Number 30

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

146times drawn · chance expected 162 −1.33σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 85% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

40longest completed wait · 23% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 146 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, −1.33σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 146 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest2 · chance 1.5
3rd smallest15 · chance 12.4
4th smallest38 · chance 41.7
5th smallest59 · chance 60.2
6th smallest32 · chance 30.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 18.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 10 11 21 29 19

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-08-01	23	5th	3 5 14 22 30 32
2020-05-13	1	5th	5 11 15 22 30 35
2020-05-09	9	5th	5 8 13 26 30 38
2020-04-08	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-01-05	12	4th	16 21 24 30 31 40
2018-11-24	10	4th	9 11 16 30 33 36
2018-10-20	2	3rd	20 26 30 31 32 40
2018-10-13	7	3rd	5 10 30 31 36 40
2018-09-19	13	5th	15 24 25 26 30 36
2018-08-04	8	2nd	21 30 31 37 38 39
2018-07-07	7	4th	12 27 29 30 31 37
2018-06-13	2	5th	1 10 12 27 30 39
2018-06-06	3	3rd	3 7 30 31 35 38
2018-05-26	4	6th	1 12 19 20 21 30
2018-05-12	14	4th	5 8 28 30 38 39
2018-03-24	3	4th	6 8 12 30 31 37
2018-03-14	2	3rd	7 13 30 33 35 38
2018-03-07	4	3rd	17 18 30 33 34 38
2018-02-21	10	2nd	3 30 34 35 38 39
2018-01-17	13	4th	6 19 23 30 36 39
2017-12-02	6	4th	4 24 25 30 33 34
2017-11-11	4	6th	1 7 10 13 14 30
2017-10-28	5	5th	11 20 28 29 30 36
2017-10-11	5	5th	3 7 9 27 30 34
2017-09-23	13	5th	3 10 13 27 30 32
2017-08-09	7	4th	4 11 15 30 39 40
2017-07-15	6	5th	11 17 20 24 30 33
2017-06-24	8	3rd	16 21 30 33 34 39
2017-05-27	6	5th	2 13 14 18 30 39
2017-05-06	1	4th	9 10 13 30 37 39
2017-05-03	4	5th	8 12 20 21 30 36
2017-04-19	11	3rd	19 24 30 32 33 35
2017-03-11	5	4th	7 9 17 30 32 37
2017-02-22	7	5th	1 7 11 20 30 38
2017-01-28	16	5th	5 8 13 22 30 40
2016-12-03	8	6th	3 9 17 18 29 30
2016-11-05	4	6th	7 11 16 22 24 30
2016-10-22	3	5th	9 20 21 24 30 33
2016-10-12	2	5th	3 11 17 20 30 31
2016-10-05	4	4th	4 11 14 30 32 38
2016-09-21	2	5th	5 10 11 26 30 39
2016-09-14	11	6th	4 11 18 21 29 30
2016-08-06	1	6th	5 7 10 13 26 30
2016-08-03	40	5th	8 13 17 18 30 38
2016-03-16	7	4th	9 13 27 30 34 36
2016-02-20	2	5th	9 17 26 29 30 34
2016-02-13	5	4th	8 14 29 30 35 36
2016-01-27	1	4th	7 17 18 30 36 40
2016-01-23	20	4th	10 25 28 30 33 34
2015-11-14	2	6th	2 4 7 21 23 30
2015-11-07	1	5th	3 7 16 24 30 32
2015-11-04	25	5th	1 6 11 17 30 34
2015-08-08	8	4th	4 22 24 30 34 37
2015-07-11	15	6th	1 14 18 23 28 30
2015-05-20	5	5th	2 3 21 26 30 39
2015-05-02	13	4th	6 10 21 30 32 40
2015-03-18	3	5th	10 14 21 25 30 31
2015-03-07	5	6th	3 19 21 23 29 30
2015-02-18	2	5th	1 16 17 28 30 31
2015-02-11	6	6th	8 11 16 21 24 30
2015-01-21	4	5th	7 23 24 25 30 34
2015-01-07	24	3rd	3 20 30 32 34 40
2014-10-15	5	6th	3 12 19 27 29 30
2014-09-27	10	6th	12 13 14 19 21 30
2014-08-23	4	6th	4 6 16 20 26 30
2014-08-09	12	6th	1 9 18 19 29 30
2014-06-28	7	6th	2 4 19 25 28 30
2014-06-04	4	3rd	7 21 30 31 34 37
2014-05-21	2	6th	5 6 7 10 11 30
2014-05-14	12	5th	5 10 20 25 30 35
2014-04-02	1	5th	1 4 15 21 30 37
2014-03-29	4	6th	3 13 23 24 29 30
2014-03-15	12	5th	6 12 28 29 30 35
2014-02-01	9	5th	2 12 23 25 30 34
2014-01-01	11	4th	2 13 16 30 34 35
2013-11-20	4	5th	5 13 26 27 30 31
2013-11-06	14	5th	6 10 11 21 30 32
2013-09-18	6	5th	1 8 11 28 30 37
2013-08-28	5	5th	5 11 15 22 30 37
2013-08-10	9	6th	3 16 25 26 28 30
2013-07-10	6	5th	1 7 19 29 30 31
2013-06-19	7	6th	1 6 8 15 16 30
2013-05-25	4	5th	3 8 16 24 30 35
2013-05-11	3	6th	5 9 22 25 29 30
2013-05-01	4	4th	15 23 29 30 31 40
2013-04-17	2	4th	1 6 12 30 33 35
2013-04-10	3	5th	2 9 16 25 30 37
2013-03-30	2	4th	8 9 10 30 34 38
2013-03-23	8	5th	3 13 16 27 30 34
2013-02-23	35	4th	7 11 27 30 32 39
2012-10-24	18	6th	2 10 16 24 26 30
2012-08-22	15	5th	19 21 23 27 30 40
2012-06-30	1	4th	8 12 29 30 31 32
2012-06-27	7	4th	23 26 28 30 34 39
2012-06-02	4	5th	12 16 18 28 30 39
2012-05-19	1	5th	1 10 18 23 30 38
2012-05-16	6	5th	3 10 11 20 30 37
2012-04-25	1	6th	8 14 22 24 25 30
2012-04-21	5	5th	18 19 24 25 30 37
2012-04-04	7	5th	3 5 11 19 30 38
2012-03-10	6	3rd	6 12 30 31 36 40
2012-02-18	1	5th	10 20 24 26 30 35
2012-02-15	8	5th	4 8 17 28 30 35
2012-01-18	6	4th	22 23 25 30 37 40
2011-12-28	3	5th	5 13 15 29 30 36
2011-12-17	12	5th	3 4 16 24 30 36
2011-11-05	5	5th	7 9 17 24 30 31
2011-10-19	3	5th	2 3 5 8 30 35
2011-10-08	26	5th	17 19 21 27 30 40
2011-07-09	1	5th	8 23 25 27 30 37
2011-07-06	15	4th	5 7 25 30 37 39
2011-05-14	20	5th	1 3 4 11 30 36
2011-03-05	5	4th	18 21 22 30 35 40
2011-02-16	32	5th	3 5 12 13 30 39
2010-10-23	3	4th	6 24 29 30 36 39
2010-10-13	2	3rd	12 15 30 32 33 39
2010-10-06	3	5th	2 13 15 27 30 36
2010-09-25	4	6th	6 10 17 23 29 30
2010-09-11	7	6th	9 18 19 20 25 30
2010-08-18	1	5th	12 17 21 27 30 38
2010-08-14	5	6th	8 18 19 27 29 30
2010-07-28	2	6th	1 8 14 18 19 30
2010-07-21	21	6th	1 4 11 15 26 30
2010-05-08	2	4th	4 19 23 30 33 34
2010-05-01	4	4th	1 3 10 30 34 38
2010-04-17	—	6th	7 22 23 25 27 30