LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇦🇺 1800 858 858all helplines →

Oz Lotto · every number

1

Number 1

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

7/47 + 3/47 · since May 20227/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022
110times drawn · chance expected 108 +0.16σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4
36longest completed wait · 25% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 110 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, +0.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 36 times, counted separately.

1

Number 1, draw by draw

Drawn 110 times in 697 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 36 · drawn in the most recent draw

4 draws: 2009-01-13 to 2009-02-109 draws: 2009-02-10 to 2009-04-142 draws: 2009-04-14 to 2009-04-287 draws: 2009-04-28 to 2009-06-163 draws: 2009-06-16 to 2009-07-072 draws: 2009-07-07 to 2009-07-2116 draws: 2009-07-21 to 2009-11-106 draws: 2009-11-10 to 2009-12-228 draws: 2009-12-22 to 2010-02-162 draws: 2010-02-16 to 2010-03-027 draws: 2010-03-02 to 2010-04-2010 draws: 2010-04-20 to 2010-06-294 draws: 2010-06-29 to 2010-07-2711 draws: 2010-07-27 to 2010-10-128 draws: 2010-10-12 to 2010-12-0727 draws: 2010-12-07 to 2011-06-1414 draws: 2011-06-14 to 2011-09-202 draws: 2011-09-20 to 2011-10-045 draws: 2011-10-04 to 2011-11-088 draws: 2011-11-08 to 2012-01-034 draws: 2012-01-03 to 2012-01-311 draws: 2012-01-31 to 2012-02-0717 draws: 2012-02-07 to 2012-06-052 draws: 2012-06-05 to 2012-06-191 draws: 2012-06-19 to 2012-06-262 draws: 2012-06-26 to 2012-07-103 draws: 2012-07-10 to 2012-07-316 draws: 2012-07-31 to 2012-09-114 draws: 2012-09-11 to 2012-10-097 draws: 2012-10-09 to 2012-11-271 draws: 2012-11-27 to 2012-12-045 draws: 2012-12-04 to 2013-01-082 draws: 2013-01-08 to 2013-01-224 draws: 2013-01-22 to 2013-02-194 draws: 2013-02-19 to 2013-03-198 draws: 2013-03-19 to 2013-05-142 draws: 2013-05-14 to 2013-05-283 draws: 2013-05-28 to 2013-06-183 draws: 2013-06-18 to 2013-07-095 draws: 2013-07-09 to 2013-08-137 draws: 2013-08-13 to 2013-10-0116 draws: 2013-10-01 to 2014-01-214 draws: 2014-01-21 to 2014-02-186 draws: 2014-02-18 to 2014-04-014 draws: 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-296 draws: 2014-04-29 to 2014-06-101 draws: 2014-06-10 to 2014-06-172 draws: 2014-06-17 to 2014-07-012 draws: 2014-07-01 to 2014-07-152 draws: 2014-07-15 to 2014-07-293 draws: 2014-07-29 to 2014-08-192 draws: 2014-08-19 to 2014-09-0213 draws: 2014-09-02 to 2014-12-028 draws: 2014-12-02 to 2015-01-2723 draws: 2015-01-27 to 2015-07-075 draws: 2015-07-07 to 2015-08-115 draws: 2015-08-11 to 2015-09-152 draws: 2015-09-15 to 2015-09-298 draws: 2015-09-29 to 2015-11-248 draws: 2015-11-24 to 2016-01-195 draws: 2016-01-19 to 2016-02-232 draws: 2016-02-23 to 2016-03-082 draws: 2016-03-08 to 2016-03-225 draws: 2016-03-22 to 2016-04-2611 draws: 2016-04-26 to 2016-07-122 draws: 2016-07-12 to 2016-07-261 draws: 2016-07-26 to 2016-08-023 draws: 2016-08-02 to 2016-08-233 draws: 2016-08-23 to 2016-09-1316 draws: 2016-09-13 to 2017-01-036 draws: 2017-01-03 to 2017-02-147 draws: 2017-02-14 to 2017-04-041 draws: 2017-04-04 to 2017-04-114 draws: 2017-04-11 to 2017-05-093 draws: 2017-05-09 to 2017-05-308 draws: 2017-05-30 to 2017-07-257 draws: 2017-07-25 to 2017-09-129 draws: 2017-09-12 to 2017-11-147 draws: 2017-11-14 to 2018-01-021 draws: 2018-01-02 to 2018-01-096 draws: 2018-01-09 to 2018-02-2014 draws: 2018-02-20 to 2018-05-296 draws: 2018-05-29 to 2018-07-103 draws: 2018-07-10 to 2018-07-314 draws: 2018-07-31 to 2018-08-2823 draws: 2018-08-28 to 2019-02-0527 draws: 2019-02-05 to 2019-08-131 draws: 2019-08-13 to 2019-08-2010 draws: 2019-08-20 to 2019-10-294 draws: 2019-10-29 to 2019-11-263 draws: 2019-11-26 to 2019-12-172 draws: 2019-12-17 to 2019-12-3115 draws: 2019-12-31 to 2020-04-142 draws: 2020-04-14 to 2020-04-281 draws: 2020-04-28 to 2020-05-056 draws: 2020-05-05 to 2020-06-161 draws: 2020-06-16 to 2020-06-231 draws: 2020-06-23 to 2020-06-302 draws: 2020-06-30 to 2020-07-1436 draws: 2020-07-14 to 2021-03-2310 draws: 2021-03-23 to 2021-06-018 draws: 2021-06-01 to 2021-07-274 draws: 2021-07-27 to 2021-08-249 draws: 2021-08-24 to 2021-10-261 draws: 2021-10-26 to 2021-11-026 draws: 2021-11-02 to 2021-12-144 draws: 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-114 draws: 2022-01-11 to 2022-02-0813 draws: 2022-02-08 to 2022-05-102009-01-132009-02-102009-04-142009-04-282009-06-162009-07-072009-07-212009-11-102009-12-222010-02-162010-03-022010-04-202010-06-292010-07-272010-10-122010-12-072011-06-142011-09-202011-10-042011-11-082012-01-032012-01-312012-02-072012-06-052012-06-192012-06-262012-07-102012-07-312012-09-112012-10-092012-11-272012-12-042013-01-082013-01-222013-02-192013-03-192013-05-142013-05-282013-06-182013-07-092013-08-132013-10-012014-01-212014-02-182014-04-012014-04-292014-06-102014-06-172014-07-012014-07-152014-07-292014-08-192014-09-022014-12-022015-01-272015-07-072015-08-112015-09-152015-09-292015-11-242016-01-192016-02-232016-03-082016-03-222016-04-262016-07-122016-07-262016-08-022016-08-232016-09-132017-01-032017-02-142017-04-042017-04-112017-05-092017-05-302017-07-252017-09-122017-11-142018-01-022018-01-092018-02-202018-05-292018-07-102018-07-312018-08-282019-02-052019-08-132019-08-202019-10-292019-11-262019-12-172019-12-312020-04-142020-04-282020-05-052020-06-162020-06-232020-06-302020-07-142021-03-232021-06-012021-07-272021-08-242021-10-262021-11-022021-12-142022-01-112022-02-082022-05-102009-01-062022-05-10

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 12 times2 draws: 19 times3 draws: 10 times4 draws: 14 times5 draws: 7 times6 draws: 9 times7 draws: 7 times8 draws: 9 times9 draws: 3 times10 draws: 3 times11 draws: 2 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 2 times14 draws: 2 times15 draws: 1 time16 draws: 3 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 2 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 2 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 1 time37 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest110 · chance 110.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 6th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 7th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7319192644

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2022-05-10131st1367194243
2022-02-0841st14717253245
2022-01-1141st1318223237
Lowest in the poolEvery numbernumber 2 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

38
2021-12-1461st132326313441
2021-11-0211st14823253138
2021-10-2691st1131517324445
2021-08-2441st15720283233
2021-07-2781st143035394344
2021-06-01101st1102027313942
2021-03-23361st14926293440
2020-07-1421st122428404143
2020-06-3011st1172628383944
2020-06-2311st13913172041
2020-06-1661st121321222738
2020-05-0511st1102526272931
2020-04-2821st181422344445
2020-04-14151st191415303137
2019-12-3121st151011232939
2019-12-1731st173233343744
2019-11-2641st1289263542
2019-10-29101st1142021264144
2019-08-2011st15716374143
2019-08-13271st171114182127
2019-02-05231st1678163741
The other 86 appearances
2018-08-2841st121319212334
2018-07-3131st171013252640
2018-07-1061st131013374044
2018-05-29141st18912132144
2018-02-2061st12511152935
2018-01-0911st18926404345
2018-01-0271st181226283043
2017-11-1491st13515162530
2017-09-1271st1122024414445
2017-07-2581st14615222939
2017-05-3031st141319263135
2017-05-0941st131516203345
2017-04-1111st1212325283845
2017-04-0471st16823333645
2017-02-1461st17930383945
2017-01-03161st1121517232427
2016-09-1331st131929304244
2016-08-2331st151521323645
2016-08-0211st17827313345
2016-07-2621st141122303138
2016-07-12111st1111924282939
2016-04-2651st15615194145
2016-03-2221st191719323738
2016-03-0821st192124354445
2016-02-2351st151821223639
2016-01-1981st1101213253134
2015-11-2481st191222242530
2015-09-2921st131012263442
2015-09-1551st121319293343
2015-08-1151st14911153237
2015-07-07231st1111719232736
2015-01-2781st17930313540
2014-12-02131st1152129353645
2014-09-0221st13915294043
2014-08-1931st15731334143
2014-07-2921st1101530313843
2014-07-1521st131014222937
2014-07-0121st1101115192044
2014-06-1711st13723363741
2014-06-1061st121617323444
2014-04-2941st14710122535
2014-04-0161st1101619213140
2014-02-1841st14711273036
2014-01-21161st171623293142
2013-10-0171st181112273642
2013-08-1351st1111430313343
2013-07-0931st12711131741
2013-06-1831st192029313540
2013-05-2821st1142526303135
2013-05-1481st191213222641
2013-03-1941st171126333740
2013-02-1941st121820273541
2013-01-2221st1142427283039
2013-01-0851st1131530353940
2012-12-0411st13714212431
2012-11-2771st191316223334
2012-10-0941st141215223343
2012-09-1161st191012202632
2012-07-3131st15814171920
2012-07-1021st14919203740
2012-06-2611st171117192543
2012-06-1921st12410163139
2012-06-05171st1123033343744
2012-02-0711st152021253339
2012-01-3141st191214183239
2012-01-0381st1223134353942
2011-11-0851st13615182134
2011-10-0421st12919253642
2011-09-20141st141719222729
2011-06-14271st13413152126
2010-12-0781st1192325273640
2010-10-12111st14722373840
2010-07-2741st181219263040
2010-06-29101st1172122313445
2010-04-2071st191117303944
2010-03-0221st121924263743
2010-02-1681st1192021263744
2009-12-2261st122035364445
2009-11-10161st1162425313536
2009-07-2121st14712163444
2009-07-0731st182631343544
2009-06-1671st172224293241
2009-04-2821st1132124253643
2009-04-1491st151120272833
2009-02-1041st151618232944
2009-01-13—1st131638404143