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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Oz Lotto · every number

20

Number 20

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

7/47 + 3/47 · since May 20227/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022
111times drawn · chance expected 108 +0.27σ
10draws waiting · a wait this long: 22% for any number
6.2average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4
27longest completed wait · 74% chance of one at least that long
20 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 111 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, +0.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 29 times, counted separately.

20

Number 20, draw by draw

Drawn 111 times in 697 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 10 draws now

8 draws: 2009-02-17 to 2009-04-141 draws: 2009-04-14 to 2009-04-212 draws: 2009-04-21 to 2009-05-053 draws: 2009-05-05 to 2009-05-261 draws: 2009-05-26 to 2009-06-0211 draws: 2009-06-02 to 2009-08-183 draws: 2009-08-18 to 2009-09-082 draws: 2009-09-08 to 2009-09-225 draws: 2009-09-22 to 2009-10-278 draws: 2009-10-27 to 2009-12-224 draws: 2009-12-22 to 2010-01-194 draws: 2010-01-19 to 2010-02-168 draws: 2010-02-16 to 2010-04-133 draws: 2010-04-13 to 2010-05-0425 draws: 2010-05-04 to 2010-10-264 draws: 2010-10-26 to 2010-11-231 draws: 2010-11-23 to 2010-11-3011 draws: 2010-11-30 to 2011-02-152 draws: 2011-02-15 to 2011-03-011 draws: 2011-03-01 to 2011-03-086 draws: 2011-03-08 to 2011-04-1910 draws: 2011-04-19 to 2011-06-281 draws: 2011-06-28 to 2011-07-052 draws: 2011-07-05 to 2011-07-192 draws: 2011-07-19 to 2011-08-025 draws: 2011-08-02 to 2011-09-061 draws: 2011-09-06 to 2011-09-139 draws: 2011-09-13 to 2011-11-156 draws: 2011-11-15 to 2011-12-276 draws: 2011-12-27 to 2012-02-0722 draws: 2012-02-07 to 2012-07-101 draws: 2012-07-10 to 2012-07-171 draws: 2012-07-17 to 2012-07-241 draws: 2012-07-24 to 2012-07-315 draws: 2012-07-31 to 2012-09-041 draws: 2012-09-04 to 2012-09-1115 draws: 2012-09-11 to 2012-12-258 draws: 2012-12-25 to 2013-02-1917 draws: 2013-02-19 to 2013-06-181 draws: 2013-06-18 to 2013-06-251 draws: 2013-06-25 to 2013-07-0210 draws: 2013-07-02 to 2013-09-102 draws: 2013-09-10 to 2013-09-244 draws: 2013-09-24 to 2013-10-226 draws: 2013-10-22 to 2013-12-031 draws: 2013-12-03 to 2013-12-101 draws: 2013-12-10 to 2013-12-173 draws: 2013-12-17 to 2014-01-075 draws: 2014-01-07 to 2014-02-112 draws: 2014-02-11 to 2014-02-2511 draws: 2014-02-25 to 2014-05-133 draws: 2014-05-13 to 2014-06-034 draws: 2014-06-03 to 2014-07-0114 draws: 2014-07-01 to 2014-10-073 draws: 2014-10-07 to 2014-10-287 draws: 2014-10-28 to 2014-12-165 draws: 2014-12-16 to 2015-01-206 draws: 2015-01-20 to 2015-03-0315 draws: 2015-03-03 to 2015-06-165 draws: 2015-06-16 to 2015-07-211 draws: 2015-07-21 to 2015-07-2815 draws: 2015-07-28 to 2015-11-105 draws: 2015-11-10 to 2015-12-151 draws: 2015-12-15 to 2015-12-2210 draws: 2015-12-22 to 2016-03-019 draws: 2016-03-01 to 2016-05-031 draws: 2016-05-03 to 2016-05-105 draws: 2016-05-10 to 2016-06-149 draws: 2016-06-14 to 2016-08-1610 draws: 2016-08-16 to 2016-10-257 draws: 2016-10-25 to 2016-12-136 draws: 2016-12-13 to 2017-01-241 draws: 2017-01-24 to 2017-01-311 draws: 2017-01-31 to 2017-02-0713 draws: 2017-02-07 to 2017-05-092 draws: 2017-05-09 to 2017-05-2316 draws: 2017-05-23 to 2017-09-124 draws: 2017-09-12 to 2017-10-1027 draws: 2017-10-10 to 2018-04-179 draws: 2018-04-17 to 2018-06-194 draws: 2018-06-19 to 2018-07-179 draws: 2018-07-17 to 2018-09-181 draws: 2018-09-18 to 2018-09-2510 draws: 2018-09-25 to 2018-12-044 draws: 2018-12-04 to 2019-01-011 draws: 2019-01-01 to 2019-01-081 draws: 2019-01-08 to 2019-01-1512 draws: 2019-01-15 to 2019-04-097 draws: 2019-04-09 to 2019-05-2813 draws: 2019-05-28 to 2019-08-277 draws: 2019-08-27 to 2019-10-152 draws: 2019-10-15 to 2019-10-298 draws: 2019-10-29 to 2019-12-247 draws: 2019-12-24 to 2020-02-112 draws: 2020-02-11 to 2020-02-256 draws: 2020-02-25 to 2020-04-078 draws: 2020-04-07 to 2020-06-023 draws: 2020-06-02 to 2020-06-2316 draws: 2020-06-23 to 2020-10-134 draws: 2020-10-13 to 2020-11-108 draws: 2020-11-10 to 2021-01-0510 draws: 2021-01-05 to 2021-03-167 draws: 2021-03-16 to 2021-05-044 draws: 2021-05-04 to 2021-06-013 draws: 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-229 draws: 2021-06-22 to 2021-08-245 draws: 2021-08-24 to 2021-09-2813 draws: 2021-09-28 to 2021-12-285 draws: 2021-12-28 to 2022-02-014 draws: 2022-02-01 to 2022-03-01Still waiting — at least 10 draws since 2022-03-012009-02-172009-04-142009-04-212009-05-052009-05-262009-06-022009-08-182009-09-082009-09-222009-10-272009-12-222010-01-192010-02-162010-04-132010-05-042010-10-262010-11-232010-11-302011-02-152011-03-012011-03-082011-04-192011-06-282011-07-052011-07-192011-08-022011-09-062011-09-132011-11-152011-12-272012-02-072012-07-102012-07-172012-07-242012-07-312012-09-042012-09-112012-12-252013-02-192013-06-182013-06-252013-07-022013-09-102013-09-242013-10-222013-12-032013-12-102013-12-172014-01-072014-02-112014-02-252014-05-132014-06-032014-07-012014-10-072014-10-282014-12-162015-01-202015-03-032015-06-162015-07-212015-07-282015-11-102015-12-152015-12-222016-03-012016-05-032016-05-102016-06-142016-08-162016-10-252016-12-132017-01-242017-01-312017-02-072017-05-092017-05-232017-09-122017-10-102018-04-172018-06-192018-07-172018-09-182018-09-252018-12-042019-01-012019-01-082019-01-152019-04-092019-05-282019-08-272019-10-152019-10-292019-12-242020-02-112020-02-252020-04-072020-06-022020-06-232020-10-132020-11-102021-01-052021-03-162021-05-042021-06-012021-06-222021-08-242021-09-282021-12-282022-02-012022-03-012009-01-062022-05-10

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 22 times2 draws: 10 times3 draws: 8 times4 draws: 11 times5 draws: 10 times6 draws: 7 times7 draws: 6 times8 draws: 7 times9 draws: 6 times10 draws: 6 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 3 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 3 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 1 time28 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest3 · chance 2.8
  • 2nd smallest17 · chance 15.9
  • 3rd smallest45 · chance 34.0
  • 4th smallest29 · chance 35.0
  • 5th smallest12 · chance 18.3
  • 6th smallest4 · chance 4.6
  • 7th smallest1 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32332151942

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2022-03-0144th461920293132
2022-02-0153rd8102023374344
2021-12-28132nd142025314142
← number 19Every numbernumber 21 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

45
2021-09-2854th261720324142
2021-08-2494th15720283233
2021-06-2234th5101720212743
2021-06-0143rd1102027313942
2021-05-0475th281518203438
2021-03-16102nd9202325263243
2021-01-0584th691120334245
2020-11-1044th581920243238
2020-10-13164th8111320383943
2020-06-2336th13913172041
2020-06-0284th6111820262842
2020-04-0762nd15202529334345
2020-02-2522nd9203132343940
2020-02-1173rd8192021242631
2019-12-2482nd5202122282932
2019-10-2923rd1142021264144
2019-10-1573rd5132022253242
2019-08-27132nd7202227293240
2019-05-2873rd3132024303334
2019-04-09123rd13172022313739
2019-01-1512nd15202728313642
The other 87 appearances
2019-01-0813rd5122032353643
2019-01-0142nd11202326303244
2018-12-04103rd18192021273235
2018-09-2512nd17202124293339
2018-09-1891st20232632333942
2018-07-1744th11171920283842
2018-06-1994th10161820222635
2018-04-17273rd7112023273643
2017-10-1044th7121720283142
2017-09-12163rd1122024414445
2017-05-2325th241217202238
2017-05-09135th131516203345
2017-02-0713rd482029323740
2017-01-3114th381820243038
2017-01-2462nd17202427313443
2016-12-1372nd17203134373944
2016-10-25103rd582033343637
2016-08-1693rd9112024273644
2016-06-1452nd18202225294445
2016-05-1011st20212226273644
2016-05-0394th9111820303342
2016-03-01103rd352027303241
2015-12-2212nd10202627293444
2015-12-1554th46820333744
2015-11-10151st20222325333436
2015-07-2813rd14182025333638
2015-07-2153rd3132021263033
2015-06-16155th47817203040
2015-03-0363rd5192023263143
2015-01-2054th2141520283134
2014-12-1673rd4112021254245
2014-10-2833rd692021223840
2014-10-07145th361519202328
2014-07-0146th1101115192044
2014-06-0334th581420213540
2014-05-13114th461420232635
2014-02-2523rd3162021343738
2014-02-1153rd7152022283638
2014-01-0734th14171920212829
2013-12-1712nd17202426343639
2013-12-1013rd9112035384243
2013-12-0363rd2192021233340
2013-10-2243rd7152021242842
2013-09-2423rd10142033374243
2013-09-10103rd12182021293740
2013-07-0213rd13152031384245
2013-06-2516th471016172041
2013-06-18173rd192029313540
2013-02-1984th121820273541
2012-12-25155th251516202832
2012-09-1115th191012202632
2012-09-0453rd6182032333444
2012-07-3117th15814171920
2012-07-2412nd6202931364043
2012-07-1715th341617203234
2012-07-10225th14919203740
2012-02-0763rd152021253339
2011-12-2765th691218203538
2011-11-1595th6789202228
2011-09-1313rd6182024313738
2011-09-0654th251620274044
2011-08-0223rd242025272942
2011-07-1924th58920242734
2011-07-0512nd6202829333440
2011-06-28103rd3162023272835
2011-04-1964th9111920354345
2011-03-0814th7131620282936
2011-03-0125th8121416203338
2011-02-15113rd7112029323741
2010-11-3013rd782022252639
2010-11-2344th25720224345
2010-10-26253rd682032364044
2010-05-0436th5141618192028
2010-04-1383rd17192021222333
2010-02-1643rd1192021263744
2010-01-1943rd7182033373840
2009-12-2283rd122035364445
2009-10-2753rd472025424345
2009-09-2224th7181920212426
2009-09-0834th23720212435
2009-08-18113rd16192024343641
2009-06-0212nd3202232334345
2009-05-2634th5181920414344
2009-05-0524th6101220243142
2009-04-2113rd16182021223243
2009-04-1484th151120272833
2009-02-17—3rd242023304145