Number 40

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

152times drawn · chance expected 162 −0.81σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 61% for any number

7.0average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

36longest completed wait · 40% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 152 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, −0.81σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 152 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 7.0 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest152 · chance 152.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

19 21 11 18 14 6

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-07-25	8	6th	13 14 17 24 27 40
2020-06-27	4	6th	8 23 25 32 35 40
2020-06-13	3	6th	8 12 15 20 26 40
2020-06-03

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-03-16	2	6th	1 10 16 22 23 40
2019-03-09	7	6th	14 21 25 29 33 40
2019-02-13	11	6th	5 7 19 27 33 40
2019-01-05	2	6th	16 21 24 30 31 40
2018-12-29	5	6th	3 4 26 31 38 40
2018-12-12	15	6th	7 13 16 21 24 40
2018-10-20	2	6th	20 26 30 31 32 40
2018-10-13	10	6th	5 10 30 31 36 40
2018-09-08	1	6th	7 8 14 34 39 40
2018-09-05	2	6th	16 21 24 28 34 40
2018-08-29	2	6th	6 12 19 29 39 40
2018-08-22	4	6th	3 6 9 19 22 40
2018-08-08	2	6th	2 9 26 36 39 40
2018-08-01	3	6th	4 8 11 18 38 40
2018-07-21	9	6th	8 19 26 34 37 40
2018-06-20	8	6th	3 4 8 15 27 40
2018-05-23	21	6th	5 6 7 18 23 40
2018-03-10	2	6th	4 8 10 11 14 40
2018-03-03	7	6th	11 13 15 21 33 40
2018-02-07	13	6th	5 24 35 36 38 40
2017-12-23	14	6th	3 9 29 32 37 40
2017-11-04	4	6th	1 14 28 31 35 40
2017-10-21	5	6th	11 12 27 38 39 40
2017-10-04	7	6th	12 19 22 26 34 40
2017-09-09	7	6th	5 20 23 28 31 40
2017-08-16	2	6th	3 4 9 18 23 40
2017-08-09	36	6th	4 11 15 30 39 40
2017-04-05	3	6th	1 8 9 23 28 40
2017-03-25	6	6th	2 7 8 28 34 40
2017-03-04	8	6th	7 18 21 24 37 40
2017-02-04	2	6th	5 7 19 25 39 40
2017-01-28	3	6th	5 8 13 22 30 40
2017-01-18	6	6th	3 11 15 33 39 40
2016-12-28	3	6th	11 21 35 38 39 40
2016-12-17	6	6th	11 21 25 33 36 40
2016-11-26	11	6th	2 4 13 29 37 40
2016-10-19	6	6th	9 14 18 25 34 40
2016-09-28	14	6th	4 13 21 31 38 40
2016-08-10	16	6th	6 11 14 21 29 40
2016-06-15	5	6th	9 24 32 33 39 40
2016-05-28	10	6th	4 13 19 27 33 40
2016-04-23	13	6th	6 10 15 25 39 40
2016-03-09	6	6th	15 18 33 37 38 40
2016-02-17	5	6th	2 9 17 20 27 40
2016-01-30	1	6th	1 19 20 21 35 40
2016-01-27	27	6th	7 17 18 30 36 40
2015-10-24	9	6th	6 19 25 32 37 40
2015-09-23	1	6th	2 3 14 31 33 40
2015-09-19	2	6th	10 18 20 23 25 40
2015-09-12	6	6th	1 6 7 16 24 40
2015-08-22	6	6th	1 2 24 25 32 40
2015-08-01	2	6th	8 16 21 27 35 40
2015-07-25	3	6th	2 6 9 14 23 40
2015-07-15	3	6th	11 16 28 34 39 40
2015-07-04	3	6th	16 21 31 36 39 40
2015-06-24	4	6th	7 18 19 29 32 40
2015-06-10	2	6th	5 6 20 23 32 40
2015-06-03	3	6th	1 19 21 27 31 40
2015-05-23	2	6th	3 8 14 36 38 40
2015-05-16	4	6th	8 18 22 24 26 40
2015-05-02	15	6th	6 10 21 30 32 40
2015-03-11	9	6th	15 16 18 29 36 40
2015-02-07	7	6th	16 17 20 22 25 40
2015-01-14	2	6th	7 8 17 28 37 40
2015-01-07	11	6th	3 20 30 32 34 40
2014-11-29	3	6th	10 13 19 25 32 40
2014-11-19	5	6th	7 13 19 27 39 40
2014-11-01	6	6th	3 17 22 25 37 40
2014-10-11	3	6th	1 3 6 19 31 40
2014-10-01	3	6th	9 12 14 15 18 40
2014-09-20	17	6th	4 9 19 33 35 40
2014-07-23	21	6th	4 9 28 29 38 40
2014-05-10	3	6th	3 10 14 21 26 40
2014-04-30	16	6th	1 4 9 17 34 40
2014-03-05	11	6th	8 12 17 25 35 40
2014-01-25	2	6th	11 13 17 24 38 40
2014-01-18	6	6th	2 13 29 37 39 40
2013-12-28	8	6th	2 6 20 31 32 40
2013-11-27	1	6th	3 9 14 16 19 40
2013-11-23	4	6th	7 10 26 35 37 40
2013-11-09	6	6th	12 17 19 28 33 40
2013-10-19	1	6th	7 11 18 38 39 40
2013-10-16	7	6th	2 3 9 15 28 40
2013-09-21	4	6th	3 20 22 25 35 40
2013-09-07	2	6th	20 29 32 34 37 40
2013-08-31	4	6th	18 22 32 33 38 40
2013-08-17	7	6th	1 2 18 24 26 40
2013-07-24	9	6th	5 18 21 23 25 40
2013-06-22	10	6th	3 6 11 17 19 40
2013-05-18	5	6th	5 13 21 23 29 40
2013-05-01	8	6th	15 23 29 30 31 40
2013-04-03	2	6th	2 22 28 33 34 40
2013-03-27	11	6th	1 3 6 18 32 40
2013-02-16	3	6th	1 3 12 16 17 40
2013-02-06	27	6th	14 21 27 35 36 40
2012-11-03	7	6th	19 26 27 31 36 40
2012-10-10	11	6th	13 18 19 35 36 40
2012-09-01	3	6th	5 12 21 22 33 40
2012-08-22	31	6th	19 21 23 27 30 40
2012-05-05	10	6th	2 7 27 28 34 40
2012-03-31	1	6th	10 11 14 21 35 40
2012-03-28	5	6th	3 5 14 16 21 40
2012-03-10	15	6th	6 12 30 31 36 40
2012-01-18	4	6th	22 23 25 30 37 40
2012-01-04	3	6th	2 4 8 20 31 40
2011-12-24	1	6th	5 11 21 34 36 40
2011-12-21	3	6th	6 8 11 19 25 40
2011-12-10	1	6th	4 19 23 32 34 40
2011-12-07	17	6th	16 21 31 32 37 40
2011-10-08	1	6th	17 19 21 27 30 40
2011-10-05	24	6th	1 10 12 13 22 40
2011-07-13	32	6th	2 18 32 33 37 40
2011-03-23	1	6th	12 21 22 23 39 40
2011-03-19	1	6th	2 5 7 33 36 40
2011-03-16	3	6th	14 23 27 28 31 40
2011-03-05	6	6th	18 21 22 30 35 40
2011-02-12	5	6th	9 17 18 26 28 40
2011-01-26	6	6th	5 10 11 13 38 40
2011-01-05	1	6th	1 7 14 27 35 40
2011-01-01	2	6th	9 10 15 22 24 40
2010-12-22	2	6th	12 14 17 26 34 40
2010-12-15	21	6th	11 16 23 36 38 40
2010-10-02	9	6th	7 15 18 25 33 40
2010-09-01	25	6th	6 18 20 26 31 40
2010-06-05	3	6th	14 17 22 36 37 40
2010-05-26	3	6th	7 11 20 25 27 40
2010-05-15	1	6th	8 14 15 19 37 40
2010-05-12	—	6th	6 12 16 22 37 40