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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

12

Number 12

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

6/42 · since Aug 20206/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020
152times drawn · chance expected 162 −0.81σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
41longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long
12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 152 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, −0.81σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

12

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 152 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 41 · drawn in the most recent draw

10 draws: 2010-04-07 to 2010-05-1214 draws: 2010-05-12 to 2010-06-3014 draws: 2010-06-30 to 2010-08-183 draws: 2010-08-18 to 2010-08-287 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-09-226 draws: 2010-09-22 to 2010-10-135 draws: 2010-10-13 to 2010-10-302 draws: 2010-10-30 to 2010-11-069 draws: 2010-11-06 to 2010-12-084 draws: 2010-12-08 to 2010-12-2212 draws: 2010-12-22 to 2011-02-053 draws: 2011-02-05 to 2011-02-1610 draws: 2011-02-16 to 2011-03-231 draws: 2011-03-23 to 2011-03-263 draws: 2011-03-26 to 2011-04-0614 draws: 2011-04-06 to 2011-05-257 draws: 2011-05-25 to 2011-06-183 draws: 2011-06-18 to 2011-06-2910 draws: 2011-06-29 to 2011-08-035 draws: 2011-08-03 to 2011-08-2013 draws: 2011-08-20 to 2011-10-053 draws: 2011-10-05 to 2011-10-154 draws: 2011-10-15 to 2011-10-294 draws: 2011-10-29 to 2011-11-1220 draws: 2011-11-12 to 2012-01-2110 draws: 2012-01-21 to 2012-02-254 draws: 2012-02-25 to 2012-03-1017 draws: 2012-03-10 to 2012-05-095 draws: 2012-05-09 to 2012-05-262 draws: 2012-05-26 to 2012-06-028 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-06-308 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-07-282 draws: 2012-07-28 to 2012-08-048 draws: 2012-08-04 to 2012-09-016 draws: 2012-09-01 to 2012-09-224 draws: 2012-09-22 to 2012-10-062 draws: 2012-10-06 to 2012-10-134 draws: 2012-10-13 to 2012-10-276 draws: 2012-10-27 to 2012-11-172 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2012-11-241 draws: 2012-11-24 to 2012-11-282 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2012-12-0511 draws: 2012-12-05 to 2013-01-126 draws: 2013-01-12 to 2013-02-023 draws: 2013-02-02 to 2013-02-131 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-02-163 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-02-272 draws: 2013-02-27 to 2013-03-0612 draws: 2013-03-06 to 2013-04-171 draws: 2013-04-17 to 2013-04-209 draws: 2013-04-20 to 2013-05-227 draws: 2013-05-22 to 2013-06-153 draws: 2013-06-15 to 2013-06-262 draws: 2013-06-26 to 2013-07-039 draws: 2013-07-03 to 2013-08-039 draws: 2013-08-03 to 2013-09-0419 draws: 2013-09-04 to 2013-11-091 draws: 2013-11-09 to 2013-11-1316 draws: 2013-11-13 to 2014-01-116 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-02-013 draws: 2014-02-01 to 2014-02-124 draws: 2014-02-12 to 2014-02-262 draws: 2014-02-26 to 2014-03-053 draws: 2014-03-05 to 2014-03-1528 draws: 2014-03-15 to 2014-06-214 draws: 2014-06-21 to 2014-07-051 draws: 2014-07-05 to 2014-07-091 draws: 2014-07-09 to 2014-07-1218 draws: 2014-07-12 to 2014-09-134 draws: 2014-09-13 to 2014-09-271 draws: 2014-09-27 to 2014-10-014 draws: 2014-10-01 to 2014-10-151 draws: 2014-10-15 to 2014-10-183 draws: 2014-10-18 to 2014-10-297 draws: 2014-10-29 to 2014-11-221 draws: 2014-11-22 to 2014-11-2627 draws: 2014-11-26 to 2015-02-2831 draws: 2015-02-28 to 2015-06-173 draws: 2015-06-17 to 2015-06-2720 draws: 2015-06-27 to 2015-09-053 draws: 2015-09-05 to 2015-09-167 draws: 2015-09-16 to 2015-10-101 draws: 2015-10-10 to 2015-10-145 draws: 2015-10-14 to 2015-10-317 draws: 2015-10-31 to 2015-11-252 draws: 2015-11-25 to 2015-12-024 draws: 2015-12-02 to 2015-12-161 draws: 2015-12-16 to 2015-12-1914 draws: 2015-12-19 to 2016-02-065 draws: 2016-02-06 to 2016-02-248 draws: 2016-02-24 to 2016-03-234 draws: 2016-03-23 to 2016-04-061 draws: 2016-04-06 to 2016-04-096 draws: 2016-04-09 to 2016-04-306 draws: 2016-04-30 to 2016-05-2111 draws: 2016-05-21 to 2016-06-2920 draws: 2016-06-29 to 2016-09-075 draws: 2016-09-07 to 2016-09-2413 draws: 2016-09-24 to 2016-11-098 draws: 2016-11-09 to 2016-12-071 draws: 2016-12-07 to 2016-12-108 draws: 2016-12-10 to 2017-01-0714 draws: 2017-01-07 to 2017-02-2519 draws: 2017-02-25 to 2017-05-0311 draws: 2017-05-03 to 2017-06-105 draws: 2017-06-10 to 2017-06-284 draws: 2017-06-28 to 2017-07-1215 draws: 2017-07-12 to 2017-09-021 draws: 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-062 draws: 2017-09-06 to 2017-09-132 draws: 2017-09-13 to 2017-09-204 draws: 2017-09-20 to 2017-10-045 draws: 2017-10-04 to 2017-10-2115 draws: 2017-10-21 to 2017-12-138 draws: 2017-12-13 to 2018-01-107 draws: 2018-01-10 to 2018-02-037 draws: 2018-02-03 to 2018-02-287 draws: 2018-02-28 to 2018-03-246 draws: 2018-03-24 to 2018-04-145 draws: 2018-04-14 to 2018-05-027 draws: 2018-05-02 to 2018-05-265 draws: 2018-05-26 to 2018-06-137 draws: 2018-06-13 to 2018-07-076 draws: 2018-07-07 to 2018-07-289 draws: 2018-07-28 to 2018-08-297 draws: 2018-08-29 to 2018-09-225 draws: 2018-09-22 to 2018-10-108 draws: 2018-10-10 to 2018-11-0712 draws: 2018-11-07 to 2018-12-199 draws: 2018-12-19 to 2019-01-193 draws: 2019-01-19 to 2019-01-302 draws: 2019-01-30 to 2019-02-061 draws: 2019-02-06 to 2019-02-094 draws: 2019-02-09 to 2019-02-2314 draws: 2019-02-23 to 2019-04-131 draws: 2019-04-13 to 2019-04-174 draws: 2019-04-17 to 2019-05-016 draws: 2019-05-01 to 2019-05-224 draws: 2019-05-22 to 2019-06-0534 draws: 2019-06-05 to 2019-10-025 draws: 2019-10-02 to 2019-10-198 draws: 2019-10-19 to 2019-11-162 draws: 2019-11-16 to 2019-11-238 draws: 2019-11-23 to 2019-12-214 draws: 2019-12-21 to 2020-01-0841 draws: 2020-01-08 to 2020-05-301 draws: 2020-05-30 to 2020-06-033 draws: 2020-06-03 to 2020-06-133 draws: 2020-06-13 to 2020-06-243 draws: 2020-06-24 to 2020-07-0410 draws: 2020-07-04 to 2020-08-082010-04-072010-05-122010-06-302010-08-182010-08-282010-09-222010-10-132010-10-302010-11-062010-12-082010-12-222011-02-052011-02-162011-03-232011-03-262011-04-062011-05-252011-06-182011-06-292011-08-032011-08-202011-10-052011-10-152011-10-292011-11-122012-01-212012-02-252012-03-102012-05-092012-05-262012-06-022012-06-302012-07-282012-08-042012-09-012012-09-222012-10-062012-10-132012-10-272012-11-172012-11-242012-11-282012-12-052013-01-122013-02-022013-02-132013-02-162013-02-272013-03-062013-04-172013-04-202013-05-222013-06-152013-06-262013-07-032013-08-032013-09-042013-11-092013-11-132014-01-112014-02-012014-02-122014-02-262014-03-052014-03-152014-06-212014-07-052014-07-092014-07-122014-09-132014-09-272014-10-012014-10-152014-10-182014-10-292014-11-222014-11-262015-02-282015-06-172015-06-272015-09-052015-09-162015-10-102015-10-142015-10-312015-11-252015-12-022015-12-162015-12-192016-02-062016-02-242016-03-232016-04-062016-04-092016-04-302016-05-212016-06-292016-09-072016-09-242016-11-092016-12-072016-12-102017-01-072017-02-252017-05-032017-06-102017-06-282017-07-122017-09-022017-09-062017-09-132017-09-202017-10-042017-10-212017-12-132018-01-102018-02-032018-02-282018-03-242018-04-142018-05-022018-05-262018-06-132018-07-072018-07-282018-08-292018-09-222018-10-102018-11-072018-12-192019-01-192019-01-302019-02-062019-02-092019-02-232019-04-132019-04-172019-05-012019-05-222019-06-052019-10-022019-10-192019-11-162019-11-232019-12-212020-01-082020-05-302020-06-032020-06-132020-06-242020-07-042020-08-082010-04-072020-08-08

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 18 times2 draws: 14 times3 draws: 17 times4 draws: 18 times5 draws: 12 times6 draws: 10 times7 draws: 12 times8 draws: 10 times9 draws: 6 times10 draws: 5 times11 draws: 3 times12 draws: 3 times13 draws: 2 times14 draws: 6 times15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 1 time17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 2 times20 draws: 3 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 1 time28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 1 time32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 1 time35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 1 time42 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest29 · chance 25.9
  • 2nd smallest65 · chance 59.5
  • 3rd smallest38 · chance 47.6
  • 4th smallest17 · chance 16.5
  • 5th smallest3 · chance 2.4
  • 6th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1752231221

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2020-08-08104th689121721
2020-07-0432nd21213253236
2020-06-2433rd81112192132
2020-06-133
← number 11Every numbernumber 13 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2nd
81215202640
2020-06-0311st121625293340
2020-05-30412nd11220222334
2020-01-0842nd91216323538
2019-12-2183rd11112233940
2019-11-2323rd2812161740
2019-11-1682nd101214212628
2019-10-1952nd21216232936
2019-10-02342nd51219213032
2019-06-0543rd2312171834
2019-05-2262nd21217242634
2019-05-0142nd111215193334
2019-04-1713rd61112132635
2019-04-13142nd71220213338
2019-02-2343rd6712171925
2019-02-0914th4910121339
2019-02-0622nd41213222431
2019-01-3032nd51214232437
2019-01-1991st121516222634
2018-12-19123rd91112182931
2018-11-0784th235122738
The other 128 appearances
2018-10-1052nd21224313336
2018-09-2272nd101217202837
2018-08-2992nd61219293940
2018-07-2864th579122831
2018-07-0771st122729303137
2018-06-1353rd11012273039
2018-05-2672nd11219202130
2018-05-0252nd111217242932
2018-04-1463rd91012283137
2018-03-2473rd6812303137
2018-02-2874th458121516
2018-02-0374th8910123238
2018-01-1083rd31112143436
2017-12-13152nd41219223438
2017-10-2152nd111227383940
2017-10-0441st121922263440
2017-09-2023rd91012222636
2017-09-1322nd21225313336
2017-09-0612nd81219222528
2017-09-02154th245121734
2017-07-1244th2711121336
2017-06-2854th237121732
2017-06-10113rd5912141618
2017-05-03192nd81220213036
2017-02-25143rd7912131837
2017-01-0782nd61222243134
2016-12-1011st121416202733
2016-12-0783rd2412283437
2016-11-09132nd101216172829
2016-09-2451st121324293337
2016-09-07202nd91221222736
2016-06-29111st121518192026
2016-05-2163rd3812172334
2016-04-3061st121317313338
2016-04-0911st121920252938
2016-04-0642nd51224313233
2016-03-2382nd21217223235
2016-02-2454th234121820
2016-02-06143rd81112222326
2015-12-1914th357122538
2015-12-1642nd111216202729
2015-12-0222nd71225262935
2015-11-2571st121527313233
2015-10-3152nd91214193537
2015-10-1411st121522283538
2015-10-1072nd91220212829
2015-09-1632nd91214212225
2015-09-05202nd111215223239
2015-06-2731st121318213439
2015-06-17313rd7912141539
2015-02-28272nd91231323435
2014-11-2612nd81216202332
2014-11-2272nd111222232531
2014-10-2932nd91214202328
2014-10-1813rd61012223133
2014-10-1542nd31219272930
2014-10-0112nd91214151840
2014-09-2741st121314192130
2014-09-13182nd71218263436
2014-07-1211st121317272829
2014-07-0915th158101215
2014-07-0541st121819212436
2014-06-21284th248122334
2014-03-1532nd61228293035
2014-03-0522nd81217253540
2014-02-2642nd91222313237
2014-02-1231st121325293132
2014-02-0162nd21223253034
2014-01-11162nd51214183238
2013-11-1313rd4712222333
2013-11-09191st121719283340
2013-09-0493rd1612172139
2013-08-0392nd111213222728
2013-07-0324th124122125
2013-06-2632nd21220233235
2013-06-1573rd51112153233
2013-05-2291st121524283536
2013-04-2011st122527353739
2013-04-17123rd1612303335
2013-03-0622nd101218213839
2013-02-2733rd7812133639
2013-02-1613rd1312161740
2013-02-1333rd6912173739
2013-02-0262nd51216173136
2013-01-12112nd111215192425
2012-12-0521st121319202233
2012-11-2811st121417353738
2012-11-2422nd71215182326
2012-11-1763rd3912202935
2012-10-2743rd1512152637
2012-10-1323rd31012253439
2012-10-0642nd51216183738
2012-09-2265th357101220
2012-09-0182nd51221223340
2012-08-0422nd11219212738
2012-07-2883rd6712131418
2012-06-3082nd81229303132
2012-06-0221st121618283039
2012-05-2654th256123537
2012-05-09173rd4812232431
2012-03-1042nd61230313640
2012-02-25101st121318232435
2012-01-21205th25891231
2011-11-1244th156122527
2011-10-2942nd31213142236
2011-10-1533rd101112203438
2011-10-05133rd11012132240
2011-08-2052nd61215202635
2011-08-03102nd51215192023
2011-06-2932nd101216183435
2011-06-1871st121723242831
2011-05-25142nd81215272836
2011-04-0633rd2312152021
2011-03-2614th367121433
2011-03-23101st122122233940
2011-02-1633rd3512133039
2011-02-05122nd31214232429
2010-12-2241st121417263440
2010-12-0893rd51012141736
2010-11-0621st121821313238
2010-10-3052nd61223253436
2010-10-1361st121530323339
2010-09-2274th2410121336
2010-08-2832nd51217252733
2010-08-18141st121721273038
2010-06-30143rd1312243133
2010-05-12102nd61216223740
2010-04-07—3rd2512181921