Number 16

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

165times drawn · chance expected 162 +0.29σ

17draws waiting · a wait this long: 7% for any number

6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

33longest completed wait · 60% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 165 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, +0.29σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 165 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 17 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest9 · chance 12.2
2nd smallest39 · chance 45.7
3rd smallest83 · chance 60.9
4th smallest27 · chance 36.0
5th smallest6 · chance 9.4
6th smallest1 · chance 0.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 21.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11 15 18 22 24 7

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-06-10	2	3rd	4 10 16 27 36 39
2020-06-03	5	2nd	12 16 25 29 33 40
2020-05-16	4	2nd	13 16 23 27 28 34
2020-05-02

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-03-16	1	3rd	1 10 16 22 23 40
2019-03-13	2	1st	16 17 18 21 22 30
2019-03-06	1	3rd	5 14 16 20 24 26
2019-03-02	12	2nd	6 16 18 23 31 39
2019-01-19	1	3rd	12 15 16 22 26 34
2019-01-16	3	4th	5 13 15 16 36 37
2019-01-05	7	1st	16 21 24 30 31 40
2018-12-12	1	3rd	7 13 16 21 24 40
2018-12-08	4	2nd	15 16 21 33 34 35
2018-11-24	7	3rd	9 11 16 30 33 36
2018-10-31	10	4th	2 11 15 16 33 35
2018-09-26	6	1st	16 17 24 32 34 37
2018-09-05	5	1st	16 21 24 28 34 40
2018-08-18	2	3rd	7 9 16 27 32 37
2018-08-11	11	3rd	6 15 16 25 26 34
2018-07-04	5	3rd	13 14 16 20 34 35
2018-06-16	12	2nd	3 16 18 24 25 28
2018-05-05	2	2nd	14 16 22 29 34 36
2018-04-28	2	4th	1 4 9 16 20 35
2018-04-21	15	4th	4 10 11 16 18 26
2018-02-28	1	6th	4 5 8 12 15 16
2018-02-24	7	3rd	7 8 16 23 35 38
2018-01-31	3	4th	1 7 9 16 31 33
2018-01-20	7	3rd	2 5 16 21 23 28
2017-12-27	20	3rd	4 7 16 25 37 38
2017-10-18	3	3rd	9 15 16 26 29 31
2017-10-07	11	2nd	1 16 18 29 32 35
2017-08-30	8	1st	16 25 28 31 33 34
2017-08-02	8	2nd	2 16 17 25 26 38
2017-07-05	3	3rd	5 11 16 22 34 37
2017-06-24	4	1st	16 21 30 33 34 39
2017-06-10	6	5th	5 9 12 14 16 18
2017-05-20	3	2nd	10 16 18 20 28 32
2017-05-10	3	4th	6 11 14 16 22 33
2017-04-29	6	3rd	6 15 16 20 23 39
2017-04-08	9	3rd	2 8 16 23 31 36
2017-03-08	10	3rd	2 11 16 28 31 37
2017-02-01	8	3rd	4 5 16 18 24 32
2017-01-04	7	2nd	6 16 21 22 25 29
2016-12-10	9	3rd	12 14 16 20 27 33
2016-11-09	1	3rd	10 12 16 17 28 29
2016-11-05	1	3rd	7 11 16 22 24 30
2016-11-02	2	4th	6 8 14 16 21 22
2016-10-26	17	2nd	2 16 26 33 35 37
2016-08-27	1	3rd	5 10 16 31 33 36
2016-08-24	1	3rd	9 11 16 24 35 36
2016-08-20	9	3rd	3 11 16 21 31 32
2016-07-20	5	3rd	2 7 16 21 34 38
2016-07-02	7	5th	3 5 10 13 16 38
2016-06-08	7	3rd	7 9 16 24 29 32
2016-05-14	2	3rd	13 15 16 17 22 23
2016-05-07	11	4th	5 7 8 16 34 38
2016-03-30	7	5th	1 5 13 14 16 21
2016-03-05	21	4th	4 7 10 16 22 33
2015-12-23	2	2nd	8 16 18 32 34 35
2015-12-16	11	3rd	11 12 16 20 27 29
2015-11-07	9	3rd	3 7 16 24 30 32
2015-10-07	7	3rd	11 15 16 19 35 38
2015-09-12	12	4th	1 6 7 16 24 40
2015-08-01	5	2nd	8 16 21 27 35 40
2015-07-15	3	2nd	11 16 28 34 39 40
2015-07-04	10	1st	16 21 31 36 39 40
2015-05-30	14	2nd	1 16 17 36 37 38
2015-04-11	1	2nd	5 16 17 18 23 33
2015-04-08	7	2nd	7 16 19 23 35 39
2015-03-14	1	3rd	7 9 16 17 28 29
2015-03-11	6	2nd	15 16 18 29 36 40
2015-02-18	2	2nd	1 16 17 28 30 31
2015-02-11	1	3rd	8 11 16 21 24 30
2015-02-07	1	1st	16 17 20 22 25 40
2015-02-04	20	4th	6 11 14 16 20 32
2014-11-26	4	3rd	8 12 16 20 23 32
2014-11-12	14	5th	3 6 9 15 16 31
2014-09-24	5	2nd	7 16 21 22 23 25
2014-09-06	4	3rd	4 13 16 17 33 39
2014-08-23	11	3rd	4 6 16 20 26 30
2014-07-16	14	4th	5 9 14 16 24 39
2014-05-28	13	3rd	8 15 16 26 27 32
2014-04-12	1	2nd	11 16 21 23 26 38
2014-04-09	4	3rd	5 7 16 22 23 27
2014-03-26	2	3rd	2 9 16 22 37 39
2014-03-19	5	4th	3 5 15 16 24 32
2014-03-01	6	3rd	11 13 16 18 25 32
2014-02-08	1	3rd	2 11 16 20 29 38
2014-02-05	10	2nd	1 16 23 28 35 38
2014-01-01	9	3rd	2 13 16 30 34 35
2013-11-27	3	4th	3 9 14 16 19 40
2013-11-16	14	4th	6 11 15 16 38 39
2013-09-28	5	3rd	7 14 16 23 24 29
2013-09-11	9	2nd	13 16 18 33 38 39
2013-08-10	1	2nd	3 16 25 26 28 30
2013-08-07	11	3rd	1 4 16 27 31 39
2013-06-29	3	4th	3 5 13 16 26 37
2013-06-19	5	5th	1 6 8 15 16 30
2013-06-01	2	4th	2 3 8 16 22 39
2013-05-25	5	3rd	3 8 16 24 30 35
2013-05-08	7	2nd	8 16 19 24 25 26
2013-04-13	1	3rd	4 9 16 28 35 36
2013-04-10	5	3rd	2 9 16 25 30 37
2013-03-23	3	3rd	3 13 16 27 30 34
2013-03-13	6	3rd	1 5 16 18 19 23
2013-02-20	1	4th	10 14 15 16 21 36
2013-02-16	2	4th	1 3 12 16 17 40
2013-02-09	2	3rd	7 15 16 25 29 34
2013-02-02	4	3rd	5 12 16 17 31 36
2013-01-19	1	3rd	2 5 16 22 32 34
2013-01-16	11	3rd	5 14 16 21 22 24
2012-12-08	13	3rd	1 9 16 22 27 29
2012-10-24	5	3rd	2 10 16 24 26 30
2012-10-06	3	3rd	5 12 16 18 37 38
2012-09-26	12	3rd	4 13 16 29 38 39
2012-08-15	9	3rd	7 15 16 18 25 38
2012-07-14	9	2nd	8 16 20 28 29 38
2012-06-13	3	3rd	2 3 16 17 27 29
2012-06-02	6	2nd	12 16 18 28 30 39
2012-05-12	3	3rd	8 9 16 18 31 36
2012-05-02	10	3rd	7 14 16 23 24 28
2012-03-28	1	4th	3 5 14 16 21 40
2012-03-24	2	3rd	7 15 16 17 19 28
2012-03-17	19	3rd	8 15 16 24 27 32
2012-01-11	7	3rd	10 13 16 26 27 29
2011-12-17	3	3rd	3 4 16 24 30 36
2011-12-07	33	1st	16 21 31 32 37 40
2011-08-13	1	2nd	5 16 25 26 29 34
2011-08-10	5	3rd	2 7 16 18 37 39
2011-07-23	6	4th	4 10 13 16 22 37
2011-07-02	1	2nd	9 16 20 23 24 32
2011-06-29	6	3rd	10 12 16 18 34 35
2011-06-08	1	3rd	1 11 16 18 21 25
2011-06-04	8	2nd	14 16 17 20 27 38
2011-05-07	8	4th	2 6 15 16 24 28
2011-04-09	17	2nd	13 16 17 22 24 38
2011-02-09	15	5th	1 4 7 15 16 26
2010-12-15	8	2nd	11 16 23 36 38 40
2010-11-17	2	4th	2 3 13 16 26 33
2010-11-10	15	4th	4 7 14 16 33 35
2010-09-18	7	3rd	9 14 16 21 28 31
2010-08-25	5	3rd	11 14 16 18 22 39
2010-08-07	10	2nd	5 16 23 25 26 37
2010-07-03	15	3rd	9 14 16 17 34 35
2010-05-12	—	3rd	6 12 16 22 37 40