03-22	25	1st	2 7 9 12 16 22 27
2021-09-28	7	1st	2 6 17 20 32 41

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-07-24	6	1st	2 3 13 22 38 39 40
2018-06-12	3	1st	2 7 12 22 31 38 45
2018-05-22	7	1st	2 12 13 19 31 39 45
2018-04-03	5	1st	2 13 24 26 36 37 42
2018-02-27	1	1st	2 16 25 29 31 33 39
2018-02-20	1	2nd	1 2 5 11 15 29 35
2018-02-13	2	1st	2 3 26 35 37 40 42
2018-01-30	5	1st	2 5 12 24 31 40 45
2017-12-26	23	1st	2 7 9 30 37 41 45
2017-07-18	5	1st	2 7 19 21 23 29 45
2017-06-13	3	1st	2 4 9 10 13 14 43
2017-05-23	3	1st	2 4 12 17 20 22 38
2017-05-02	7	1st	2 9 17 19 22 28 38
2017-03-14	2	1st	2 6 10 14 25 28 31
2017-02-28	6	1st	2 17 26 27 33 37 42
2017-01-17	1	1st	2 7 21 22 31 37 39
2017-01-10	9	1st	2 12 17 18 34 41 43
2016-11-08	13	1st	2 5 7 13 22 36 42
2016-08-09	5	1st	2 11 13 18 26 33 41
2016-07-05	2	1st	2 9 14 31 37 41 43
2016-06-21	11	1st	2 5 16 28 36 42 44
2016-04-05	3	1st	2 3 15 17 28 37 44
2016-03-15	6	1st	2 8 12 13 32 37 38
2016-02-02	17	1st	2 5 7 9 19 22 44
2015-10-06	3	1st	2 7 13 21 26 36 42
2015-09-15	9	2nd	1 2 13 19 29 33 43
2015-07-14	2	1st	2 15 30 33 34 38 44
2015-06-30	1	1st	2 10 11 13 22 29 33
2015-06-23	3	1st	2 5 9 19 27 36 45
2015-06-02	2	1st	2 17 18 21 30 33 37
2015-05-19	2	1st	2 4 6 14 16 25 27
2015-05-05	1	1st	2 17 18 21 29 37 45
2015-04-28	1	1st	2 29 30 34 35 41 45
2015-04-21	1	1st	2 8 10 25 28 33 37
2015-04-14	8	1st	2 3 12 24 33 42 45
2015-02-17	2	1st	2 4 19 25 30 31 38
2015-02-03	2	1st	2 5 7 10 11 12 36
2015-01-20	2	1st	2 14 15 20 28 31 34
2015-01-06	8	1st	2 6 11 19 35 39 40
2014-11-11	11	1st	2 10 21 25 33 41 43
2014-08-26	11	1st	2 3 4 12 17 26 32
2014-06-10	2	2nd	1 2 16 17 32 34 44
2014-05-27	10	1st	2 3 12 19 23 32 40
2014-03-18	15	1st	2 4 19 24 30 33 38
2013-12-03	7	1st	2 19 20 21 23 33 40
2013-10-15	13	1st	2 5 10 18 22 36 39
2013-07-16	1	1st	2 6 9 33 36 42 43
2013-07-09	5	2nd	1 2 7 11 13 17 41
2013-06-04	2	1st	2 5 17 18 22 26 41
2013-05-21	11	1st	2 3 19 23 39 41 43
2013-03-05	2	1st	2 3 5 11 26 27 44
2013-02-19	1	2nd	1 2 18 20 27 35 41
2013-02-12	7	1st	2 3 5 16 28 42 43
2012-12-25	7	1st	2 5 15 16 20 28 32
2012-11-06	2	1st	2 7 8 13 15 29 43
2012-10-23	3	1st	2 14 16 21 25 27 41
2012-10-02	15	1st	2 11 13 15 28 33 41
2012-06-19	7	2nd	1 2 4 10 16 31 39
2012-05-01	15	1st	2 6 25 29 34 36 37
2012-01-17	6	1st	2 5 7 11 13 31 32
2011-12-06	9	1st	2 8 12 24 29 30 33
2011-10-04	4	2nd	1 2 9 19 25 36 42
2011-09-06	5	1st	2 5 16 20 27 40 44
2011-08-02	23	1st	2 4 20 25 27 29 42
2011-02-22	5	1st	2 5 16 18 26 28 39
2011-01-18	8	1st	2 4 14 19 21 36 38
2010-11-23	13	1st	2 5 7 20 22 43 45
2010-08-24	1	1st	2 4 12 17 19 33 44
2010-08-17	8	1st	2 3 15 17 23 30 44
2010-06-22	11	1st	2 3 6 14 23 29 41
2010-04-06	1	1st	2 11 15 36 39 41 43
2010-03-30	2	1st	2 25 28 29 35 39 40
2010-03-16	2	1st	2 3 13 27 31 37 38
2010-03-02	1	2nd	1 2 19 24 26 37 43
2010-02-23	9	1st	2 8 14 17 22 34 35
2009-12-22	3	2nd	1 2 20 35 36 44 45
2009-12-01	4	1st	2 8 10 18 24 27 28
2009-11-03	8	1st	2 4 6 7 15 17 36
2009-09-08	5	1st	2 3 7 20 21 24 35
2009-08-04	3	1st	2 11 13 22 25 39 42
2009-07-14	9	1st	2 8 9 19 27 33 34
2009-05-12	11	1st	2 7 25 28 32 35 40
2009-02-24	1	1st	2 13 28 30 34 41 45
2009-02-17	—	1st	2 4 20 23 30 41 45