Number 32

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 2023 rules — 104 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

15times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.69σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

5.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

17longest completed wait · 85% chance of one at least that long

32 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 104 draws against 12.7 expected, +0.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 32, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 104 draws · average wait 5.5 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 32 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.4
3rd smallest4 · chance 2.7
4th smallest9 · chance 6.6
5th smallest1 · chance 5.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

39 13 20 24 34 37

Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 40 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 32 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 32 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2023-04-19	9	4th	13 19 24 32 41
2023-03-18	10	5th	2 14 21 24 32
2023-02-11	4	4th	20 21 27 32 35
2023-01-28	17	4th	2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 32 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.