Number 11

In Lotto under the 6/40 · Apr 2010 – Aug 2020 rules — 1,077 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).

161times drawn · chance expected 162 −0.05σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number

6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7

32longest completed wait · 65% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 161 times in 1,077 draws against 161.5 expected, −0.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 161 times in 1,077 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest34 · chance 33.2
2nd smallest68 · chance 66.4
3rd smallest44 · chance 46.0
4th smallest11 · chance 13.6
5th smallest4 · chance 1.7
6th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 6 16 39 40 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-07-15	6	3rd	5 10 11 21 31 32
2020-06-24	5	2nd	8 11 12 19 21 32
2020-06-06	7	5th	2 3 4 7 11 36
2020-05-13	31

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2019-05-01	4	1st	11 12 15 19 33 34
2019-04-17	3	2nd	6 11 12 13 26 35
2019-04-06	2	2nd	3 11 16 26 35 39
2019-03-30	3	1st	11 14 16 18 22 39
2019-03-20	13	2nd	4 11 13 19 26 30
2019-02-02	7	4th	5 7 8 11 37 38
2019-01-09	4	2nd	8 11 19 20 35 39
2018-12-26	2	2nd	10 11 17 27 36 37
2018-12-19	7	2nd	9 11 12 18 29 31
2018-11-24	3	2nd	9 11 16 30 33 36
2018-11-14	4	1st	11 20 22 23 24 35
2018-10-31	9	2nd	2 11 15 16 33 35
2018-09-29	17	4th	5 7 9 11 14 26
2018-08-01	9	3rd	4 8 11 18 38 40
2018-06-30	2	2nd	3 11 15 19 27 39
2018-06-23	11	3rd	9 10 11 28 29 36
2018-05-16	4	4th	3 4 6 11 19 32
2018-05-02	3	1st	11 12 17 24 29 32
2018-04-21	12	3rd	4 10 11 16 18 26
2018-03-10	2	4th	4 8 10 11 14 40
2018-03-03	15	1st	11 13 15 21 33 40
2018-01-10	1	2nd	3 11 12 14 34 36
2018-01-06	2	3rd	5 9 11 19 21 38
2017-12-30	18	2nd	1 11 19 23 24 34
2017-10-28	2	1st	11 20 28 29 30 36
2017-10-21	20	1st	11 12 27 38 39 40
2017-08-12	1	5th	2 4 5 9 11 27
2017-08-09	7	2nd	4 11 15 30 39 40
2017-07-15	1	1st	11 17 20 24 30 33
2017-07-12	2	3rd	2 7 11 12 13 36
2017-07-05	16	2nd	5 11 16 22 34 37
2017-05-10	7	2nd	6 11 14 16 22 33
2017-04-15	7	3rd	5 6 11 20 22 24
2017-03-22	2	2nd	5 11 26 31 35 36
2017-03-15	2	2nd	8 11 13 14 27 28
2017-03-08	2	2nd	2 11 16 28 31 37
2017-03-01	2	3rd	2 4 11 15 20 32
2017-02-22	2	3rd	1 7 11 20 30 38
2017-02-15	8	2nd	10 11 20 21 22 32
2017-01-18	2	2nd	3 11 15 33 39 40
2017-01-11	4	2nd	2 11 13 18 21 29
2016-12-28	3	1st	11 21 35 38 39 40
2016-12-17	12	1st	11 21 25 33 36 40
2016-11-05	2	2nd	7 11 16 22 24 30
2016-10-29	5	2nd	1 11 18 34 35 39
2016-10-12	2	2nd	3 11 17 20 30 31
2016-10-05	4	2nd	4 11 14 30 32 38
2016-09-21	2	3rd	5 10 11 26 30 39
2016-09-14	3	2nd	4 11 18 21 29 30
2016-09-03	3	3rd	2 4 11 36 37 39
2016-08-24	1	2nd	9 11 16 24 35 36
2016-08-20	3	2nd	3 11 16 21 31 32
2016-08-10	17	2nd	6 11 14 21 29 40
2016-06-11	2	3rd	3 10 11 13 17 26
2016-06-04	5	1st	11 15 21 24 28 29
2016-05-18	8	3rd	6 7 11 28 32 36
2016-04-20	20	3rd	8 9 11 21 33 37
2016-02-10	1	2nd	7 11 19 20 32 33
2016-02-06	6	2nd	8 11 12 22 23 26
2016-01-16	9	3rd	5 7 11 17 22 37
2015-12-16	5	1st	11 12 16 20 27 29
2015-11-28	2	2nd	10 11 15 22 23 39
2015-11-21	5	2nd	5 11 13 14 35 38
2015-11-04	2	3rd	1 6 11 17 30 34
2015-10-28	6	3rd	3 5 11 22 26 38
2015-10-07	9	1st	11 15 16 19 35 38
2015-09-05	7	1st	11 12 15 22 32 39
2015-08-12	4	3rd	1 10 11 22 26 36
2015-07-29	4	2nd	8 11 23 25 31 37
2015-07-15	2	1st	11 16 28 34 39 40
2015-07-08	2	2nd	10 11 14 20 24 28
2015-07-01	5	3rd	4 5 11 13 17 19
2015-06-13	13	2nd	6 11 14 28 31 38
2015-04-29	7	2nd	9 11 17 22 36 38
2015-04-04	15	2nd	9 11 15 28 33 35
2015-02-11	2	2nd	8 11 16 21 24 30
2015-02-04	9	2nd	6 11 14 16 20 32
2015-01-03	6	2nd	10 11 13 14 22 24
2014-12-13	6	3rd	1 7 11 18 21 24
2014-11-22	23	1st	11 12 22 23 25 31
2014-09-03	6	3rd	4 9 11 20 23 38
2014-08-13	2	1st	11 17 18 25 36 39
2014-08-06	17	3rd	5 6 11 17 24 29
2014-06-07	5	1st	11 14 18 24 31 38
2014-05-21	8	5th	5 6 7 10 11 30
2014-04-23	3	2nd	4 11 23 24 31 32
2014-04-12	12	1st	11 16 21 23 26 38
2014-03-01	6	1st	11 13 16 18 25 32
2014-02-08	4	2nd	2 11 16 20 29 38
2014-01-25	13	1st	11 13 17 24 38 40
2013-12-07	6	2nd	8 11 22 25 27 33
2013-11-16	3	2nd	6 11 15 16 38 39
2013-11-06	3	3rd	6 10 11 21 30 32
2013-10-26	2	2nd	1 11 19 26 34 39
2013-10-19	9	2nd	7 11 18 38 39 40
2013-09-18	6	3rd	1 8 11 28 30 37
2013-08-28	7	2nd	5 11 15 22 30 37
2013-08-03	2	1st	11 12 13 22 27 28
2013-07-27	10	2nd	10 11 24 33 35 37
2013-06-22	2	3rd	3 6 11 17 19 40
2013-06-15	32	2nd	5 11 12 15 32 33
2013-02-23	7	2nd	7 11 27 30 32 39
2013-01-30	5	4th	6 8 10 11 32 35
2013-01-12	3	1st	11 12 15 19 24 25
2013-01-02	5	2nd	9 11 26 27 33 37
2012-12-15	21	2nd	5 11 14 24 26 36
2012-10-03	8	1st	11 14 17 18 33 37
2012-09-05	16	3rd	4 10 11 14 21 31
2012-07-11	2	1st	11 13 21 28 29 38
2012-07-04	14	2nd	8 11 20 22 37 39
2012-05-16	12	3rd	3 10 11 20 30 37
2012-04-04	1	3rd	3 5 11 19 30 38
2012-03-31	28	2nd	10 11 14 21 35 40
2011-12-24	1	2nd	5 11 21 34 36 40
2011-12-21	9	3rd	6 8 11 19 25 40
2011-11-19	1	4th	4 6 7 11 35 38
2011-11-16	9	3rd	5 6 11 27 28 33
2011-10-15	13	2nd	10 11 12 20 34 38
2011-08-31	9	3rd	9 10 11 18 36 39
2011-07-30	4	2nd	7 11 22 24 28 36
2011-07-16	11	1st	11 19 21 23 35 39
2011-06-08	5	2nd	1 11 16 18 21 25
2011-05-21	2	4th	7 8 9 11 20 32
2011-05-14	1	4th	1 3 4 11 30 36
2011-05-11	2	2nd	2 11 13 24 25 29
2011-05-04	21	3rd	1 6 11 24 33 36
2011-02-19	7	3rd	6 8 11 29 32 39
2011-01-26	11	3rd	5 10 11 13 38 40
2010-12-15	17	1st	11 16 23 36 38 40
2010-10-16	12	3rd	2 3 11 18 28 35
2010-09-04	3	3rd	6 8 11 29 34 39
2010-08-25	10	1st	11 14 16 18 22 39
2010-07-21	1	3rd	1 4 11 15 26 30
2010-07-17	1	4th	2 7 9 11 24 37
2010-07-14	5	2nd	2 11 19 22 26 34
2010-06-26	9	3rd	1 9 11 13 31 33
2010-05-26	—	2nd	7 11 20 25 27 40