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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lotto · every number

17

Number 17

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

6/42 · since Aug 20206/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020
163times drawn · chance expected 162 +0.12σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
33longest completed wait · 59% chance of one at least that long
17 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 163 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, +0.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

17

Number 17, draw by draw

Drawn 163 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 33 · drawn in the most recent draw

6 draws: 2010-04-14 to 2010-05-059 draws: 2010-05-05 to 2010-06-058 draws: 2010-06-05 to 2010-07-032 draws: 2010-07-03 to 2010-07-1011 draws: 2010-07-10 to 2010-08-183 draws: 2010-08-18 to 2010-08-288 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-09-254 draws: 2010-09-25 to 2010-10-097 draws: 2010-10-09 to 2010-11-0310 draws: 2010-11-03 to 2010-12-084 draws: 2010-12-08 to 2010-12-224 draws: 2010-12-22 to 2011-01-0810 draws: 2011-01-08 to 2011-02-1216 draws: 2011-02-12 to 2011-04-092 draws: 2011-04-09 to 2011-04-1613 draws: 2011-04-16 to 2011-06-011 draws: 2011-06-01 to 2011-06-042 draws: 2011-06-04 to 2011-06-112 draws: 2011-06-11 to 2011-06-181 draws: 2011-06-18 to 2011-06-2213 draws: 2011-06-22 to 2011-08-063 draws: 2011-08-06 to 2011-08-175 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2011-09-031 draws: 2011-09-03 to 2011-09-079 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-10-087 draws: 2011-10-08 to 2011-11-021 draws: 2011-11-02 to 2011-11-0516 draws: 2011-11-05 to 2011-12-3110 draws: 2011-12-31 to 2012-02-043 draws: 2012-02-04 to 2012-02-1511 draws: 2012-02-15 to 2012-03-2423 draws: 2012-03-24 to 2012-06-131 draws: 2012-06-13 to 2012-06-161 draws: 2012-06-16 to 2012-06-201 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-06-239 draws: 2012-06-23 to 2012-07-2510 draws: 2012-07-25 to 2012-08-294 draws: 2012-08-29 to 2012-09-126 draws: 2012-09-12 to 2012-10-038 draws: 2012-10-03 to 2012-10-318 draws: 2012-10-31 to 2012-11-2819 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2013-02-023 draws: 2013-02-02 to 2013-02-131 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-02-1614 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-04-0611 draws: 2013-04-06 to 2013-05-1511 draws: 2013-05-15 to 2013-06-226 draws: 2013-06-22 to 2013-07-132 draws: 2013-07-13 to 2013-07-207 draws: 2013-07-20 to 2013-08-146 draws: 2013-08-14 to 2013-09-049 draws: 2013-09-04 to 2013-10-051 draws: 2013-10-05 to 2013-10-091 draws: 2013-10-09 to 2013-10-128 draws: 2013-10-12 to 2013-11-0910 draws: 2013-11-09 to 2013-12-142 draws: 2013-12-14 to 2013-12-219 draws: 2013-12-21 to 2014-01-258 draws: 2014-01-25 to 2014-02-223 draws: 2014-02-22 to 2014-03-0516 draws: 2014-03-05 to 2014-04-3016 draws: 2014-04-30 to 2014-06-255 draws: 2014-06-25 to 2014-07-127 draws: 2014-07-12 to 2014-08-062 draws: 2014-08-06 to 2014-08-134 draws: 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-273 draws: 2014-08-27 to 2014-09-068 draws: 2014-09-06 to 2014-10-048 draws: 2014-10-04 to 2014-11-011 draws: 2014-11-01 to 2014-11-0520 draws: 2014-11-05 to 2015-01-147 draws: 2015-01-14 to 2015-02-073 draws: 2015-02-07 to 2015-02-181 draws: 2015-02-18 to 2015-02-216 draws: 2015-02-21 to 2015-03-148 draws: 2015-03-14 to 2015-04-112 draws: 2015-04-11 to 2015-04-183 draws: 2015-04-18 to 2015-04-292 draws: 2015-04-29 to 2015-05-061 draws: 2015-05-06 to 2015-05-096 draws: 2015-05-09 to 2015-05-309 draws: 2015-05-30 to 2015-07-0110 draws: 2015-07-01 to 2015-08-0521 draws: 2015-08-05 to 2015-10-175 draws: 2015-10-17 to 2015-11-049 draws: 2015-11-04 to 2015-12-0512 draws: 2015-12-05 to 2016-01-163 draws: 2016-01-16 to 2016-01-272 draws: 2016-01-27 to 2016-02-034 draws: 2016-02-03 to 2016-02-171 draws: 2016-02-17 to 2016-02-209 draws: 2016-02-20 to 2016-03-231 draws: 2016-03-23 to 2016-03-2610 draws: 2016-03-26 to 2016-04-301 draws: 2016-04-30 to 2016-05-043 draws: 2016-05-04 to 2016-05-142 draws: 2016-05-14 to 2016-05-216 draws: 2016-05-21 to 2016-06-112 draws: 2016-06-11 to 2016-06-185 draws: 2016-06-18 to 2016-07-067 draws: 2016-07-06 to 2016-07-301 draws: 2016-07-30 to 2016-08-038 draws: 2016-08-03 to 2016-08-313 draws: 2016-08-31 to 2016-09-109 draws: 2016-09-10 to 2016-10-128 draws: 2016-10-12 to 2016-11-097 draws: 2016-11-09 to 2016-12-033 draws: 2016-12-03 to 2016-12-149 draws: 2016-12-14 to 2017-01-1416 draws: 2017-01-14 to 2017-03-115 draws: 2017-03-11 to 2017-03-291 draws: 2017-03-29 to 2017-04-016 draws: 2017-04-01 to 2017-04-221 draws: 2017-04-22 to 2017-04-265 draws: 2017-04-26 to 2017-05-139 draws: 2017-05-13 to 2017-06-144 draws: 2017-06-14 to 2017-06-285 draws: 2017-06-28 to 2017-07-155 draws: 2017-07-15 to 2017-08-029 draws: 2017-08-02 to 2017-09-028 draws: 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-3016 draws: 2017-09-30 to 2017-11-256 draws: 2017-11-25 to 2017-12-165 draws: 2017-12-16 to 2018-01-0318 draws: 2018-01-03 to 2018-03-0710 draws: 2018-03-07 to 2018-04-116 draws: 2018-04-11 to 2018-05-028 draws: 2018-05-02 to 2018-05-3033 draws: 2018-05-30 to 2018-09-221 draws: 2018-09-22 to 2018-09-266 draws: 2018-09-26 to 2018-10-177 draws: 2018-10-17 to 2018-11-1012 draws: 2018-11-10 to 2018-12-221 draws: 2018-12-22 to 2018-12-2617 draws: 2018-12-26 to 2019-02-235 draws: 2019-02-23 to 2019-03-136 draws: 2019-03-13 to 2019-04-0310 draws: 2019-04-03 to 2019-05-081 draws: 2019-05-08 to 2019-05-113 draws: 2019-05-11 to 2019-05-224 draws: 2019-05-22 to 2019-06-051 draws: 2019-06-05 to 2019-06-0812 draws: 2019-06-08 to 2019-07-207 draws: 2019-07-20 to 2019-08-145 draws: 2019-08-14 to 2019-08-315 draws: 2019-08-31 to 2019-09-1812 draws: 2019-09-18 to 2019-10-302 draws: 2019-10-30 to 2019-11-062 draws: 2019-11-06 to 2019-11-133 draws: 2019-11-13 to 2019-11-231 draws: 2019-11-23 to 2019-11-272 draws: 2019-11-27 to 2019-12-0416 draws: 2019-12-04 to 2020-02-011 draws: 2020-02-01 to 2020-02-055 draws: 2020-02-05 to 2020-02-227 draws: 2020-02-22 to 2020-03-182 draws: 2020-03-18 to 2020-03-253 draws: 2020-03-25 to 2020-04-043 draws: 2020-04-04 to 2020-04-155 draws: 2020-04-15 to 2020-05-0224 draws: 2020-05-02 to 2020-07-254 draws: 2020-07-25 to 2020-08-082010-04-142010-05-052010-06-052010-07-032010-07-102010-08-182010-08-282010-09-252010-10-092010-11-032010-12-082010-12-222011-01-082011-02-122011-04-092011-04-162011-06-012011-06-042011-06-112011-06-182011-06-222011-08-062011-08-172011-09-032011-09-072011-10-082011-11-022011-11-052011-12-312012-02-042012-02-152012-03-242012-06-132012-06-162012-06-202012-06-232012-07-252012-08-292012-09-122012-10-032012-10-312012-11-282013-02-022013-02-132013-02-162013-04-062013-05-152013-06-222013-07-132013-07-202013-08-142013-09-042013-10-052013-10-092013-10-122013-11-092013-12-142013-12-212014-01-252014-02-222014-03-052014-04-302014-06-252014-07-122014-08-062014-08-132014-08-272014-09-062014-10-042014-11-012014-11-052015-01-142015-02-072015-02-182015-02-212015-03-142015-04-112015-04-182015-04-292015-05-062015-05-092015-05-302015-07-012015-08-052015-10-172015-11-042015-12-052016-01-162016-01-272016-02-032016-02-172016-02-202016-03-232016-03-262016-04-302016-05-042016-05-142016-05-212016-06-112016-06-182016-07-062016-07-302016-08-032016-08-312016-09-102016-10-122016-11-092016-12-032016-12-142017-01-142017-03-112017-03-292017-04-012017-04-222017-04-262017-05-132017-06-142017-06-282017-07-152017-08-022017-09-022017-09-302017-11-252017-12-162018-01-032018-03-072018-04-112018-05-022018-05-302018-09-222018-09-262018-10-172018-11-102018-12-222018-12-262019-02-232019-03-132019-04-032019-05-082019-05-112019-05-222019-06-052019-06-082019-07-202019-08-142019-08-312019-09-182019-10-302019-11-062019-11-132019-11-232019-11-272019-12-042020-02-012020-02-052020-02-222020-03-182020-03-252020-04-042020-04-152020-05-022020-07-252020-08-082010-04-072020-08-08

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 25 times2 draws: 16 times3 draws: 16 times4 draws: 9 times5 draws: 14 times6 draws: 12 times7 draws: 10 times8 draws: 13 times9 draws: 12 times10 draws: 9 times11 draws: 4 times12 draws: 4 times13 draws: 2 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 7 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 1 time34 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest8 · chance 9.5
  • 2nd smallest35 · chance 40.1
  • 3rd smallest69 · chance 60.2
  • 4th smallest37 · chance 40.1
  • 5th smallest12 · chance 11.9
  • 6th smallest2 · chance 1.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2437912333

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2020-08-0845th689121721
2020-07-25243rd131417242740
2020-05-0253rd151617223940
2020-04-153
← number 16Every numbernumber 18 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

3rd
4517232738
2020-04-0434th1416171819
2020-03-2522nd71728303135
2020-03-1874th81016172539
2020-02-2252nd131724262939
2020-02-0512nd11719283132
2020-02-01161st172024262938
2019-12-0422nd101720222324
2019-11-2712nd71718242635
2019-11-2335th2812161740
2019-11-1325th13471725
2019-11-0626th567101317
2019-10-30124th41314172324
2019-09-1853rd1917193335
2019-08-3152nd21719223036
2019-08-1473rd101517273136
2019-07-20123rd31117243540
2019-06-0813rd41017303537
2019-06-0544th2312171834
2019-05-2233rd21217242634
2019-05-1114th4611172124
The other 139 appearances
2019-05-08103rd31317222737
2019-04-0362nd31718273436
2019-03-1352nd161718212230
2019-02-23174th6712171925
2018-12-2613rd101117273637
2018-12-22123rd101517253536
2018-11-1074th456171924
2018-10-1762nd61724283437
2018-09-2612nd161724323437
2018-09-22333rd101217202837
2018-05-3083rd101417232939
2018-05-0263rd111217242932
2018-04-11102nd41720232931
2018-03-07181st171830333438
2018-01-0353rd11417213337
2017-12-1663rd71317193239
2017-11-25162nd31718192732
2017-09-3084th3815171819
2017-09-0295th245121734
2017-08-0253rd21617252638
2017-07-1552nd111720243033
2017-06-2845th237121732
2017-06-1493rd2817223133
2017-05-1354th7914173738
2017-04-2614th2513173237
2017-04-2262nd51721343536
2017-04-0113rd31517223237
2017-03-2953rd21017181929
2017-03-11163rd7917303237
2017-01-1493rd3617193138
2016-12-1433rd51517203839
2016-12-0373rd3917182930
2016-11-0984th101216172829
2016-10-1293rd31117203031
2016-09-1033rd2917192129
2016-08-3184th129172128
2016-08-0313rd81317183038
2016-07-3072nd141731353839
2016-07-0652nd31724262733
2016-06-1823rd4917243338
2016-06-1165th31011131726
2016-05-2124th3812172334
2016-05-1434th131516172223
2016-05-0413rd91317183336
2016-04-30103rd121317313338
2016-03-2612nd11718323338
2016-03-2393rd21217223235
2016-02-2012nd91726293034
2016-02-1743rd2917202740
2016-02-0325th456101735
2016-01-2732nd71718303640
2016-01-16124th5711172237
2015-12-0591st172022343536
2015-11-0454th1611173034
2015-10-17214th2513172533
2015-08-05103rd4717222934
2015-07-0195th4511131719
2015-05-3063rd11617363738
2015-05-0913rd7917222536
2015-05-0623rd3917243134
2015-04-2933rd91117223638
2015-04-1823rd6817323637
2015-04-1183rd51617182333
2015-03-1464th7916172829
2015-02-2113rd21517212225
2015-02-1833rd11617283031
2015-02-0772nd161720222540
2015-01-14203rd7817283740
2014-11-0515th459151725
2014-11-0182nd31722253740
2014-10-0482nd51721253537
2014-09-0634th41316173339
2014-08-2743rd41317192031
2014-08-1322nd111718253639
2014-08-0674th5611172429
2014-07-1253rd121317272829
2014-06-25163rd101517242531
2014-04-30164th149173440
2014-03-0533rd81217253540
2014-02-2283rd71017263233
2014-01-2593rd111317243840
2013-12-2123rd8917193738
2013-12-14104th2710172431
2013-11-0982nd121719283340
2013-10-1213rd11317253536
2013-10-0914th8914172838
2013-10-0593rd31517293839
2013-09-0464th1612172139
2013-08-1472nd131720313839
2013-07-2024th156172737
2013-07-1365th479101733
2013-06-22114th3611171940
2013-05-15114th6815171838
2013-04-06142nd11725293133
2013-02-1615th1312161740
2013-02-1334th6912173739
2013-02-02194th51216173136
2012-11-2883rd121417353738
2012-10-3181st172225273435
2012-10-0363rd111417183337
2012-09-1244th51415172426
2012-08-29102nd31732333637
2012-07-2591st171921242733
2012-06-2313rd71017243336
2012-06-2013rd1717323739
2012-06-1611st171926273637
2012-06-13234th2316172729
2012-03-24114th71516171928
2012-02-1533rd4817283035
2012-02-04103rd61517192136
2011-12-31164th369172435
2011-11-0513rd7917243031
2011-11-0273rd51017192137
2011-10-0891st171921273040
2011-09-0713rd6817313435
2011-09-0354th2814172935
2011-08-1736th146141517
2011-08-06133rd11517273435
2011-06-2213rd11417192537
2011-06-1822nd121723242831
2011-06-1123rd1417182735
2011-06-0413rd141617202738
2011-06-01132nd31725313336
2011-04-1622nd61720273233
2011-04-09163rd131617222438
2011-02-12102nd91718262840
2011-01-0842nd71722232426
2010-12-2243rd121417263440
2010-12-08105th51012141736
2010-11-0372nd11719223336
2010-10-0944th91013172239
2010-09-2583rd61017232930
2010-08-2833rd51217252733
2010-08-18112nd121721273038
2010-07-1024th137172438
2010-07-0384th91416173435
2010-06-0592nd141722363740
2010-05-0561st172129313439
2010-04-14—3rd5917223233