Number 2

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

158times drawn · chance expected 162 −0.30σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number

6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

32longest completed wait · 64% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 158 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, −0.30σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 158 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest141 · chance 137.7
2nd smallest17 · chance 20.3
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 8 5 13 9 27

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-07-22	1	1st	2 4 9 18 33 36
2020-07-18	4	1st	2 8 20 25 27 37
2020-07-04	8	1st	2 12 13 25 32 36
2020-06-06	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-03-27	18	1st	2 5 18 22 26 35
2019-01-23	16	2nd	1 2 8 19 27 39
2018-11-28	6	1st	2 8 13 18 20 26
2018-11-07	2	1st	2 3 5 12 27 38
2018-10-31	2	1st	2 11 15 16 33 35
2018-10-24	4	1st	2 5 6 8 13 15
2018-10-10	18	1st	2 12 24 31 33 36
2018-08-08	19	1st	2 9 26 36 39 40
2018-06-02	4	1st	2 7 19 20 22 23
2018-05-19	32	1st	2 3 7 26 27 39
2018-01-27	1	2nd	1 2 4 6 15 33
2018-01-24	1	1st	2 4 25 32 35 36
2018-01-20	17	1st	2 5 16 21 23 28
2017-11-22	1	1st	2 8 14 27 35 39
2017-11-18	3	1st	2 8 15 23 32 37
2017-11-08	4	1st	2 14 25 35 37 39
2017-10-25	12	1st	2 15 25 27 32 35
2017-09-13	3	1st	2 12 25 31 33 36
2017-09-02	3	1st	2 4 5 12 17 34
2017-08-23	3	1st	2 5 6 32 34 38
2017-08-12	3	1st	2 4 5 9 11 27
2017-08-02	6	1st	2 16 17 25 26 38
2017-07-12	4	1st	2 7 11 12 13 36
2017-06-28	4	1st	2 3 7 12 17 32
2017-06-14	5	1st	2 8 17 22 31 33
2017-05-27	9	1st	2 13 14 18 30 39
2017-04-26	4	1st	2 5 13 17 32 37
2017-04-12	1	2nd	1 2 9 10 29 37
2017-04-08	3	1st	2 8 16 23 31 36
2017-03-29	1	1st	2 10 17 18 19 29
2017-03-25	5	1st	2 7 8 28 34 40
2017-03-08	2	1st	2 11 16 28 31 37
2017-03-01	3	1st	2 4 11 15 20 32
2017-02-18	7	1st	2 8 10 15 22 28
2017-01-25	4	2nd	1 2 5 15 21 26
2017-01-11	3	1st	2 11 13 18 21 29
2016-12-31	7	1st	2 8 19 20 27 31
2016-12-07	3	1st	2 4 12 28 34 37
2016-11-26	3	1st	2 4 13 29 37 40
2016-11-16	6	1st	2 15 19 22 26 29
2016-10-26	13	1st	2 16 26 33 35 37
2016-09-10	2	1st	2 9 17 19 21 29
2016-09-03	1	1st	2 4 11 36 37 39
2016-08-31	12	2nd	1 2 9 17 21 28
2016-07-20	2	1st	2 7 16 21 34 38
2016-07-13	12	1st	2 4 5 21 37 39
2016-06-01	20	2nd	1 2 5 22 26 38
2016-03-23	8	1st	2 12 17 22 32 35
2016-02-24	2	1st	2 3 4 12 18 20
2016-02-17	15	1st	2 9 17 20 27 40
2015-12-26	11	1st	2 13 27 28 31 35
2015-11-18	1	1st	2 10 13 19 20 25
2015-11-14	8	1st	2 4 7 21 23 30
2015-10-17	5	1st	2 5 13 17 25 33
2015-09-30	2	1st	2 4 19 22 25 31
2015-09-23	6	1st	2 3 14 31 33 40
2015-09-02	2	1st	2 8 19 25 37 38
2015-08-26	1	1st	2 7 8 23 26 37
2015-08-22	1	2nd	1 2 24 25 32 40
2015-08-19	7	1st	2 6 7 13 20 32
2015-07-25	19	1st	2 6 9 14 23 40
2015-05-20	16	1st	2 3 21 26 30 39
2015-03-25	9	1st	2 18 24 26 28 33
2015-02-21	12	1st	2 15 17 21 22 25
2015-01-10	4	1st	2 14 27 36 37 38
2014-12-27	12	1st	2 8 14 31 37 39
2014-11-15	2	2nd	1 2 6 18 22 38
2014-11-08	15	1st	2 15 18 20 21 33
2014-09-17	23	1st	2 15 19 21 23 34
2014-06-28	2	1st	2 4 19 25 28 30
2014-06-21	8	1st	2 4 8 12 23 34
2014-05-24	2	1st	2 13 14 15 27 31
2014-05-17	15	1st	2 5 13 14 24 28
2014-03-26	4	1st	2 9 16 22 37 39
2014-03-12	1	2nd	1 2 8 14 29 39
2014-03-08	8	1st	2 4 23 24 34 38
2014-02-08	2	1st	2 11 16 20 29 38
2014-02-01	4	1st	2 12 23 25 30 34
2014-01-18	5	1st	2 13 29 37 39 40
2014-01-01	1	1st	2 13 16 30 34 35
2013-12-28	3	1st	2 6 20 31 32 40
2013-12-14	3	1st	2 7 10 17 24 31
2013-12-04	14	2nd	1 2 4 22 28 37
2013-10-16	17	1st	2 3 9 15 28 40
2013-08-17	13	2nd	1 2 18 24 26 40
2013-07-03	2	2nd	1 2 4 12 21 25
2013-06-26	7	1st	2 12 20 23 32 35
2013-06-01	15	1st	2 3 8 16 22 39
2013-04-10	2	1st	2 9 16 25 30 37
2013-04-03	5	1st	2 22 28 33 34 40
2013-03-16	2	1st	2 13 20 22 27 35
2013-03-09	14	1st	2 4 6 10 19 25
2013-01-19	25	1st	2 5 16 22 32 34
2012-10-24	21	1st	2 10 16 24 26 30
2012-08-11	17	1st	2 8 9 25 27 31
2012-06-13	1	1st	2 3 16 17 27 29
2012-06-09	4	1st	2 13 15 29 32 33
2012-05-26	6	1st	2 5 6 12 35 37
2012-05-05	7	1st	2 7 27 28 34 40
2012-04-11	23	1st	2 3 4 5 9 24
2012-01-21	5	1st	2 5 8 9 12 31
2012-01-04	10	1st	2 4 8 20 31 40
2011-11-30	12	1st	2 6 9 27 29 32
2011-10-19	7	1st	2 3 5 8 30 35
2011-09-24	2	1st	2 7 24 27 29 37
2011-09-17	4	1st	2 3 20 21 24 32
2011-09-03	7	1st	2 8 14 17 29 35
2011-08-10	8	1st	2 7 16 18 37 39
2011-07-13	8	1st	2 18 32 33 37 40
2011-06-15	10	2nd	1 2 8 21 27 28
2011-05-11	1	1st	2 11 13 24 25 29
2011-05-07	3	1st	2 6 15 16 24 28
2011-04-27	2	1st	2 6 20 22 26 39
2011-04-20	4	1st	2 3 5 13 37 38
2011-04-06	1	1st	2 3 12 15 20 21
2011-04-02	4	1st	2 6 25 26 36 39
2011-03-19	2	1st	2 5 7 33 36 40
2011-03-12	1	1st	2 9 15 19 23 38
2011-03-09	4	1st	2 6 9 13 19 35
2011-02-23	23	1st	2 5 6 7 10 24
2010-12-01	1	1st	2 3 18 22 27 36
2010-11-27	3	1st	2 3 10 19 32 38
2010-11-17	9	1st	2 3 13 16 26 33
2010-10-16	3	1st	2 3 11 18 28 35
2010-10-06	4	1st	2 13 15 27 30 36
2010-09-22	15	1st	2 4 10 12 13 36
2010-07-31	4	1st	2 9 10 23 25 35
2010-07-17	1	1st	2 7 9 11 24 37
2010-07-14	2	1st	2 11 19 22 26 34
2010-07-07	7	1st	2 3 5 6 27 28
2010-06-12	3	1st	2 8 13 32 35 38
2010-06-02	1	1st	2 6 7 9 27 31
2010-05-29	15	1st	2 6 18 27 33 39
2010-04-07	—	1st	2 5 12 18 19 21