Number 14

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

160times drawn · chance expected 162 −0.13σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 85% for any number

6.7average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

29longest completed wait · 82% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 160 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, −0.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 160 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest16 · chance 18.3
2nd smallest54 · chance 54.0
3rd smallest57 · chance 56.4
4th smallest24 · chance 25.8
5th smallest9 · chance 5.2
6th smallest0 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 9 10 21 31 3

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-08-01	2	3rd	3 5 14 22 30 32
2020-07-25	23	2nd	13 14 17 24 27 40
2020-05-06	4	2nd	2 14 29 31 35 37
2020-04-22	19

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2018-09-29	4	5th	5 7 9 11 14 26
2018-09-15	2	4th	4 8 13 14 19 20
2018-09-08	19	3rd	7 8 14 34 39 40
2018-07-04	7	2nd	13 14 16 20 34 35
2018-06-09	3	2nd	10 14 19 21 23 26
2018-05-30	7	2nd	10 14 17 23 29 39
2018-05-05	5	1st	14 16 22 29 34 36
2018-04-18	8	3rd	5 8 14 29 33 35
2018-03-21	3	2nd	6 14 25 31 32 34
2018-03-10	7	5th	4 8 10 11 14 40
2018-02-14	10	3rd	7 9 14 18 29 33
2018-01-10	2	4th	3 11 12 14 34 36
2018-01-03	12	2nd	1 14 17 21 33 37
2017-11-22	3	3rd	2 8 14 27 35 39
2017-11-11	1	5th	1 7 10 13 14 30
2017-11-08	1	2nd	2 14 25 35 37 39
2017-11-04	11	2nd	1 14 28 31 35 40
2017-09-27	9	2nd	3 14 23 28 31 36
2017-08-26	8	3rd	1 3 14 26 31 36
2017-07-29	14	3rd	1 10 14 22 28 35
2017-06-10	4	4th	5 9 12 14 16 18
2017-05-27	3	3rd	2 13 14 18 30 39
2017-05-17	1	1st	14 24 25 28 34 37
2017-05-13	1	3rd	7 9 14 17 37 38
2017-05-10	16	3rd	6 11 14 16 22 33
2017-03-15	15	4th	8 11 13 14 27 28
2017-01-21	12	2nd	9 14 15 20 31 38
2016-12-10	11	2nd	12 14 16 20 27 33
2016-11-02	4	3rd	6 8 14 16 21 22
2016-10-19	4	2nd	9 14 18 25 34 40
2016-10-05	14	3rd	4 11 14 30 32 38
2016-08-17	1	4th	6 9 10 14 21 35
2016-08-13	1	2nd	8 14 20 22 36 39
2016-08-10	3	3rd	6 11 14 21 29 40
2016-07-30	10	1st	14 17 31 35 38 39
2016-06-25	25	3rd	4 10 14 15 25 39
2016-03-30	3	4th	1 5 13 14 16 21
2016-03-19	10	2nd	5 14 25 27 29 33
2016-02-13	9	2nd	8 14 29 30 35 36
2016-01-13	15	2nd	10 14 19 24 33 35
2015-11-21	6	4th	5 11 13 14 35 38
2015-10-31	11	3rd	9 12 14 19 35 37
2015-09-23	2	3rd	2 3 14 31 33 40
2015-09-16	15	3rd	9 12 14 21 22 25
2015-07-25	4	4th	2 6 9 14 23 40
2015-07-11	1	2nd	1 14 18 23 28 30
2015-07-08	6	3rd	10 11 14 20 24 28
2015-06-17	1	4th	7 9 12 14 15 39
2015-06-13	6	3rd	6 11 14 28 31 38
2015-05-23	3	3rd	3 8 14 36 38 40
2015-05-13	8	1st	14 24 26 28 29 37
2015-04-15	4	2nd	1 14 18 31 34 39
2015-04-01	3	1st	14 15 20 28 38 39
2015-03-21	1	2nd	1 14 21 22 23 37
2015-03-18	12	2nd	10 14 21 25 30 31
2015-02-04	7	3rd	6 11 14 16 20 32
2015-01-10	2	2nd	2 14 27 36 37 38
2015-01-03	2	4th	10 11 13 14 22 24
2014-12-27	1	3rd	2 8 14 31 37 39
2014-12-24	16	3rd	7 8 14 15 23 25
2014-10-29	6	3rd	9 12 14 20 23 28
2014-10-08	2	3rd	9 10 14 19 26 28
2014-10-01	1	3rd	9 12 14 15 18 40
2014-09-27	12	3rd	12 13 14 19 21 30
2014-08-16	4	3rd	3 10 14 24 28 33
2014-08-02	5	5th	3 5 7 10 14 38
2014-07-16	11	3rd	5 9 14 16 24 39
2014-06-07	4	2nd	11 14 18 24 31 38
2014-05-24	2	3rd	2 13 14 15 27 31
2014-05-17	2	4th	2 5 13 14 24 28
2014-05-10	2	3rd	3 10 14 21 26 40
2014-05-03	2	1st	14 19 20 31 33 34
2014-04-26	3	3rd	5 10 14 22 25 28
2014-04-16	10	3rd	5 6 14 20 27 38
2014-03-12	14	4th	1 2 8 14 29 39
2014-01-22	3	2nd	9 14 23 25 29 35
2014-01-11	2	3rd	5 12 14 18 32 38
2014-01-04	10	4th	3 9 10 14 37 38
2013-11-27	14	3rd	3 9 14 16 19 40
2013-10-09	3	3rd	8 9 14 17 28 38
2013-09-28	4	2nd	7 14 16 23 24 29
2013-09-14	6	2nd	4 14 28 33 37 38
2013-08-24	23	2nd	3 14 15 22 23 34
2013-06-05	12	4th	1 3 9 14 22 36
2013-04-24	15	1st	14 15 22 26 31 38
2013-03-02	3	4th	3 6 8 14 19 32
2013-02-20	4	2nd	10 14 15 16 21 36
2013-02-06	6	1st	14 21 27 35 36 40
2013-01-16	7	2nd	5 14 16 21 22 24
2012-12-22	2	4th	3 6 7 14 15 36
2012-12-15	5	3rd	5 11 14 24 26 36
2012-11-28	6	2nd	12 14 17 35 37 38
2012-11-07	10	4th	5 8 9 14 25 39
2012-10-03	5	2nd	11 14 17 18 33 37
2012-09-15	1	3rd	6 9 14 27 35 39
2012-09-12	2	2nd	5 14 15 17 24 26
2012-09-05	11	4th	4 10 11 14 21 31
2012-07-28	6	5th	6 7 12 13 14 18
2012-07-07	11	5th	3 6 9 10 14 25
2012-05-30	8	2nd	3 14 24 25 34 36
2012-05-02	2	2nd	7 14 16 23 24 28
2012-04-25	2	2nd	8 14 22 24 25 30
2012-04-18	5	2nd	6 14 19 22 34 39
2012-03-31	1	3rd	10 11 14 21 35 40
2012-03-28	10	3rd	3 5 14 16 21 40
2012-02-22	7	1st	14 19 25 26 35 37
2012-01-28	18	2nd	9 14 32 35 37 39
2011-11-26	8	3rd	1 9 14 19 21 39
2011-10-29	16	4th	3 12 13 14 22 36
2011-09-03	5	3rd	2 8 14 17 29 35
2011-08-17	6	4th	1 4 6 14 15 17
2011-07-27	2	2nd	10 14 15 22 24 28
2011-07-20	8	2nd	13 14 24 29 31 32
2011-06-22	5	2nd	1 14 17 19 25 37
2011-06-04	5	1st	14 16 17 20 27 38
2011-05-18	5	3rd	1 8 14 18 22 31
2011-04-30	2	3rd	4 5 14 28 29 32
2011-04-23	8	3rd	5 13 14 22 28 32
2011-03-26	3	5th	3 6 7 12 14 33
2011-03-16	11	1st	14 23 27 28 31 40
2011-02-05	9	3rd	3 12 14 23 24 29
2011-01-05	3	3rd	1 7 14 27 35 40
2010-12-22	3	2nd	12 14 17 26 34 40
2010-12-11	1	5th	4 6 7 13 14 31
2010-12-08	8	4th	5 10 12 14 17 36
2010-11-10	12	3rd	4 7 14 16 33 35
2010-09-29	3	2nd	10 14 21 25 33 36
2010-09-18	7	2nd	9 14 16 21 28 31
2010-08-25	4	2nd	11 14 16 18 22 39
2010-08-11	4	2nd	10 14 22 31 34 37
2010-07-28	7	3rd	1 8 14 18 19 30
2010-07-03	3	2nd	9 14 16 17 34 35
2010-06-23	4	1st	14 15 19 25 31 39
2010-06-09	1	3rd	3 10 14 19 21 34
2010-06-05	6	1st	14 17 22 36 37 40
2010-05-15	—	2nd	8 14 15 19 37 40