Number 29

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 2023 rules — 104 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

6times drawn · chance expected 13 −2.00σ

25draws waiting · a wait this long: 4% for any number

14.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

34longest completed wait · 7% chance of one at least that long

29 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 6 times in 104 draws against 12.7 expected, −2.00σ. Each draw is independent: after 25 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 29, draw by draw

Drawn 6 times in 104 draws · average wait 14.8 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 25 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.4
3rd smallest2 · chance 1.6
4th smallest2 · chance 2.6
5th smallest1 · chance 1.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 14 18 20 25 1

Never drawn alongside 22 of the other 40 numbers; chance expects about 22 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-01-25	3	4th	3 12 20 29 36
2023-01-14	15	3rd	21 25 29 37 39
2022-11-23	6	5th	1 8 14 18 29
2022-11-02	34	3rd	13

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.