Number 28

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 2023 rules — 104 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

11times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.50σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

9.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

37longest completed wait · 9% chance of one at least that long

28 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 104 draws against 12.7 expected, −0.50σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 28, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 104 draws · average wait 9.6 draws · longest completed wait 37 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.9
3rd smallest6 · chance 3.3
4th smallest2 · chance 4.6
5th smallest2 · chance 2.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 30 31 9 11 14

Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 40 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-04-22	5	3rd	20 27 28 34 35
2023-04-05	6	4th	4 10 26 28 38
2023-03-15	1	3rd	9 14 28 30 35
2023-03-11	1	3rd	22

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.