Number 16

In Oz Lotto under the 7/45 + 2/45 · Jan 2009 – May 2022 rules — 697 draws, 7 from 1–45 (an earlier era).

106times drawn · chance expected 108 −0.25σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 36% for any number

6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 6.4

36longest completed wait · 25% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 106 times in 697 draws against 108.4 expected, −0.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 31 times, counted separately.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 106 times in 697 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest6 · chance 7.1
2nd smallest22 · chance 26.7
3rd smallest36 · chance 37.4
4th smallest31 · chance 25.0
5th smallest10 · chance 8.3
6th smallest1 · chance 1.3
7th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

28 4 5 7 27 29

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-03-22	5	5th	2 7 9 12 16 22 27
2022-02-15	36	4th	5 7 9 16 28 37 41
2021-06-08	6	5th	7 8 9 14 16 33

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 7/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-06-19	8	2nd	10 16 18 20 22 26 35
2018-04-24	5	3rd	4 7 16 27 29 39 45
2018-03-20	3	5th	4 8 11 13 16 32 34
2018-02-27	5	2nd	2 16 25 29 31 33 39
2018-01-23	8	1st	16 21 25 28 31 33 44
2017-11-28	1	4th	3 7 9 16 19 28 35
2017-11-21	1	3rd	14 15 16 23 26 33 45
2017-11-14	10	5th	1 3 5 15 16 25 30
2017-09-05	2	3rd	4 8 16 27 28 35 45
2017-08-22	3	4th	7 12 14 16 40 41 43
2017-08-01	6	4th	3 9 13 16 37 41 43
2017-06-20	6	2nd	13 16 17 21 23 25 28
2017-05-09	20	4th	1 3 15 16 20 33 45
2016-12-20	5	2nd	14 16 25 26 29 36 45
2016-11-15	10	4th	7 11 15 16 18 26 27
2016-09-06	1	2nd	8 16 27 29 37 39 44
2016-08-30	9	3rd	9 12 16 22 27 33 43
2016-06-28	1	3rd	11 13 16 19 24 32 44
2016-06-21	2	3rd	2 5 16 28 36 42 44
2016-06-07	23	4th	6 8 14 16 22 29 34
2015-12-29	6	3rd	4 9 16 28 35 37 43
2015-11-17	26	2nd	5 16 19 26 29 32 39
2015-05-19	7	5th	2 4 6 14 16 25 27
2015-03-31	1	3rd	3 4 16 17 29 32 44
2015-03-24	1	3rd	4 11 16 24 28 33 45
2015-03-17	16	5th	4 5 14 15 16 29 42
2014-11-25	9	4th	8 9 13 16 24 25 42
2014-09-23	9	3rd	6 15 16 22 35 39 43
2014-07-22	6	2nd	3 16 17 19 24 25 35
2014-06-10	3	3rd	1 2 16 17 32 34 44
2014-05-20	7	4th	4 5 7 16 26 31 39
2014-04-01	1	3rd	1 10 16 19 21 31 40
2014-03-25	2	2nd	15 16 23 29 33 40 45
2014-03-11	2	2nd	14 16 17 19 22 41 43
2014-02-25	5	2nd	3 16 20 21 34 37 38
2014-01-21	24	3rd	1 7 16 23 29 31 42
2013-08-06	1	1st	16 25 27 29 30 33 37
2013-07-30	5	4th	3 7 13 16 21 29 39
2013-06-25	7	4th	4 7 10 16 17 20 41
2013-05-07	3	1st	16 18 24 28 31 35 44
2013-04-16	9	3rd	4 7 16 22 24 37 40
2013-02-12	7	4th	2 3 5 16 28 42 43
2012-12-25	4	4th	2 5 15 16 20 28 32
2012-11-27	4	4th	1 9 13 16 22 33 34
2012-10-30	1	4th	4 5 8 16 21 26 31
2012-10-23	1	3rd	2 14 16 21 25 27 41
2012-10-16	4	4th	4 5 8 16 23 44 45
2012-09-18	9	6th	6 7 11 12 14 16 17
2012-07-17	4	3rd	3 4 16 17 20 32 34
2012-06-19	8	5th	1 2 4 10 16 31 39
2012-04-24	22	4th	4 6 11 16 19 27 45
2011-11-22	4	4th	5 10 11 16 21 25 37
2011-10-25	1	2nd	3 16 29 33 34 35 36
2011-10-18	6	4th	6 10 15 16 36 43 45
2011-09-06	1	3rd	2 5 16 20 27 40 44
2011-08-30	7	3rd	4 8 16 22 28 34 41
2011-07-12	2	3rd	7 8 16 21 24 27 35
2011-06-28	1	2nd	3 16 20 23 27 28 35
2011-06-21	13	2nd	15 16 17 19 31 37 42
2011-03-22	1	4th	10 13 15 16 37 39 44
2011-03-15	1	3rd	8 15 16 25 26 28 41
2011-03-08	1	3rd	7 13 16 20 28 29 36
2011-03-01	1	4th	8 12 14 16 20 33 38
2011-02-22	4	3rd	2 5 16 18 26 28 39
2011-01-25	18	2nd	5 16 17 28 30 34 41
2010-09-21	3	3rd	8 9 16 35 38 39 44
2010-08-31	3	3rd	8 13 16 23 30 33 40
2010-08-10	4	2nd	11 16 21 22 25 28 41
2010-07-13	6	3rd	6 13 16 23 27 31 39
2010-06-01	4	4th	6 14 15 16 18 30 40
2010-05-04	25	3rd	5 14 16 18 19 20 28
2009-11-10	10	2nd	1 16 24 25 31 35 36
2009-09-01	1	2nd	9 16 28 29 37 42 45
2009-08-25	1	3rd	5 11 16 17 24 39 41
2009-08-18	4	1st	16 19 20 24 34 36 41
2009-07-21	13	5th	1 4 7 12 16 34 44
2009-04-21	4	1st	16 18 20 21 22 32 43
2009-03-24	1	2nd	4 16 17 27 33 35 37
2009-03-17	1	2nd	6 16 23 25 27 32 37
2009-03-10	4	3rd	13 14 16 24 28 29 38
2009-02-10	4	3rd	1 5 16 18 23 29 44
2009-01-13	—	3rd	1 3 16 38 40 41 43