Number 14

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

101times drawn · chance expected 108 −0.78σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 60% for any number

6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4

31longest completed wait · 47% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 101 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, −0.78σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 32 times, counted separately.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 101 times in 697 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest15 · chance 10.5
2nd smallest33 · chance 31.6
3rd smallest33 · chance 35.1
4th smallest14 · chance 18.4
5th smallest5 · chance 4.8
6th smallest1 · chance 0.6
7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 30 16 17 28 41

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-04-12	2	2nd	2 14 23 25 26 27 30
2022-03-29	3	3rd	4 7 14 15 17 23 43
2022-03-08	2	2nd	7 14 24 26 35 44

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-10-29	1	2nd	1 14 20 21 26 41 44
2019-10-22	2	1st	14 16 27 28 30 33 42
2019-10-08	3	3rd	5 12 14 18 35 37 40
2019-09-17	1	2nd	3 14 17 28 30 36 40
2019-09-10	4	2nd	12 14 17 23 26 28 35
2019-08-13	4	4th	1 7 11 14 18 21 27
2019-07-16	3	3rd	5 8 14 22 31 32 37
2019-06-25	14	1st	14 19 25 29 35 36 42
2019-03-19	19	3rd	6 13 14 22 28 40 41
2018-11-06	1	2nd	3 14 15 22 23 27 34
2018-10-30	2	4th	3 7 8 14 17 28 31
2018-10-16	8	3rd	2 3 14 15 21 41 43
2018-08-21	2	5th	3 4 9 12 14 32 38
2018-08-07	6	1st	14 15 21 24 26 31 40
2018-06-26	31	3rd	10 11 14 22 32 34 36
2017-11-21	7	1st	14 15 16 23 26 33 45
2017-10-03	1	3rd	7 9 14 26 30 36 43
2017-09-26	1	4th	6 8 13 14 33 41 45
2017-09-19	4	2nd	6 14 15 29 31 37 42
2017-08-22	10	3rd	7 12 14 16 40 41 43
2017-06-13	4	6th	2 4 9 10 13 14 43
2017-05-16	9	2nd	9 14 21 22 27 41 43
2017-03-14	12	4th	2 6 10 14 25 28 31
2016-12-20	11	1st	14 16 25 26 29 36 45
2016-10-04	13	5th	3 4 10 12 14 28 41
2016-07-05	4	3rd	2 9 14 31 37 41 43
2016-06-07	26	3rd	6 8 14 16 22 29 34
2015-12-08	1	3rd	8 11 14 19 30 36 40
2015-12-01	17	5th	5 7 8 13 14 15 29
2015-08-04	1	3rd	8 9 14 19 40 41 44
2015-07-28	7	1st	14 18 20 25 33 36 38
2015-06-09	3	4th	5 7 10 14 15 21 32
2015-05-19	6	4th	2 4 6 14 16 25 27
2015-04-07	3	3rd	10 11 14 22 26 36 42
2015-03-17	8	3rd	4 5 14 15 16 29 42
2015-01-20	9	2nd	2 14 15 20 28 31 34
2014-11-18	2	1st	14 28 29 30 37 38 44
2014-11-04	2	2nd	13 14 18 21 23 25 31
2014-10-21	3	2nd	6 14 17 19 25 32 34
2014-09-30	11	2nd	10 14 27 30 34 36 40
2014-07-15	1	4th	1 3 10 14 22 29 37
2014-07-08	5	2nd	7 14 28 30 39 41 42
2014-06-03	3	3rd	5 8 14 20 21 35 40
2014-05-13	9	3rd	4 6 14 20 23 26 35
2014-03-11	6	1st	14 16 17 19 22 41 43
2014-01-28	3	2nd	4 14 22 25 26 31 36
2014-01-07	1	1st	14 17 19 20 21 28 29
2013-12-31	14	5th	4 7 9 13 14 36 41
2013-09-24	6	2nd	10 14 20 33 37 42 43
2013-08-13	11	3rd	1 11 14 30 31 33 43
2013-05-28	9	2nd	1 14 25 26 30 31 35
2013-03-26	9	1st	14 18 19 21 25 43 44
2013-01-22	7	2nd	1 14 24 27 28 30 39
2012-12-04	6	4th	1 3 7 14 21 24 31
2012-10-23	5	2nd	2 14 16 21 25 27 41
2012-09-18	5	5th	6 7 11 12 14 16 17
2012-08-14	2	3rd	4 7 14 18 19 28 42
2012-07-31	10	4th	1 5 8 14 17 19 20
2012-05-22	1	3rd	6 12 14 22 33 38 45
2012-05-15	12	3rd	7 10 14 17 19 38 45
2012-02-21	3	3rd	6 13 14 19 31 41 45
2012-01-31	25	4th	1 9 12 14 18 32 39
2011-08-09	12	2nd	6 14 26 27 29 33 39
2011-05-17	11	3rd	10 11 14 26 29 33 39
2011-03-01	3	3rd	8 12 14 16 20 33 38
2011-02-08	3	1st	14 15 18 23 26 30 41
2011-01-18	3	3rd	2 4 14 19 21 36 38
2010-12-28	8	2nd	6 14 22 35 36 37 43
2010-11-02	19	2nd	11 14 23 30 32 38 43
2010-06-22	3	4th	2 3 6 14 23 29 41
2010-06-01	4	2nd	6 14 15 16 18 30 40
2010-05-04	6	2nd	5 14 16 18 19 20 28
2010-03-23	4	3rd	6 9 14 23 26 30 44
2010-02-23	6	3rd	2 8 14 17 22 34 35
2010-01-12	13	1st	14 18 23 31 33 37 40
2009-10-13	31	2nd	10 14 26 27 30 39 44
2009-03-10	—	2nd	13 14 16 24 28 29 38