Number 38

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

97times drawn · chance expected 108 −1.19σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 18% for any number

7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4

29longest completed wait · 57% chance of one at least that long

38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 97 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, −1.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 37 times, counted separately.

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 97 times in 697 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.3
4th smallest2 · chance 3.7
5th smallest17 · chance 19.1
6th smallest35 · chance 41.9
7th smallest43 · chance 31.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 22 37 3 4 7

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-02-22	5	5th	14 26 32 34 38 39 43
2022-01-18	1	7th	3 9 14 17 30 37 38
2022-01-11	7	7th	1 3 18 22 32 37

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-03-05	5	6th	7 9 22 30 33 38 42
2019-01-29	5	7th	4 19 22 26 27 35 38
2018-12-25	2	7th	4 7 11 28 32 33 38
2018-12-11	2	6th	7 8 18 33 37 38 42
2018-11-27	8	7th	4 7 13 18 25 30 38
2018-10-02	6	5th	7 15 16 24 38 41 43
2018-08-21	1	7th	3 4 9 12 14 32 38
2018-08-14	3	7th	5 11 24 25 28 37 38
2018-07-24	1	5th	2 3 13 22 38 39 40
2018-07-17	5	6th	11 17 19 20 28 38 42
2018-06-12	11	6th	2 7 12 22 31 38 45
2018-03-27	3	7th	3 5 19 22 27 29 38
2018-03-06	20	6th	5 18 30 34 37 38 41
2017-10-17	21	4th	7 23 32 38 39 40 41
2017-05-23	3	7th	2 4 12 17 20 22 38
2017-05-02	3	7th	2 9 17 19 22 28 38
2017-04-11	8	6th	1 21 23 25 28 38 45
2017-02-14	2	5th	1 7 9 30 38 39 45
2017-01-31	16	7th	3 8 18 20 24 30 38
2016-10-11	11	7th	3 8 18 21 25 27 38
2016-07-26	9	7th	1 4 11 22 30 31 38
2016-05-24	8	7th	4 5 11 22 25 32 38
2016-03-29	1	6th	3 9 12 26 33 38 39
2016-03-22	1	7th	1 9 17 19 32 37 38
2016-03-15	27	7th	2 8 12 13 32 37 38
2015-09-08	6	7th	4 9 13 21 24 37 38
2015-07-28	2	7th	14 18 20 25 33 36 38
2015-07-14	21	6th	2 15 30 33 34 38 44
2015-02-17	5	7th	2 4 19 25 30 31 38
2015-01-13	8	5th	23 24 33 36 38 40 44
2014-11-18	3	6th	14 28 29 30 37 38 44
2014-10-28	2	6th	6 9 20 21 22 38 40
2014-10-14	5	6th	3 12 17 21 24 38 45
2014-09-09	6	5th	15 23 25 28 38 43 44
2014-07-29	19	6th	1 10 15 30 31 38 43
2014-03-18	2	7th	2 4 19 24 30 33 38
2014-03-04	1	5th	24 30 32 34 38 41 42
2014-02-25	2	7th	3 16 20 21 34 37 38
2014-02-11	9	7th	7 15 20 22 28 36 38
2013-12-10	4	5th	9 11 20 35 38 42 43
2013-11-12	5	7th	5 6 8 29 30 36 38
2013-10-08	7	5th	5 24 28 32 38 39 45
2013-08-20	7	6th	7 9 17 26 36 38 45
2013-07-02	3	5th	13 15 20 31 38 42 45
2013-06-11	13	7th	3 6 24 25 26 29 38
2013-03-12	6	6th	3 8 10 21 28 38 40
2013-01-29	25	6th	6 19 22 34 36 38 39
2012-08-07	11	6th	3 4 15 19 28 38 44
2012-05-22	1	6th	6 12 14 22 33 38 45
2012-05-15	4	6th	7 10 14 17 19 38 45
2012-04-17	16	6th	9 21 24 27 35 38 40
2011-12-27	15	7th	6 9 12 18 20 35 38
2011-09-13	28	7th	6 18 20 24 31 37 38
2011-03-01	4	7th	8 12 14 16 20 33 38
2011-02-01	2	7th	11 23 27 33 34 37 38
2011-01-18	4	7th	2 4 14 19 21 36 38
2010-12-21	1	6th	7 8 13 26 35 38 42
2010-12-14	4	7th	5 12 22 28 33 34 38
2010-11-16	2	6th	12 26 28 33 36 38 43
2010-11-02	2	6th	11 14 23 30 32 38 43
2010-10-19	1	6th	8 13 19 27 35 38 45
2010-10-12	3	6th	1 4 7 22 37 38 40
2010-09-21	14	5th	8 9 16 35 38 39 44
2010-06-15	4	7th	8 10 15 18 29 32 38
2010-05-18	9	6th	13 18 22 27 33 38 42
2010-03-16	6	7th	2 3 13 27 31 37 38
2010-02-02	1	7th	19 22 28 29 32 34 38
2010-01-26	1	5th	17 21 32 37 38 40 44
2010-01-19	13	6th	7 18 20 33 37 38 40
2009-10-20	16	7th	6 24 25 27 32 36 38
2009-06-30	16	6th	3 12 21 23 29 38 40
2009-03-10	8	7th	13 14 16 24 28 29 38
2009-01-13	—	4th	1 3 16 38 40 41 43