Number 5

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

188times drawn · chance expected 162 +2.26σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 85% for any number

5.7average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

25longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 188 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, +2.26σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 188 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 5.7 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest118 · chance 106.0
2nd smallest59 · chance 68.4
3rd smallest10 · chance 12.8
4th smallest1 · chance 0.8
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 24.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 38 6 13 14 24

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-08-01	1	2nd	3 5 14 22 30 32
2020-07-29	4	1st	5 10 13 33 35 38
2020-07-15	1	1st	5 10 11 21 31 32
2020-07-11	17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-03-27	6	2nd	2 5 18 22 26 35
2019-03-06	6	1st	5 14 16 20 24 26
2019-02-13	3	1st	5 7 19 27 33 40
2019-02-02	1	1st	5 7 8 11 37 38
2019-01-30	4	1st	5 12 14 23 24 37
2019-01-16	1	1st	5 13 15 16 36 37
2019-01-12	16	1st	5 6 8 9 27 35
2018-11-17	2	1st	5 9 14 18 21 26
2018-11-10	1	2nd	4 5 6 17 19 24
2018-11-07	4	3rd	2 3 5 12 27 38
2018-10-24	3	2nd	2 5 6 8 13 15
2018-10-13	2	1st	5 10 30 31 36 40
2018-10-06	1	2nd	3 5 6 14 23 34
2018-10-03	1	1st	5 6 22 26 37 38
2018-09-29	5	1st	5 7 9 11 14 26
2018-09-12	13	1st	5 9 13 25 33 34
2018-07-28	1	1st	5 7 9 12 28 31
2018-07-25	2	2nd	3 5 21 23 24 37
2018-07-18	16	2nd	1 5 24 27 33 37
2018-05-23	3	1st	5 6 7 18 23 40
2018-05-12	7	1st	5 8 28 30 38 39
2018-04-18	6	1st	5 8 14 29 33 35
2018-03-28	8	1st	5 15 20 22 31 39
2018-02-28	5	2nd	4 5 8 12 15 16
2018-02-10	1	2nd	4 5 21 22 32 36
2018-02-07	5	1st	5 24 35 36 38 40
2018-01-20	4	2nd	2 5 16 21 23 28
2018-01-06	11	1st	5 9 11 19 21 38
2017-11-29	13	1st	5 9 15 18 24 39
2017-10-14	10	1st	5 6 10 33 34 35
2017-09-09	2	1st	5 20 23 28 31 40
2017-09-02	3	3rd	2 4 5 12 17 34
2017-08-23	1	2nd	2 5 6 32 34 38
2017-08-19	2	1st	5 9 13 19 23 33
2017-08-12	11	3rd	2 4 5 9 11 27
2017-07-05	7	1st	5 11 16 22 34 37
2017-06-10	2	1st	5 9 12 14 16 18
2017-06-03	11	2nd	4 5 19 20 21 22
2017-04-26	1	2nd	2 5 13 17 32 37
2017-04-22	2	1st	5 17 21 34 35 36
2017-04-15	7	1st	5 6 11 20 22 24
2017-03-22	11	1st	5 11 26 31 35 36
2017-02-11	2	1st	5 6 10 21 35 37
2017-02-04	1	1st	5 7 19 25 39 40
2017-02-01	1	2nd	4 5 16 18 24 32
2017-01-28	1	1st	5 8 13 22 30 40
2017-01-25	12	3rd	1 2 5 15 21 26
2016-12-14	24	1st	5 15 17 20 38 39
2016-09-21	7	1st	5 10 11 26 30 39
2016-08-27	6	1st	5 10 16 31 33 36
2016-08-06	7	1st	5 7 10 13 26 30
2016-07-13	3	3rd	2 4 5 21 37 39
2016-07-02	9	2nd	3 5 10 13 16 38
2016-06-01	7	3rd	1 2 5 22 26 38
2016-05-07	9	1st	5 7 8 16 34 38
2016-04-06	2	1st	5 12 24 31 32 33
2016-03-30	3	2nd	1 5 13 14 16 21
2016-03-19	13	1st	5 14 25 27 29 33
2016-02-03	5	2nd	4 5 6 10 17 35
2016-01-16	8	1st	5 7 11 17 22 37
2015-12-19	8	2nd	3 5 7 12 25 38
2015-11-21	7	1st	5 11 13 14 35 38
2015-10-28	2	2nd	3 5 11 22 26 38
2015-10-21	1	1st	5 6 8 15 18 25
2015-10-17	25	2nd	2 5 13 17 25 33
2015-07-22	6	1st	5 18 26 31 38 39
2015-07-01	6	2nd	4 5 11 13 17 19
2015-06-10	14	1st	5 6 20 23 32 40
2015-04-22	3	2nd	3 5 8 15 24 35
2015-04-11	4	1st	5 16 17 18 23 33
2015-03-28	9	1st	5 9 20 34 35 37
2015-02-25	7	1st	5 8 9 10 23 28
2015-01-31	25	1st	5 7 20 24 34 37
2014-11-05	9	2nd	4 5 9 15 17 25
2014-10-04	17	1st	5 17 21 25 35 37
2014-08-06	1	1st	5 6 11 17 24 29
2014-08-02	2	2nd	3 5 7 10 14 38
2014-07-26	3	1st	5 7 9 31 35 36
2014-07-16	2	1st	5 9 14 16 24 39
2014-07-09	6	2nd	1 5 8 10 12 15
2014-06-18	8	2nd	4 5 9 31 32 37
2014-05-21	1	1st	5 6 7 10 11 30
2014-05-17	1	2nd	2 5 13 14 24 28
2014-05-14	5	1st	5 10 20 25 30 35
2014-04-26	3	1st	5 10 14 22 25 28
2014-04-16	2	1st	5 6 14 20 27 38
2014-04-09	1	1st	5 7 16 22 23 27
2014-04-05	5	2nd	3 5 7 8 36 38
2014-03-19	19	2nd	3 5 15 16 24 32
2014-01-11	14	1st	5 12 14 18 32 38
2013-11-20	5	1st	5 13 26 27 30 31
2013-11-02	3	1st	5 10 13 18 29 31
2013-10-23	6	1st	5 7 24 25 26 37
2013-10-02	2	1st	5 6 9 31 32 39
2013-09-25	8	1st	5 8 21 24 27 39
2013-08-28	10	1st	5 11 15 22 30 37
2013-07-24	1	1st	5 18 21 23 25 40
2013-07-20	6	2nd	1 5 6 17 27 37
2013-06-29	4	2nd	3 5 13 16 26 37
2013-06-15	5	1st	5 11 12 15 32 33
2013-05-29	3	2nd	3 5 6 23 25 32
2013-05-18	2	1st	5 13 21 23 29 40
2013-05-11	2	1st	5 9 22 25 29 30
2013-05-04	15	1st	5 9 10 25 26 28
2013-03-13	11	2nd	1 5 16 18 19 23
2013-02-02	3	1st	5 12 16 17 31 36
2013-01-23	1	1st	5 20 22 32 35 38
2013-01-19	1	2nd	2 5 16 22 32 34
2013-01-16	3	1st	5 14 16 21 22 24
2013-01-05	6	1st	5 9 22 24 25 34
2012-12-15	1	1st	5 11 14 24 26 36
2012-12-12	3	2nd	4 5 21 31 32 39
2012-12-01	5	1st	5 13 15 29 33 35
2012-11-14	2	2nd	3 5 7 15 19 34
2012-11-07	3	1st	5 8 9 14 25 39
2012-10-27	3	2nd	1 5 12 15 26 37
2012-10-17	3	1st	5 22 24 25 26 28
2012-10-06	4	1st	5 12 16 18 37 38
2012-09-22	3	2nd	3 5 7 10 12 20
2012-09-12	3	1st	5 14 15 17 24 26
2012-09-01	25	1st	5 12 21 22 33 40
2012-06-06	3	2nd	1 5 6 10 18 26
2012-05-26	13	2nd	2 5 6 12 35 37
2012-04-11	2	4th	2 3 4 5 9 24
2012-04-04	2	2nd	3 5 11 19 30 38
2012-03-28	2	2nd	3 5 14 16 21 40
2012-03-21	4	2nd	1 5 15 25 26 33
2012-03-07	2	1st	5 19 27 28 32 35
2012-02-29	11	1st	5 10 24 33 36 37
2012-01-21	7	2nd	2 5 8 9 12 31
2011-12-28	1	1st	5 13 15 29 30 36
2011-12-24	3	1st	5 11 21 34 36 40
2011-12-14	8	1st	5 13 24 29 31 36
2011-11-16	1	1st	5 6 11 27 28 33
2011-11-12	3	2nd	1 5 6 12 25 27
2011-11-02	4	1st	5 10 17 19 21 37
2011-10-19	15	3rd	2 3 5 8 30 35
2011-08-27	4	2nd	3 5 22 23 31 32
2011-08-13	3	1st	5 16 25 26 29 34
2011-08-03	8	1st	5 12 15 19 20 23
2011-07-06	3	1st	5 7 25 30 37 39
2011-06-25	8	1st	5 9 10 28 36 38
2011-05-28	8	2nd	4 5 20 22 32 38
2011-04-30	2	2nd	4 5 14 28 29 32
2011-04-23	1	1st	5 13 14 22 28 32
2011-04-20	9	3rd	2 3 5 13 37 38
2011-03-19	5	2nd	2 5 7 33 36 40
2011-03-02	1	1st	5 8 10 24 28 35
2011-02-26	1	1st	5 8 9 15 29 39
2011-02-23	2	2nd	2 5 6 7 10 24
2011-02-16	4	2nd	3 5 12 13 30 39
2011-02-02	2	1st	5 15 19 20 28 29
2011-01-26	8	1st	5 10 11 13 38 40
2010-12-29	5	1st	5 6 8 9 13 34
2010-12-08	5	1st	5 10 12 14 17 36
2010-11-20	24	2nd	3 5 20 35 36 37
2010-08-28	6	1st	5 12 17 25 27 33
2010-08-07	4	1st	5 16 23 25 26 37
2010-07-24	5	1st	5 6 9 18 31 39
2010-07-07	6	3rd	2 3 5 6 27 28
2010-06-16	18	3rd	1 3 5 7 25 27
2010-04-14	1	1st	5 9 17 22 32 33
2010-04-10	1	1st	5 6 25 31 32 38
2010-04-07	—	2nd	2 5 12 18 19 21